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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips - Coppa Italia

Italy - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
23/09/2025 14:00
Lecce

Prediction :

 

AC Milan Win to Nil

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions

AC Milan will look to continue their impressive start to the season as they play a battling Lecce in the second round of the Coppa Italia competition on Tuesday. This match at San Siro between the two Serie A clubs – Rossoneri and Giallorossi – comes with our prediction of a home win to nil. The winner of this match will play Lazio in the round of 16.

Milan were the beaten finalists last year in this competition and have five titles to their name, the last of which came in 2003. Lecce were beaten in the second round for the last two seasons, both times coming against current Serie A sides.

The home team started their campaign brightly, winning three of their four league games this year. As they stay rooted closer to the top in the league standings, their defensive record stands out. They have four wins out of five competitive matches, all four seeing them keep a clean sheet.

Lecce stayed at the bottom of the Serie A standings with only one point from four matches (D1, L3). They come here long three in a row, all against top-flight opposition. The visitors could only score two goals in their last four matches, and that could be a concern in replicating the 2-0 win over Juve Stabia in the last round.

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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Lecce Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Betfred
1.25 5 10
William Hill
1.3 4.6 10
Bwin
1.28 5 10.5
Betobet
1.27 5 10
Betwinner
1.3 5 11
Check all AC Milan vs Lecce odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lecce?

Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lecce match is: AC Milan win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/09/2025 between AC Milan and Lecce in Coppa Italia :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.23% for a win of AC Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.32 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lecce is 25.77% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs AC Milan with odds of 11.5 at 22bet.

AC Milan vs Lecce Form

AC Milan and Lecce Last Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

9 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan
Lecce
Lecce Last matches
D W D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Cagliari

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce
W L W W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Cagliari

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  3
United Arab Emirates

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia
D D W D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce

11 May 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  1
Lecce

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lecce

AC Milan vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

83 %

Draw

17 %

Lecce

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

27 Sep 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

6 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

23 Apr 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Lecce
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AC Milan vs Lecce last Lineups

AC Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
P. Terracciano
23
F. Tomori
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
56
A. Saelemaekers
14
L. Modric
12
A. Rabiot
19
Y. Fofana
2
P. Estupinan
11
C. Pulisic
7
S. Gimenez
23
R. Sottil
9
N. Stulic
50
S. Pierotti
6
A. Sala
20
Y. Ramadani
29
L. Coulibaly
25
A. Gallo
44
Tiago Gabriel
4
K. Gaspar
21
C. Kouassi
30
W. Falcone

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lecce

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Maignan

Defender

S. Pavlovic

Midfielder

A. Jashari

Forward

R. Leao

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

G. Jean

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Lecce
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast K. N’Dri (1 Goals) Portugal Tiago Gabriel (1 Goals)
Best assists
Ecuador P. Estupinan (1 Assists)
Croatia L. Modric (1 Assists)
Belgium A. Saelemaekers (1 Assists)
France A. Rabiot (1 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal D. Melo Veiga (1 Assists)
Italy R. Sottil (1 Assists)

AC Milan - Lecce Key Points

  1. Milan won their last four matches against Lecce, three coming with a clean sheet.
  2. Milan’s last three wins have come with a clean sheet.
  3. Milan won two of their last three competitive matches at home, both with a clean sheet.
  4. Lecce lost their three recent fixtures.
  5. Lecce were beaten in their last three trips to San Siro to face Milan, all without scoring.
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Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction

Looking at how Milan and Lecce have started their campaign, this match could end up being a mismatch. Milan won 3-0 away from home in their last match, which was their third victory in a row this season. All those three have come with a clean sheet, and it could be a repeat here going by Lecce’s own form. They have lost three in a row coming into this match and are likely to be overpowered on this trip.

Lecce’s struggles on the road could continue, and our AC Milan vs Lecce prediction is AC Milan win to nil.

Prediction :

 

AC Milan Win to Nil

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
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