Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Qualifier Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has set a new career-high after reaching round three of the Mutua Madrid Open. The Paraguayan faces tenth seed Flavio Cobolli for a place in the last 16 of this outdoor clay court Masters tournament. Read our match prediction below.
In the next round, the winner will face either seventh seed Daniil Medvedev or Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.
Vallejo is up to 83rd in the live rankings thanks to an excellent debut in this tournament. He had to win two qualifying matches to reach the main draw and has since beaten Grigor Dimitrov and 17th seed Learner Tien without dropping a set.
He has been playing on clay for most of the year and has won 25 out of 31 matches. Three Challenger Tour titles have been won but this is the first time he's made it past round two on the ATP Tour.
Flavio Cobolli has won an ATP Tour outdoor hard court title this year but also has made a strong start on clay. He recently made it to the final in Munich, losing to Ben Shelton. So far in this tournament, he's beaten Camilo Ugo Carabelli, coming from a set down.
Cobolli is 13th in the live rankings and won two ATP Tour clay court titles last year.
We tip him to beat Vallejo.
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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Flavio Cobolli Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 1.41 |
|
|
2.62 | 1.49 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
2.76 | 1.4 |
|
|
2.76 | 1.4 |
|
Who will win the Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli match is: Flavio Cobolli wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli game on 27/04/2026 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has a 52.53% chance to win against Flavio Cobolli according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 3.
- Flavio Cobolli has a 47.47% probability of winning facing Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ⭐ with odds of 1.49 at Betwinner.
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has a 52.53 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 52.53 % |
| Flavio Cobolli | 47.47 % |
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli Form
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
23 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
20 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
1 Apr 2026 - ATP Houston
30 Mar 2026 - ATP Houston
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
18 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
17 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
15 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo - Flavio Cobolli Key Points
- Cobolli is 70 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Cobolli has reached one ATP Tour clay court final this year.
- 2025 saw Cobolli win ATP Tour clay court titles in Bucharest and Hamburg.
- Valleja's success has come on the Challenger Tour.
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Our Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction
Flavio Cobolli is playing in the Mutua Madrid Open for the third time. In both 2024 and 2025, he lost in round three. This is a great opportunity for the Italian to reach round four for the first time. He has already reached one ATP Tour final on this surface in 2026.
This is the best run on the main tour that Adolfo Daniel Vallejo has had . He has been prolific on the Challenger Tour and has finally found some success on the main circuit. Our Adolfo Daniel Valleja v Flavio Cobolli prediction is Flavio Cobolli wins.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
