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AC Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

AC Milan
02/11/2025 14:45
Roma

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan will be desperate to return to winning ways when they host AS Roma next in Serie A. The Sunday match finds the two giants of Italian football separated by three points, with Milan fourth and Roma second. Read on for our prediction.

Though losing just once all season, this hasn’t turned out as a great start for Milan yet. They are coming off a 1-1 outcome with Atalanta, their third draw in the last four matches.

This run sees the team that just a few weeks back sat atop the standings trail leaders Napoli by three points. They will actually be grateful for the point against Atalanta, as Milan had only one shot on target and scored with it.

AS Roma are only kept out of the league summit by goal difference. They have the league’s best defence but have scored the least goals across the top nine.

In their last outing, they scored twice for only the third time in the league, as they beat Parma 2-1. Roma will have no concerns about that given this game almost always brings out the goals.

They netted in each of their last 13 meetings with Milan but at the same time kept only one clean sheet in that period. This season they’ve enjoyed their away days, playing five and winning all on the road.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Roma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 2.88 3.5
Betfred
2.25 3 3.25
William Hill
2.25 3 3.4
Betway
2.38 2.9 3.4
Unibet
2.35 2.85 3.5
Check all AC Milan vs Roma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Roma?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Roma match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between AC Milan and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.92% for a win of AC Milan against Roma with odds of 2.38 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Roma is 16.24% with odds of 3 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs AC Milan with odds of 3.76 at LSbet.

AC Milan - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:

AC Milan Roma Prediction Probability Odds
Roma wins 47.85% 3.76 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 57.58% 2.41 at LSbet
Both Team To Score 56.25% 2.08 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma 23.12% 7.5 at Betfair

AC Milan vs Roma Form

AC Milan and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
AC Milan
AC Milan
21 10 6 3 1 8
4
Roma
Roma
21 10 7 0 3 5

AC Milan and Roma Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W W W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce
W L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Pisa SC

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese
W D L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

28 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
AC Milan

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan
Roma
Roma Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Roma

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
1 :  2
Viktoria Plzen

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille
D W L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
1 :  2
Viktoria Plzen

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Inter Milan

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Hellas Verona

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Roma
0 :  1
Torino FC
L W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Roma

5 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Roma

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Nice
1 :  2
Roma

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Roma

30 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Roma

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Everton
0 :  1
Roma

AC Milan vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

17 %

Draw

17 %

Roma

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
2.17
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan

5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  1
Roma

29 Dec 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Roma

31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
5 :  2
AC Milan

18 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  1
AC Milan

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  1
Roma
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

AC Milan against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

16
M. Maignan
5
K. De Winter
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
19
Y. Fofana
14
L. Modric
4
S. Ricci
33
D. Bartesaghi
18
C. Nkunku
10
R. Leao
21
P. Dybala
18
M. Soule
43
W. Franca
8
N. El Aynaoui
17
M. Kone
4
B. Cristante
19
Z. Celik
5
E. N Dicka
23
G. Mancini
22
M. Hermoso
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Roma

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Forward

C. Balentien

C. Pulisic

S. Gimenez

Roma
Roma
Defender

Angelino

Forward

E. Ferguson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Soule (4 Goals)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (2 Assists)
Croatia L. Modric (2 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina M. Soule (2 Assists)
Ukraine A. Dovbyk (2 Assists)

AC Milan - Roma Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in two of Roma’s last three away games.
  2. Roma scored in all their last 13 matches against AC Milan.
  3. AC Milan scored in 14 of the last 15 meetings with Roma.
  4. In four of Milan’s last five matches, both teams scored.
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Our AC Milan vs Roma Prediction

At home this season, Milan have managed just one clean sheet in the five league games played. They’ve dropped points twice there, and it was against promoted sides—Pisa and Cremonese. Those were also the only instances they conceded more than once in home league matches.

Meanwhile, Roma’s best days this season have come in away matches. They scored in the five outings and won all. That’s what makes this an interesting affair. Just like in the teams’ recent meetings, we are assured of goals. Our prediction for AC Milan v AS Roma is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Roma

AC Milan vs Roma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
AC Milan wins 2.05 2.3 +12.2%
Draw 3.1 2.88 -7.1%
Roma wins 4 3.5 -12.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Roma is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 28.6% (3.6%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the AC Milan vs. Roma game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Roma Prediction

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