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12 April 2023 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Champions League

AC Milan
VS
Napoli

Prediction :

Napoli wins the match

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AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League

 by Nella Wagah | in Champions League Prediction

About 10 days after facing off in the Serie A, Italian giants AC Milan and Napoli will be at it again – Milan hosting Napoli at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in one of the UEFA Champions league quarter final matches. Milan eliminated English side Tottenham Hotspur to get to this stage while Napoli saw off German outfit, Eintracht Frankfurt.

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Napoli come into this game as slight favorites, as backed by bookies and a win for them is priced at 2.75. Hosts Milan are backed to win at 2.86 while a draw is offered at 3.42.

AC Milan vs Napoli Form

AC Milan and Napoli Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

7 Apr 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Empoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

18 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Udinese
3 :  1
AC Milan

13 Mar 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Salernitana

8 Mar 2023 - Champions League

Tottenham
0 :  0
AC Milan

4 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
AC Milan
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
17%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

7 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Napoli

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

19 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Turin
0 :  4
Napoli

15 Mar 2023 - Champions League

Napoli
3 :  0
Eintracht Frankfurt

11 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Atalanta

3 Mar 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
Lazio

AC Milan against Napoli : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

50 %

Draw

0 %

Napoli

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.83
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

2 Apr 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  4
AC Milan

18 Sep 2022 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Napoli

6 Mar 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  1
AC Milan

19 Dec 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Napoli

14 Mar 2021 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Napoli

22 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  3
AC Milan
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AC Milan - Napoli: Form Analysis

Milan will count on home advantage coming into this game; they hope it plays out well for them, even as they seek to rise from a run of just a win in six matches. Milan’s only win came away from home, against their current opponent – a 4-0 thrashing of the Serie A league leaders. It was perfect revenge for their 2-1 loss at home to Napoli and while they will want to beat Napoli for a second time this season, this fixture rarely favors the home team. In the last eight meetings, which have seen only two draws, no team playing at home has won. In the remaining six, each team has three wins. Milan are coming from a 0-0 draw at home to Empoli. It was their second straight clean sheet and third in five matches. In their run of six matches, Milan have only managed more than a goal in one game.

Napoli have a point to prove as they go into this game. They recently suffered a humiliating loss at home to Milan, and that should fire them up for this game, an Italian classic, that has recently gone their way when playing away from home. Napoli have all it takes to avenge the loss but will have to do better than in their last game, a 2-1 win over Lecce in the Serie A. That was in an away game; their eighth straight away win. Napoli have only lost one of their nine away matches this year. Ahead of this game they have three wins in four away matches in the Champions League and kept two clean sheets in the period. Napoli have been a great scoring side this season, and in their last five matches, they have failed to score in just one. In the rest, they’ve scored two or more goals in four of five.

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AC Milan against Napoli Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
2
D. Calabria
24
S. Kjaer
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
33
R. Krunic
8
S. Tonali
10
B. Diaz
4
I. Bennacer
17
R. Leao
9
O. Giroud
77
K. Kvaratskhelia
7
E. Elmas
11
H. Lozano
20
P. Zielinski
68
S. Lobotka
99
A. Zambo Anguissa
6
M. Rui
3
K. Min-jae
13
A. Rrahmani
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

I. Bennacer

Forward

Z. Ibrahimovic

Napoli
Napoli
Forward

H. Lozano

M. Politano

AC Milan & Napoli Squad Analysis

AC Milan will welcome back the experienced Simon Kjaer, who watched the last game from the bench while Olivier Giroud and Rafael Leao should be drafted in from the start after starting on the bench in the Empoli game. However, Pierre Kalulu will miss this game as he is nursing a calf injury.

The notable absentee in this game is Victor Osimhen. The Nigerian has been pivotal for the visitors, but his thigh injury means he misses this once again. In his absence Napoli have lost their spark in attack. It could get worse, with Giovanni Simeone, the best option in Osimhen’s absence, also having left the pitch injured in the 2-1 win at Lecce.

AC Milan - Napoli Key Points

  1. Milan have one win in their last six matches.
  2. Napoli have eight wins in their last 10 matches
  3. Milan have three clean sheets in the last five matches.
  4. Napoli have seven clean sheets in their last 10 matches
  5. Milan have scored more than a goal in one of the last six games.
  6. No home team has won this fixture in the two teams’ last eight meetings
  7. Napoli have three clean sheets in the last four Champions League games.
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Our AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

Milan have a poor run coming into this game, with just one win in their last six matches. Napoli will be targeting revenge here after their humiliating 4-0 loss to Milan at home. They have the better run ahead of this game. The fact that the home team rarely wins this fixture, as per recent matches, could give Napoli the needed confidence. Based on recent performances, our prediction for AC Milan v Napoli will be a win for the away side.

Prediction :

Napoli wins the match

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AC Milan vs Napoli - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score - No

These two sides have kept a lot of clean sheets in their most recent matches. It points to strength in defence and as we expect a tight affair out there, we will not back both teams to score.

Napoli win to nil

Napoli have the most clean sheets in the last 10 matches. While Milan have also done well in defence, their numbers are quite lower. The hosts have also scored considerably lesser goals in their recent matches and with that we will back Napoli to win without conceding.
AC Milan vs Napoli Prediction

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AC Milan vs Napoli match : Frequently asked questions

The AC Milan v Napoli game will be played at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium in Milan.

Romanian referee Istvan Kovacs has been appointed the referee for the AC Milan v Napoli game.

The AC Milan v Napoli game game will be aired on BT Sport 2

Victor Osimhen has a thigh injury and is ruled out of the AC Milan v Napoli game.

The AC Milan v Napoli game will be played on Wednesday 12th April from 8pm UK time.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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