Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Joseph King | in Eredivisie Predictions
The Eredivisie title will be decided on the final day when second-place Ajax hosts fifth-placed Twente at the Johan Cruyff Arena. De Godenzonen will have to beat the Tukkers and have Sparta do them a huge favor by taking points off of PSV if they are to reclaim the league title. Our match prediction will take a deeper look at the situation.
A late-season collapse by Ajax has allowed their bitter rivals PSV a chance to steal the league title right from under their noses on the final day of the season. The hosts have failed to win in their last four Eredivisie matches and managed just two points from the last 12 available.
Ajax conceded a dramatic late equalizer in their 2-2 away draw with Groningen on Wednesday. The goal by Thijmen Blokzijl was scored in the ninth minute of stoppage time and very well could have cost Ajax the championship.
The result has seen PSV erase what was a nine-point deficit in April and they now lead the standings by one point.
As for Twente, a 3-2 home loss to AZ has bumped them down to sixth place in the standings. They’ll have to make it through the European qualification play-off to claim a spot in the Conference League.
The defeat snapped a two-game winning streak and marked their fourth defeat in their last eight outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Twente Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 5.5 | 6 |
|
|
1.44 | 5 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
1.43 | 5.25 | 5.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Twente?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Twente match is: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Ajax and Twente in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.03% for a win of Ajax against Twente with odds of 1.96 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Twente is 32.95% with odds of 5.62 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Twente vs Ajax with odds of 6.8 at Betsson.
Ajax - Twente Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Twente Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 41.03% | 1.96 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.09% | 1.36 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ajax | 19.29% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Ajax vs Twente Form
Ajax and Twente's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 35 |
|
6
|
54 | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 13 |
Ajax and Twente Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
11 May 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
11 May 2025 - Eredivisie
4 May 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
11 May 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Twente Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
14 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Sep 2023 - Eredivisie
28 May 2023 - Eredivisie
9 Feb 2023 - KNVB beker
14 Jan 2023 - Eredivisie
Players list
B. Traore
DefenderJ. Mokio
J. Sutalo
J. Hato
M. Godts
MidfielderD. Klaassen
J. Henderson
D. Janse
K. Taylor
ForwardB. Traore
W. Weghorst
P. Tyton
DefenderB. van Rooij
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
MidfielderM. Bruns
M. Kjolo
A. Verschueren
S. Ltaief
S. Steijn
M. Vlap
ForwardD. Rots
Substitutes
Matheus
J. Gorter
DefenderD. Rugani
A. Kaplan
D. Janse
J. Mokio
K. Fitz-Jim
ForwardO. Edvardsen
B. Traore
W. Weghorst
M. Godts
C. Rasmussen
S. Karssies
Y. Gerritsen
DefenderG. Alders
G. Lagerbielke
A. Van Hoorenbeeck
H. Kuster
G. Besselink
A. Verschueren
L. Vennegoor of Hesselink
T. Booth
S. Ltaief
D. Rots
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Twente
K. Taylor
(14 Goals)
S. Steijn
(29 Goals)
K. Taylor
(7 Assists)
,
B. Brobbey
(7 Assists)
M. Vlap
(9 Assists)
Ajax - Twente Key Points
- 10 of Twente’s 16 away matches have seen BTTS + over 2.5 goals.
- The reverse fixture finished in a 2-2 draw back in November.
- Twente have managed to find the net in 32 of their 33 league fixtures.
- Ajax have scored in 31 of their 33 Eredivisie matches.
- Ajax home and Twente away matches both finish in over 2.5 goals 69% of the time.
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Our Ajax vs Twente Prediction
It’s been a nightmare few weeks for Ajax who have had to watch PSV rip off six straight victories and leapfrog them atop the standings heading into the final day. The only thing they can control at the moment is whether or not they win this game.
Twente have been involved in a number of back-and-forth types of matches this season. They should be able to get on the scoresheet but will have a tough time keeping Ajax from finding the net. Our Ajax vs Twente prediction: both teams to score + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Twente
| Ajax vs Twente | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.01 | 1.42 | +40.6% |
| Draw | 1.01 | 5.5 | +444.6% |
| Twente wins | 1.01 | 6 | +494.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 40.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 99.0% and is now 70.4% (-28.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ajax vs. Twente game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Ajax and Twente? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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