Italy - Coppa Italia
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
AC Milan will look to continue their impressive start to the season as they play a battling Lecce in the second round of the Coppa Italia competition on Tuesday. This match at San Siro between the two Serie A clubs – Rossoneri and Giallorossi – comes with our prediction of a home win to nil. The winner of this match will play Lazio in the round of 16.
Milan were the beaten finalists last year in this competition and have five titles to their name, the last of which came in 2003. Lecce were beaten in the second round for the last two seasons, both times coming against current Serie A sides.
The home team started their campaign brightly, winning three of their four league games this year. As they stay rooted closer to the top in the league standings, their defensive record stands out. They have four wins out of five competitive matches, all four seeing them keep a clean sheet.
Lecce stayed at the bottom of the Serie A standings with only one point from four matches (D1, L3). They come here long three in a row, all against top-flight opposition. The visitors could only score two goals in their last four matches, and that could be a concern in replicating the 2-0 win over Juve Stabia in the last round.
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The Best Betting Odds for AC Milan v Lecce Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 7 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.14 | 7.5 | 15 |
|
|
1.13 | 8 | 19 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Lecce?
Our prediction for the AC Milan vs Lecce match is: AC Milan win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/09/2025 between AC Milan and Lecce in Coppa Italia :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.9% for a win of AC Milan against Lecce with odds of 1.22 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between AC Milan vs Lecce is 24.61% with odds of 8.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.5% chance ⭐ for a win of Lecce vs AC Milan with odds of 20 at Tonybet.
AC Milan - Lecce Prediction and Best Odds:
| AC Milan Lecce Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 55.9% | 1.22 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 54.65% | 2.68 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan | 26.97% | 4.33 at Betfair |
AC Milan vs Lecce Form
AC Milan and Lecce Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
24 May 2025 - Serie A
9 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
AC Milan vs Lecce Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Sept 2024 - Serie A
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
23 Apr 2023 - Serie A
Players list
M. Maignan
DefenderK. De Winter
D. Bartesaghi
S. Pavlovic
F. Tomori
MidfielderR. Loftus-Cheek
S. Ricci
A. Rabiot
A. Saelemaekers
ForwardC. Nkunku
S. Gimenez
C. Fruchtl
DefenderC. Ndaba
D. Melo Veiga
Tiago Gabriel
J. Siebert
MidfielderT. Helgason
K. N-Dri
M. Kaba
ForwardM. Berisha
F. Camarda
T. Morente
Substitutes
P. Terracciano
L. Torriani
DefenderM. Gabbia
Z. Athekame
P. Estupinan
D. Odogu
MidfielderL. Modric
Y. Fofana
ForwardC. Pulisic
C. Balentien
W. Falcone
J. Samooja
DefenderA. Gallo
K. Gaspar
C. Kouassi
N. Kovac
MidfielderS. Pierotti
O. Gorter
L. Coulibaly
Y. Ramadani
A. Sala
ForwardN. Stulic
Missing players
A. Jashari
ForwardR. Leao
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
Most goals and assists
AC Milan
Lecce
C. Pulisic
(5 Goals)
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Berisha
(2 Goals)
L. Modric
(2 Assists)
,
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
T. Morente
(1 Assists)
,
A. Sala
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Gallo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Berisha
(1 Assists)
,
R. Sottil
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Melo Veiga
(1 Assists)
AC Milan - Lecce Key Points
- Milan won their last four matches against Lecce, three coming with a clean sheet.
- Milan’s last three wins have come with a clean sheet.
- Milan won two of their last three competitive matches at home, both with a clean sheet.
- Lecce lost their three recent fixtures.
- Lecce were beaten in their last three trips to San Siro to face Milan, all without scoring.
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Our AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction
Looking at how Milan and Lecce have started their campaign, this match could end up being a mismatch. Milan won 3-0 away from home in their last match, which was their third victory in a row this season. All those three have come with a clean sheet, and it could be a repeat here going by Lecce’s own form. They have lost three in a row coming into this match and are likely to be overpowered on this trip.
Lecce’s struggles on the road could continue, and our AC Milan vs Lecce prediction is AC Milan win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis AC Milan Lecce
| AC Milan vs Lecce | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 1.24 | 1.13 | -8.9% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 7 | +33.3% |
| Lecce wins | 12 | 19 | +58.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 88.5% (7.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
