AC Milan vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
AC Milan will be desperate to return to winning ways when they host AS Roma next in Serie A. The Sunday match finds the two giants of Italian football separated by three points, with Milan fourth and Roma second. Read on for our prediction.
Though losing just once all season, this hasn’t turned out as a great start for Milan yet. They are coming off a 1-1 outcome with Atalanta, their third draw in the last four matches.
This run sees the team that just a few weeks back sat atop the standings trail leaders Napoli by three points. They will actually be grateful for the point against Atalanta, as Milan had only one shot on target and scored with it.
AS Roma are only kept out of the league summit by goal difference. They have the league’s best defence but have scored the least goals across the top nine.
In their last outing, they scored twice for only the third time in the league, as they beat Parma 2-1. Roma will have no concerns about that given this game almost always brings out the goals.
They netted in each of their last 13 meetings with Milan but at the same time kept only one clean sheet in that period. This season they’ve enjoyed their away days, playing five and winning all on the road.
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AC Milan v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.09 | 3.25 | 3.9 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.52 | 4.01 |
|
|
2.34 | 2.92 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.92 | 3.76 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.88 | 3.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Roma?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Roma match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between AC Milan and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.92% for a win of AC Milan against Roma with odds of 2.38 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Roma is 16.24% with odds of 3.52 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs AC Milan with odds of 4.01 at 1xbet.
AC Milan - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 47.85% | 4.01 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.58% | 2.62 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 23.12% | 7.5 at LSbet |
AC Milan vs Roma Form
AC Milan and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
5
|
70 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | +18 |
AC Milan and Roma Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
AC Milan vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2025 - Serie A
5 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Dec 2024 - Serie A
31 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
11 Apr 2024 - Europa League
AC Milan against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
P. Terracciano
M. Pittarella
DefenderF. Tomori
P. Estupinan
Z. Athekame
D. Odogu
MidfielderA. Jashari
R. Loftus-Cheek
A. Castiello
D. Vasquez
P. Gollini
DefenderJ. Ziolkowski
D. Ghilardi
D. Rensch
K. Tsimikas
N. Pisilli
T. Baldanzi
L. Pellegrini
A. Dovbyk
L. Bailey
S. El Shaarawy
Missing players
A. Rabiot
Angelino
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Roma
R. Leao
(9 Goals)
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
A. Rabiot
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Pulisic
(4 Assists)
, 
S. Ricci
(4 Assists)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
AC Milan - Roma Key Points
- Both sides scored in two of Roma’s last three away games.
- Roma scored in all their last 13 matches against AC Milan.
- AC Milan scored in 14 of the last 15 meetings with Roma.
- In four of Milan’s last five matches, both teams scored.
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Our AC Milan vs Roma Prediction
At home this season, Milan have managed just one clean sheet in the five league games played. They’ve dropped points twice there, and it was against promoted sides—Pisa and Cremonese. Those were also the only instances they conceded more than once in home league matches.
Meanwhile, Roma’s best days this season have come in away matches. They scored in the five outings and won all. That’s what makes this an interesting affair. Just like in the teams’ recent meetings, we are assured of goals. Our prediction for AC Milan v AS Roma is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Roma
| AC Milan vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 2 | 2.38 | +19.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.52 | +10.0% |
| Roma wins | 3.8 | 4.01 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 24.9% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
