Ajax vs Volendam Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax are set to play host to FC Volendam at Johan Cruijff Arena on matchday 20 of the Eredivisie. Ajax are in third place in the league standings, while Volendam are in 15th place. Here's our match prediction.
Ajax have accumulated 34 points from 19 games. The 2022 champions also find themselves two points behind second-placed Feyenoord and have maintained a two-point cushion above fourth-placed Nijmegen.
The Amsterdammers' recent match was a UEFA Champions League outing against Villarreal. Against all odds, they eked out a narrow 2-1 victory with Oliver Edvardsen scoring the winner.
That result was compensation for their disappointing 2-2 home league draw against Go Ahead Eagles. It was also their second draw in three league games, underlining their floundering performances.
FC Voldendam have accumulated 17 points from 19 games. They're in a precarious position in the league standings, having maintained a one-point cushion over the relegation playoff spot and three points clear of direct relegation.
Barring a 1-0 loss against AZ Alkmaar from the beginning of the calendar year, Palingboeren have turned a corner since that result. They come into this match riding a two-game winning run across all competitions.
Their most recent win was a 2-1 home league upset against FC Utrecht. This comes after booking their spot in the KNB Beker quarter-finals for the first time since 2017, beating Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 in the last 16.
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Ajax v Volendam Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.3 | 6 | 8 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.85 | 9.1 |
|
|
1.28 | 6.05 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.33 | 6.25 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.4 | 8.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Volendam?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Volendam match is: Ajax to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/01/2026 between Ajax and Volendam in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.12% for a win of Ajax against Volendam with odds of 1.34 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Volendam is 12.12% with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Volendam vs Ajax with odds of 9.7 at Betwinner.
Ajax - Volendam Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Volendam Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 56.12% | 1.34 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.48% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 29.07% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Ajax vs Volendam Form
Ajax and Volendam's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
56 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | +21 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -20 |
Ajax and Volendam Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
11 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
14 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
11 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Dec 2025 - KNVB beker
7 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jan 2026 - KNVB beker
10 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Dec 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker
Ajax vs Volendam Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
5 May 2024 - Eredivisie
2 Nov 2023 - Eredivisie
26 Jan 2023 - Eredivisie
8 Oct 2022 - Eredivisie
Ajax against Volendam Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
R. Pasveer
J. Heerkens
DefenderG. Alders
J. Sutalo
J. Mokio
T. Tomiyasu
K. Itakura
K. Fitz-Jim
O. Gloukh
P. Nash
O. Edvardsen
W. Weghorst
D. Vlak
R. Steur
DefenderA. Meijers
S. Esajas
MidfielderA. Plat
T. Codinha
M. Mau-Asam
ForwardD. Payne
K. Wong A Soij
R. Muhren
Missing players
O. Wijndal
ForwardS. Berghuis
G. Yah
R. van Cruijsen
ForwardH. Veerman
A. Descotte
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Volendam
M. Godts
(17 Goals)
R. Muhren
(6 Goals)
M. Godts
(12 Assists)
B. Kuwas
(4 Assists)
,
D. Kwakman
(4 Assists)
Ajax - Volendam Key Points
- Ajax have seen five of their last six competitive matches across all competitions end with over 3.5 goals.
- FC Volendam are conceding 2.22 goals per game when playing away.
- Ajax's recent home league game ended in a 2-2 draw.
- FC Volendam have lost 40 of their last 55 Eredivisie encounters against Ajax.
- Ajax scored 160 goals in those encounters, meaning they are averaging 2.91 goals per game against FC Volendam.
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Our Ajax vs Volendam Prediction
Ajax has shown a slight dip in performance, but there's no denying that they boast the upper hand in this fixture, meaning history favors them to secure all three points in this one. It's worth noting that they've won four of their last five home league games against Volendam and scored 16 goals in the process.
Indeed, Volendam are riding high on momentum. However, they are up against a side that has dominated them in past meetings. Their highest possible accomplishment here will be getting on the scoreboard. Our Ajax vs FC Volendam prediction: Ajax to win and over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Volendam
| Ajax vs Volendam | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.21 | 1.34 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 6 | 6.25 | +4.2% |
| Volendam wins | 14 | 9.7 | -30.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 82.6% and is now 74.6% (-8.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
