1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bundesliga action resumes in matchday 11 with Mainz looking to move away from the relegation zone when they host an in-form Hoffenheim going strong in the European qualification places. This match on Friday at Mewa Arena between the 17th-placed ‘Die Nullfunfer’ and the sixth-placed ‘Die Kraichgauer’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
After ten rounds, Mainz had five points (W1, D2, L5) and were two points away from the safety zone. Hoffenheim’s 19 points (W6, D1, L3) keep them two points adrift of the Champions League qualification spots.
Mainz lost 1-0 away at Eintracht Frankfurt before the international break, which was their sixth league game without a win (D1, L5). With only one win all season long in the Bundesliga, it’s clear that Mainz are looking early favourites to struggle in the relegation zone.
There has been no respite at home for the 05ers, as they won just a single point in their five home league games this season (D1, L4).
Hoffenheim went into the break with a 3-1 home win over Leipzig, giving them four league wins in a row. A win here could take them as high as second temporarily, and that’s incentive enough to put in a big performance.
Hoffenheim are unbeaten on the road this season in the league, winning four and drawing four such games.
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Hoffenheim Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.54 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.52 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.48 | 3.45 | 2.68 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim match is: Hoffenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/11/2025 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.12% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Hoffenheim with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim is 22.36% with odds of 3.65 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.79 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins | 52.52% | 2.79 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.71% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Hoffenheim/Hoffenheim | 21.06% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
61 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | +13 |
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hoffenheim Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
19 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Nov 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
10 Sept 2022 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderD. da Costa
S. Bell
N. Veratschnig
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Weiper
A. Sieb
B. Bobzien
L. Philipp
DefenderA. Chaves
K. Akpoguma
MidfielderM. Damar
A. Prass
U. Tohumcu
ForwardT. Lemperle
M. Moerstedt
I. Bebou
Missing players
A. Caci
M. Dal
MidfielderD. Gleiber
K. Machida
V. Gendrey
H. Behrens
ForwardA. Hlozek
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
A. Kramaric
(14 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
B. Toure
(8 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Mainz lost six of their last seven matches in all competitions, drawing the other.
- Mainz were beaten in four of their last five home matches, drawing the other.
- Hoffenheim won their last four Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, Hoffenheim won four of their five Bundesliga trips this season.
- Hoffenheim won 2-0 when the sides last met in April in the Bundesliga.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Mainz, which spent the international break in the relegation zone, couldn't have benefited more from the break. With just one draw from their last seven competitive fixtures, Mainz have been struggling to get a foothold in their quest to move from the danger zone. Their form at home hasn’t been helpful either, as Mainz lost five of their seven home fixtures this season. That could play to Hoffenheim’s advantage with the visitors going strong in European places.
Hoffenheim are likely to keep winning, and our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim prediction is Hoffenheim wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Hoffenheim
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.25 | 2.7 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.65 | +4.3% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 2.95 | 2.79 | -5.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.9% and is now 35.8% (1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
