Kenya - Kenyan Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu in Kenyan Premier League Predictions
The race is on for Police’s first-ever Kenyan Premier League title. They will seek to stretch their lead when hosting 12th-placed FC Talanta on Saturday. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Police are coming from a shock defeat, falling 2-1 away to Kakamega Homeboyz. That didn’t slash their lead, as second-placed Tusker also lost, but now third-placed Gor Mahia, with two games in hand, have an advantage.
The defeat halted Police’s run of three straight wins, but returning home is some consolation. When hosting league games this season, Police have only suffered one defeat – against Ulinzi Stars.
FC Talanta have worn the giant-killers’ gown in their recent matches. Across their last four matches, the visitors won three times. They didn’t just win; Talanta had clean sheets in beating Gor Mahia, KCB, and Tusker, all formidable sides.
Extending this run will be on their agenda as they seek to move further away from the relegation zone. In their latest outing, Talanta beat second-placed Tusker 2-0.
After two straight home matches, they are now facing an away game. Improving on the 4-0 loss to Ulinzi Stars in their last away game will be the target here.
Talanta have suffered five defeats in their last 10 away matches, and this will be a tough one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kenya Police FC v FC Talanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3.66 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.35 | 5.29 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.35 | 5.29 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.35 | 5.24 |
|
|
1.64 | 3.35 | 5.24 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kenya Police FC and FC Talanta?
Our prediction for the Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta match is: Police wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2025 between Kenya Police FC and FC Talanta in Kenyan Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.72% for a win of Kenya Police FC against FC Talanta with odds of 1.67 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta is 20.35% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.94% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Talanta vs Kenya Police FC with odds of 5.33 at Melbet.
Kenya Police FC - FC Talanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kenya Police FC FC Talanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kenya Police FC wins | 55.72% | 1.67 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 62.23% | 2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.24 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Kenya Police FC | 26.12% | 4.33 at Betfair |
Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta Form
Kenya Police FC and FC Talanta's standings in the Kenyan Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
58 | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
|
13
|
35 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | -9 |
Kenya Police FC and FC Talanta Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
18 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2 May 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
28 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
21 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
24 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
9 Feb 2025 - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
18 Dec 2024 - Kenyan Premier League
Kenya Police FC - FC Talanta Key Points
- Police registered five wins in their last eight matches.
- FC Talanta lost five of their last 10 away league matches.
- FC Talanta are winless in five meetings with Police, losing twice.
- Police have suffered one loss only at home in the league this season.
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Our Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta Prediction
At the start of the season it would have been hard to say Police would be top of the standings at this moment. However, a fine run after winning just once in the opening eight games means they are serious title contenders.
As they return home, the law enforcers will seek to keep up their good home form. Talanta have a record of struggling on the road in the league this season, and though they’ve done well lately, this is a tough outing. Our prediction for Police v Talanta is that Police wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kenya Police FC FC Talanta
| Kenya Police FC vs FC Talanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenya Police FC wins | 1.54 | 1.66 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.66 | +3.1% |
| FC Talanta wins | 5.9 | 4.4 | -25.4% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Kenya Police FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.9% and is now 60.2% (-4.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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