1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
With Bundesliga relegation an unwanted threat hanging around, Mainz host top-four chasers Stuttgart in a crucial match, matchday 25, on Saturday. This match in Mainz between the 14th-placed 05ers and the fourth-placed Reds comes with our prediction of Stuttgart scoring over 1.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Mainz’s 23 points (W5, D8, L11) see them just one point above the relegation zone. Stuttgart’s 46 points (W14, D4, L6) place them level on points with third, but only two points above fifth.
Mainz held Leverkusen to a 1-1 away draw last weekend to make it two successive draws with the same score. This kept them winless in three league games (D2, L1), which hampered their progress that looked to take them into the mid-table with three consecutive wins.
Key to Mainz’s success could be their home form, as the 05ers have four wins from their last six competitive home games (D2) and three wins from their last four in the Bundesliga.
Stuttgart thrashed Wolfsburg 4-0 at home last weekend to continue their strong top four push. With seven wins from their last 11 Bundesliga games (D3, L1), the Reds are showing strong form going into the business end of the season.
Stuttgart have failed to win on their last two league trips (D1, L1) but had three wins in a row on the road before that.
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.8 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.62 | 3.78 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.8 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.75 | 1.92 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Stuttgart?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart match is: Stuttgart over 1.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Stuttgart in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.8% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Stuttgart with odds of 3.84 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart is 23.84% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.22 at Shangrila.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Stuttgart Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stuttgart Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 40.8% | 3.84 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% | 1.62 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : 1 Fsv Mainz 05/1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 15.76% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Stuttgart's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Stuttgart Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
18 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Stuttgart Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderK. Potulski
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
S. Katompa Mvumpa
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
F. Bredlow
DefenderR. Hendriks
A. Al-Dakhil
F. Jeltsch
Chema Andres
B. Bouanani
N. Nartey
T. Tomas
J. Arevalo
Missing players
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche-Olsen
A. Caci
MidfielderN. Amiri
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
J. Vagnoman
ForwardJ. Diehl
L. Jovanovic
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Stuttgart
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
D. Undav
(19 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
J. Leweling
(8 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Stuttgart Key Points
- In six of their last nine Bundesliga matches, Stuttgart scored 3+ goals.
- Away from home, Stuttgart netted 3+ goals in four of their last five Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz conceded 1.63 goals per Bundesliga match this season.
- Mainz have conceded at least two goals to Stuttgart in six of their last seven matches in all competitions.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart Prediction
Stuttgart are one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 2.0 goals per game in this Bundesliga campaign. That increases to 2.25 in their away league games, so expect the visitors to come out firing on all cylinders. Mainz have an impressive record at home, winning four of their last six home matches in all competitions. That makes backing the visitors on the win count a slightly risky move, especially with Mainz in desperate need for points.
Looking at the history of this fixture, our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart prediction is Stuttgart over 1.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stuttgart
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Stuttgart | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 3.09 | 3.84 | +24.3% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 4 | +7.0% |
| Stuttgart wins | 2.36 | 2.22 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.4% and is now 26.0% (-6.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
