Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax will look to make the most of their home record to stay in the Eredivisie top four as they host mid-table Heerenveen in matchday 11 of the campaign. This match on Saturday between the fourth-placed Lancers and 11th-placed ‘Super Frisians’ at the Johan Cruijff Arena comes with our prediction of more than 3.5 goals.
Ajax defeated Twente 3-2 away from home last matchday to end a four-game wait for a victory. That sequence landed three defeats, and Ajax will now look to post consecutive wins in all competitions for the first time this season.
That win over Twente now gives Ajax a chance to get back to winning ways at home after losing 2-0 to Alkmaar in matchday nine. Prior to that loss, Ajax posted four consecutive league wins at this venue and will be confident of their chances.
Heerenveen had an entertaining 3-3 home draw against NAC Breda last matchday, where only a late stoppage-time goal denied them full points. They still are unbeaten in five matches (W3, D2) as they plot a move up the table.
Interestingly, Heerenveen are still one of the homesickteams, as they failed to win three of their four away league games this season (W1, D1, L2), although that win came in their latest trip to Telstar.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Ajax v Heerenveen Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4.5 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 5 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.5 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Heerenveen?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Heerenveen match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Ajax and Heerenveen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.35% for a win of Ajax against Heerenveen with odds of 1.57 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Heerenveen is 17.34% with odds of 4.94 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Heerenveen vs Ajax with odds of 6.07 at 22bet.
Ajax - Heerenveen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ajax Heerenveen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 52.35% | 1.57 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.53% | 1.55 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Ajax/Ajax | 24% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Ajax vs Heerenveen Form
Ajax and Heerenveen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
30 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
|
9
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
Ajax and Heerenveen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker
24 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Oct 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - KNVB beker
19 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Ajax vs Heerenveen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Aug 2024 - Eredivisie
11 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2023 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2023 - Eredivisie
10 Sept 2022 - Eredivisie
Ajax against Heerenveen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardK. Dolberg
S. Berghuis
P. Bochniewicz
MidfielderL. Smans
ForwardA. Van Axel Dongen
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Heerenveen
M. Godts
(7 Goals)
, 
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
J. Trenskow
(6 Goals)
M. Godts
(7 Assists)
L. Brouwers
(4 Assists)
Ajax - Heerenveen Key Points
- Heerenveen’s matches average 3.6 goals per match this season and only three games have a better average.
- Ajax’s matches average 3.4 goals per match this season.
- Heerenveen’s last eight league matches average 3.88 goals per game and only three teams averaged more.
- Four of Heerenveen’s last five league matches saw four or more goals scored.
- In five of the last seven league matches between these sides saw five or more goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction
Ajax ended their wait for a win with a victory over Twente last matchday but haven’t been consistent all season long. They are yet to win consecutive matches in all competitions, but home form gives hope to change things around. Four wins out of five in the last five home league games will be a positive omen as Heerenveen look to play spoilsport.
Both teams have been consistently delivering high-scoring games, which could once again be the case here. That’s why our Ajax vs Heerenveen prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ajax Heerenveen
| Ajax vs Heerenveen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins | 1.33 | 1.55 | +16.5% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 4.5 | -18.2% |
| Heerenveen wins | 8 | 5.25 | -34.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 75.2% and is now 64.5% (-10.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Ajax vs. Heerenveen game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Ajax and Heerenveen? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Eredivisie! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
