1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
15/03/2025 10:30
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Only three points separate Mainz and Freiburg ahead of this crucial Bundesliga matchday 26 meeting on Saturday. This match at the MEWA Arena between the third-placed Die Nullfunfer and the fifth-placed Breisgau-Brasilianer comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Mainz’s tally of 44 points put them just two points ahead of Eintracht Frankfurt, while Freiburg are one point further behind.

With a 3-1 away win at Borussia Monchengladbach last Friday, Mainz made it four league victories in a row. The hopes of qualifying for the Champions League are high, as they look to make the most of their impressive defensive record, which is second only to Bayern Munich.

The record is even better at home, as Mainz have six wins and one draw from their last seven Bundesliga matches here.

Freiburg drew 0-0 last weekend at home against Leipzig for a second consecutive draw with the same scoreline. They have now kept six consecutive clean sheets in the league, winning four matches before these stalemates.

This upsurge has also seen Freiburg improve their recent away form, winning two and drawing one of their last three league trips. All these matches saw Freiburg keep a clean sheet, and interestingly, the reverse fixture also ended in a 0-0 draw.

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1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Form

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Freiburg
55 34 16 7 11 -4
6 1 Fsv Mainz 05
52 34 14 10 10 +12

1 Fsv Mainz 05 and Freiburg Last Matches

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last matches
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
St. Pauli

16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Augsburg

31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
St. Pauli

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  0
Augsburg

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
Stuttgart

11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
Bochum

14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bayern Munich

1 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  0
Hoffenheim
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

19 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
2 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
W W W W D D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
Leipzig

21 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
5 :  0
Werder Bremen

8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Heidenheim

25 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Holstein Kiel

13 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Wolfsburg
L L L W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
0 :  0
Freiburg

15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Freiburg

1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Bochum
0 :  1
Freiburg

18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Freiburg

14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Freiburg

21 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
5 :  1
Freiburg

1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

1 Fsv Mainz 05

0 %

Draw

67 %

Freiburg

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

3 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
0 :  0
1 Fsv Mainz 05

21 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

3 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
0 :  1
Freiburg

19 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Freiburg

1 Oct 2022 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

12 Feb 2022 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

1 Fsv Mainz 05 against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11

1 Fsv Mainz 05

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

27
R. Zentner
21
D. da Costa
3
M. Jenz
31
D. Kohr
19
A. Caci
6
K. Sano
18
N. Amiri
2
P. Mwene
8
P. Nebel
7
L. Jae-sung
29
J. Burkardt
20
J. Adamu
9
L. Holer
32
V. Grifo
6
P. Osterhage
8
M. Eggestein
42
R. Doan
30
C. Gunter
3
P. Lienhart
28
M. Ginter
25
K. Sildillia
1
N. Atubolu

Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1

Freiburg

Substitutes

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Goalkeeper

L. Riess

Defender

M. Leitsch

A. Hanche Olsen

P. Mwene 46'

S. Widmer

Midfielder

H. Hyun-seok

N. Veratschnig

Forward

A. Nordin

A. Sieb

N. Weiper

Freiburg
Freiburg
Goalkeeper

F. Muller

Defender

J. Makengo

M. Rosenfelder

L. Kubler

K. Sildillia 76'

Midfielder

N. Hofler

M. Eggestein 76'

J. Beste

V. Grifo 86'

J. Manzambi

Forward

E. Dinkci

M. Gregoritsch

J. Adamu 46'

Missing players

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 Fsv Mainz 05
Defender

S. Bell

Freiburg
Freiburg
Defender

B. Ogbus

Midfielder

D. Kyereh

M. Rohl

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato 1 Fsv Mainz 05
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
Germany J. Burkardt (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan R. Doan (10 Goals)
Best assists
France A. Caci (7 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (11 Assists)

1 Fsv Mainz 05 - Freiburg Key Points

  1. In five of Mainz’s last seven league matches, there have been under 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Mainz kept a clean sheet in their last four home league games.
  3. Eight of Mainz’s last 11 home Bundesliga matches produced two or fewer goals.
  4. Freiburg kept a clean sheet in six consecutive Bundesliga matches.
  5. Freiburg’s last three away league matches produced zero or one goals each time.
  6. The last four league matches between Mainz and Freiburg have produced fewer than three goals.
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Our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction

This is a massive match for both Mainz and Freiburg considering the lofty ambitions of both clubs to qualify for the Champions League. That makes this a match neither side would like to lose. Adding to that equation, the defensive strengths of both these clubs make this a tight match. Mainz have conceded only 26 goals, with only Bayern conceding fewer goals this season. Freiburg aren’t far and come here on the back of six consecutive clean sheets. That’s why our 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Prediction