Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
The free-scoring Ajax will hope to stay on the coat tails of the top three teams in Eredivisie as they face Excelsior on matchday seven. This match on Saturday at the Johan Cruijff Arena in Amsterdam between the fourth-placed ‘Lancers’ and the sixth-placed ‘Red Blacks’ is likely to be an entertaining affair with over 3.5 goals our match prediction.
With 13 points (W4, D1, L1) ahead of this round, Ajax are only three points behind leaders. Excelsior are three points further behind (W3, D1, L2) and can displace their hosts with a win.
Ajax thrashed Willem II 5-1 at this venue on Tuesday to continue their strong start. They have five wins from their last six competitive games (L1) with the lone defeat coming against PSV.
That defeat came at this venue, but the ‘Lancers’ have four wins from their last six home matches (D1, L1) in all competitions. With 20 goals scored across these six games, Ajax have enjoyed home comforts.
Excelsior lost 2-1 at home last Sunday to Utrecht. That defeat ended a mini-resurgence of three games (W2, D1), but the visitors are still within reach of a top-six spot.
They won’t mind being on the road for this encounter, as Excelsior have won two of their last three league trips (D1), keeping a clean sheet in both victories.
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Ajax v Excelsior Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.24 | 6.4 | 8.6 |
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1.25 | 7.06 | 9.8 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.75 | 9.4 |
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1.25 | 6.75 | 9.4 |
|
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1.24 | 6.95 | 9.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ajax and Excelsior?
Our prediction for the Ajax vs Excelsior match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2026 between Ajax and Excelsior in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.58% for a win of Ajax against Excelsior with odds of 1.27 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ajax vs Excelsior is 18.82% with odds of 7.06 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Excelsior vs Ajax with odds of 10.5 at Betsson.
Ajax vs Excelsior Form
Ajax and Excelsior's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +12 |
|
6
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 |
Ajax and Excelsior Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Aug 2026 - Conference League
30 Jul 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
26 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Excelsior Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2024 - Eredivisie
19 Aug 2023 - Eredivisie
29 Jan 2023 - Eredivisie
16 Oct 2022 - Eredivisie
Ajax vs Excelsior last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
C. Setford
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderA. Gaaei
D. Janse
J. Torrents
C. Henrique
MidfielderA. Ouazane
S. Amrabat
ForwardM. Leonardo
V. Tsygankov
O. Edvardsen
T. Arokodare
C. Biai
DefenderV. Sulzbacher
O. Turay
G. Cairo
MidfielderI. Silva Timas
A. Jahanbakhsh
S. Janssen
D. van Vianen
M. Dominguez
Y. Finey
ForwardN. Groen
Missing players
D. Blind
A. Bouwman
MidfielderR. Bounida
ForwardS. Adingra
Most goals and assists
Ajax
Excelsior
J. Brandt
(3 Goals)
, 
D. Klaassen
(3 Goals)
D. Garden
(3 Goals)
O. Gloukh
(3 Assists)
I. Yegoian
(4 Assists)
Ajax and Excelsior Stats in Eredivisie
Ajax - Excelsior Key Points
- Ajax averaged 3.17 goals per game after six rounds this league campaign.
- Ajax’s last eight competitive matches produced over 3.5 match goals.
- Five of Excelsior’s last ten league games have all seen four or more goals.
- Seven of the last eight league games between these sides saw at least four goals scored.
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Our Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction
With only three points separating the top five teams, Ajax have an incentive to keep winning and stay in touch with the leaders. Excelsior are just outside this group and could go level on points with Ajax, but they haven’t historically dominated this fixture. These sides have consistently produced high-scoring games lately, and that pattern could continue here with goals likely to flow.
Ajax’s six competitive home matches this season have produced at least four goals, so our Ajax vs Excelsior prediction is over 3.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
