1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Bundesliga matchday 23 fixture on Friday gives a chance for Mainz to move away from the relegation zone as an improving Hamburg comes to town. This match in Mainz between the 14th-placed 05ers and the ninth-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round of matches, Mainz’s 21 points (W5, D6, L11) see them start two points above the relegation zone. Hamburg’s 25 points from 21 matches (W6, D7, L8) put them six points behind seventh and four points above their hosts.
Mainz were thrashed 4-0 away at Borussia Dortmund last Friday to keep them perilously close to the relegation zone. That result ended a three-game winning run for the 05ers, who are still in the midst of an improved run of results.
Four wins in the last five home games, including three in a row in the league, give Mainz a great chance at this venue to get back to winning ways.
Hamburg won 3-2 at home against Union last weekend to extend their unbeaten run to five league games (W2, D3). This run has solidified their midtable presence and given wings to dream.
That run included a 2-0 win away at Heidenheim in their last trip, but Hamburg have struggled lately. Four defeats in the last six away league games (W1, D1) are a testimony to that.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
1 Fsv Mainz 05 v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.11 | 3.5 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.36 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.36 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.35 | 3.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg match is: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/02/2026 between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.83% for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Hamburg with odds of 2.17 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg is 18.94% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 3.73 at 888Starz.
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 50.83% | 2.17 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.72% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | 19.48% | 5.75 at LSbet |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg Form
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Hamburg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
L. Riess
DefenderM. Leitsch
MidfielderP. Nebel
W. Boving
D. Gleiber
N. Veratschnig
L. Maloney
ForwardA. Sieb
S. Becker
S. Tangvik
DefenderD. Elfadli
W. Mikelbrencis
G. Gocholeishvili
J. Dompe
ForwardR. Philippe
O. Stange
Y. Poulsen
D. Downs
Missing players
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
S. Widmer
A. Hanche Olsen
A. Caci
ForwardB. Hollerbach
F. Moreno Fell
K. Bos
L. Vuskovic
MidfielderA. Sambi Lokonga
A. Gronbaek
ForwardA. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Hamburg
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
F. Vieira
(7 Goals)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
F. Vieira
(5 Assists)
1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Hamburg Key Points
- Mainz have won four of their last five home competitive matches, including three in a row.
- Mainz have won three of their last four Bundesliga matches.
- Hamburg lost four of their last six Bundesliga away games, winning just once.
- Hamburg could win only two of their last eight matches in all competitions, drawing four and losing two.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg Prediction
Hamburg have impressed lately, staying unbeaten in five, including consecutive league wins. That included a win at Heidenheim in their last trip, but they are yet to crack the away code. The visitors have four defeats in their last six, which could be a run that Mainz may look to extend, as they have won their last three home league games.
The hosts are in need of consistent results to avoid getting dragged into the relegation dogfight. A home win could help, so our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg prediction is 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Hamburg
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.11 | 2.17 | +2.8% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.55 | +9.2% |
| Hamburg wins | 4.27 | 3.73 | -12.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 46.1% (-1.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
