Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish Premiership

Scotland - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
17/10/2026 10:00
St Mirren

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Scottish Premiership Predictions

The Scottish Premiership returns as Matchday 9 will see Aberdeen host St Mirren. Only two points separate both sides in the second half of the table, but St Mirren come into Saturday’s game with four straight losses. One factor common to both teams ahead of their next clash is poor attacking form. Hence, our Aberdeen vs St Mirren match prediction is under 2.5

Aberdeen’s last league action was their 1-0 home defeat to St Johnstone, their fourth loss in eight league games. The home side has only scored in three league games this season, netting only seven goals. At least half of that goal tally came in one game, reflecting The Dons’ struggles in front of goal. Now they will welcome a St Mirren side who have one goal more.

The Saints were beaten 5-0, their fourth straight league defeat, when they travelled to Hearts on Matchday 8. The away side managed only one goal in that four-game run, taking their league tally to eight in eight matches. 

St Mirren’s form in attack is very similar to that of Aberdeen, which further shows why the Dons are only two points behind. Both teams will likely have little to offer attacking-wise in Saturday's game, and we expect a rather closed match-up that should produce two goals or less by full time.

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Aberdeen v St Mirren Best Betting Odds

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1.86 3.70 4.00
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1.86 3.62 3.91
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1.86 3.62 3.91
Betwinner
1.86 3.62 3.91
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1.86 3.62 3.91
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What is the prediction for the football match between Aberdeen and St Mirren?

Our prediction for the Aberdeen vs St Mirren match is: Under 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2026 between Aberdeen and St Mirren in Scottish Premiership :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.95% for a win of Aberdeen against St Mirren with odds of 1.87 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Aberdeen vs St Mirren is 15.37% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.68% chance ⭐ for a win of St Mirren vs Aberdeen with odds of 4 at Stake.

Aberdeen vs St Mirren Form

Aberdeen and St Mirren's standings in the Scottish Premiership

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 St Mirren
10 8 3 1 4 -6
8 Aberdeen
8 8 2 2 4 -2

Aberdeen and St Mirren Last Matches

Aberdeen
Aberdeen Last matches
D D W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  1
St Johnstone

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 :  4
Aberdeen

19 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Aberdeen

15 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  4
Aberdeen

12 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
1 :  1
Aberdeen

5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  0
Kilmarnock
W W W L D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  1
St Johnstone

5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  0
Kilmarnock

30 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  1
Rangers

15 Aug 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
3 :  0
Dundee FC

1 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
2 :  1
Heart Of Midlothian FC

25 Jul 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Aberdeen
3 :  0
Kelty Hearts
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 :  4
Aberdeen

19 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  1
Aberdeen

15 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Motherwell
0 :  4
Aberdeen

12 Sept 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
1 :  1
Aberdeen

2 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
Aberdeen

8 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  0
Aberdeen
St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
D W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
5 :  0
St Mirren

19 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Dundee United

9 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
St Mirren

5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  2
Celtic

2 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  1
St Mirren

30 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
3 :  3
Motherwell
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Dundee United

5 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  2
Celtic

30 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
3 :  3
Motherwell

8 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
St Johnstone

26 Jul 2026 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
0 :  1
Dunfermline Athletic FC

21 Jul 2026 - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
4 :  3
East Kilbride FC
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
5 :  0
St Mirren

9 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Rangers
1 :  0
St Mirren

2 Sept 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
0 :  1
St Mirren

16 Aug 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Rangers
5 :  1
St Mirren

1 Aug 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Falkirk
0 :  2
St Mirren

18 Jul 2026 - Scottish League Cup

Cove Rangers
0 :  4
St Mirren

Aberdeen vs St Mirren Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Aberdeen

17 %

Draw

17 %

St Mirren

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

12 May 2026 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  2
St Mirren

4 Apr 2026 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Aberdeen

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
3 :  3
St Mirren

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Aberdeen

3 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Aberdeen

25 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
0 :  3
St Mirren
Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction

Players list

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

M. Muller

Defender

M. Knoester

C. Cadden

G. Molloy

N. Guinness-Walker

Midfielder

C. Ronan

B. Lyons

F. Marshall

J. Milne

Forward

A. Mouloua

K. Nisbet

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

J. Chapman

Defender

C. Ramsay

H. Fieldson

D. John

Midfielder

C. Mochrie

A. Gogic

P. Nsio

F. Taylor

R. Carr

Forward

K. Phillips

N. Agrafiotis

I. Kabia

Substitutes

Aberdeen
Aberdeen
Goalkeeper

D. Klein

Defender

D. Happe

L. Mayo

Midfielder

L. Smith

A. Afeez

S. Armstrong

Forward

T. Olusanya

H. Mahou

T. Yogane

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

G. Tamosevicius

Defender

L. Jackson

M. Fraser

Midfielder

C. McEvoy

L. Donnelly

S. Ramos

Forward

J. Young

L. Thomas

E. Sule

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Aberdeen
CD Huachipato St Mirren
Top Goalscorer
Scotland K. Nisbet (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland K. Phillips (3 Goals)

Aberdeen - St Mirren Key Points

  1. Aberdeen has scored in only three out of eight league games.
  2. The Saints have only eight league goals in eight games.
  3. The Dons have one less goal, netting seven league goals in eight Scottish Premiership matches.
  4. Four of their past five H2H meetings have ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our Aberdeen vs St Mirren Prediction

The Dons are in the second half of the table with only eight points from eight games. Their attacking form has been remarkably poor as Aberdeen has only found the net in three out of eight league matches this season.

Now they will take on a St Mirren side who are just as poor, scoring only eight league goals since the start of the season. Four of their past five H2H clashes have ended with two goals or less, and it seems Saturday’s clash is headed in that direction. Hence, our Aberdeen vs  St Mirren prediction is Under 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.