Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Ajax
11/05/2025 10:45
NEC Nijmegen

Prediction :

 

Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions

Ajax play host to NEC Nijmegen at Johan Cruijff ArenA on matchday 32 in the Eredivisie. Ajax lead at the top with a four-point cushion, while NEC Nijmegen are in 13th place. Here's our match prediction. 

Ajax's minor blip in form in the Eredivisie has led to PSV Eindhoven slicing the point gap at the top of the table to just four points. Therefore, they can not afford to drop unnecessary points in their bid for the league title.

The Sons of the Gods managed to avoid a catastrophic result in their recent league game against Sparta Rotterdam by salvaging a point in a 1-1 home draw. 

Head coach Francesco Farioli will be expecting an A+ performance from his team this time around, especially at Johan Cruijff ArenA. At this venue, they are unbeaten in 15 games (W12, D3) and are the only side that has maintained an unblemished record.

NEC Nijmegen have undeniably chosen a bad fixture to return to winning ways. You will have to go back to November 2005 for their last league win against Ajax.

On Saturday, NEC failed to get the job done against relegation playoff hopefuls Willem II, salvaging a point in a 1-1 home league draw. This extended their winless run to two games. 

To make matters worse, they have won just two of their last 12 league games heading into this contest (D5, L5). 

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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Form

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Ajax
78 34 24 6 4 +35
8 NEC Nijmegen
43 34 12 7 15 +5

Ajax and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches

Ajax
Ajax Last matches
D W W W L D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  0
Ajax

13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Willem II
1 :  2
Ajax

6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
NAC Breda

30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  2
Ajax

16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar
L W L D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
Sparta Rotterdam

6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
3 :  1
NAC Breda

16 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
AZ Alkmaar

6 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Eintracht Frankfurt

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

20 Feb 2025 - Europa League

Ajax
1 :  2
Union Saint-Gilloise
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
4 :  0
Ajax

13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Willem II
1 :  2
Ajax

30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
0 :  2
Ajax

13 Mar 2025 - Europa League

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Ajax

9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
0 :  1
Ajax

2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Almere City
0 :  1
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen Last matches
W D L W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Willem II

27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

11 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  1
Waalwijk

6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
2 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
0 :  1
NEC Nijmegen
D D L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Willem II

11 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  1
Waalwijk

29 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  3
AZ Alkmaar

9 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  3
Go Ahead Eagles

16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Almere City

1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  3
PSV Eindhoven
L L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Heerenveen
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

6 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
2 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

15 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Utrecht
0 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

1 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
0 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ajax

67 %

Draw

33 %

NEC Nijmegen

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

1 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Ajax

18 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie

Ajax
2 :  2
NEC Nijmegen

3 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Ajax

5 Mar 2023 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  0
NEC Nijmegen

8 Jan 2023 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Ajax

23 Apr 2022 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
0 :  1
Ajax

Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen last Lineups

Ajax

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
R. Pasveer
3
A. Gaaei
37
J. Sutalo
24
D. Rugani
4
J. Hato
18
D. Klaassen
6
J. Henderson
8
K. Taylor
20
B. Traore
25
W. Weghorst
23
S. Berghuis
30
B. Linssen
10
S. Hansen
32
V. Van Crooij
25
S. Ouaissa
5
T. Ouwejan
23
K. Sano
24
C. Verdonk
3
P. Sandler
4
I. Marquez
2
B. Pereira
22
R. Roefs

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

NEC Nijmegen

Substitutes

Ajax
Ajax
Goalkeeper

J. Gorter

Matheus

Defender

O. Wijndal

J. Hato 73'

A. Kaplan

L. Rosa

J. Mokio

K. Taylor 73'

D. Janse

J. Sutalo 46'

Midfielder

K. Fitz-Jim

D. Rugani 59'

Y. Regeer

Forward

C. Rasmussen

B. Brobbey

M. Godts

B. Traore 59'

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Goalkeeper

S. Van Gassel

R. Janse

Defender

E. Lyratzis

P. Sandler 80'

B. Onal

T. Ouwejan 59'

Midfielder

L. Larsen

M. Hoedemakers

L. Schone

S. Hansen 87'

Y. Sbai

B. Pereira 80'

A. Darelas

Forward

K. Shiogai

B. Linssen 80'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ajax
CD Huachipato NEC Nijmegen
Top Goalscorer
Norway O. Edvardsen (12 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands V. Van Crooij (10 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands J. Hato (6 Assists) , 
Netherlands K. Taylor (6 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands V. Van Crooij (4 Assists)

Ajax - NEC Nijmegen Key Points

  1. Ajax have won 12 of their last 15 home league games, during which eight ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last 29 encounters against Ajax.
  3. Ajax averages 2.4 goals per game when playing at home, and NEC Nijmegen averages 0.67 goals per game when playing away.
  4. Ajax have won seven of their last nine encounters against NEC Nijmegen. Five of those matches ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Ajax have been dominating NEC Nijmegen for nearly 2 decades now. Such an imposing record is confirmation that they are likely to cruise to a comfortable win in front of their home crowd.

NEC Nijmegen have the joint-fourth worst away record in the Eredivisie. Nothing much can be expected from them in this one other than a convincing defeat. In the reverse fixture against Ajax, they slumped to a 2-1 home defeat. Expect a similar outcome this Sunday. Our Ajax v NEC Nijmegen prediction: Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Ajax to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction