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02 May 2024 - 10:00 

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WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 1 Poland
Iga Swiatek
VS
WTA 16 USA
Madison Keys

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed Iga Swiatek will play 18th seed Madison Keys in the semi-finals of the 2024 Madrid Open. The winner will play Yulia Putintseva, Elena Rybakina, Aryna Sabalenka or Mirra Andreeva in the final. Iga Swiatek is just one win away from equaling her career best in Madrid achieved last year. She finished as runner-up last season and will be determined to go all the way this season. Swiatek, who has played three finals and won two titles in 2024, defeated Beatriz Haddad Maia in the quarters. It was her first three-set victory of the event and saw her come back emphatically after losing the first set. Swiatek allowed the 11th seed just two games in the final two sets. She has now won 30 of 34 matches this season, maintaining her tight hold on the world number one spot. Swiatek has won two of the three previous matchups with Keys, one on clay in Rome.

Madison Keys is having the campaign of her life in Madrid. The American had never progressed past the third round in nine previous appearances. She had lost in the first round in her last five appearances. Keys, who had a belated start to the season due to injury, defeated former Madrid champions Ons Jabeur in the semis. She came back from losing the first set 6-0 to secure the win with a 6-1 decider. Keys had also defeated compatriot and third seed Cori Gauff in three sets before battling Jabeur. She has now compiled a 7-3 record with four of her wins coming in five outings on clay. Keys has won more than two matches in a row for the first time since September. Her Madrid success has moved her up four places to 16th in the live ranking. The 29-year-old defeated Swiatek in straight sets the last time they met, which was two seasons ago in Cincinnati.

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The Best Betting Odds for Iga Swiatek v Madison Keys Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.07 9
Ladbrokes
1.09 7
NetBet
1.04 7.5
Check all Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys odds
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Who will win the Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys game on 5/2/24 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Iga Swiatek has a 71.02% chance to win against Madison Keys according to Ladbrokes ⭐ with the odds of 1.09.
  • Madison Keys has a 28.98% probability of winning facing Iga Swiatek ⭐ with odds of 9 at Bet365.

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Iga Swiatek has a 71.02 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Iga Swiatek71.02 %
Madison Keys28.98 %

Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Form

Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys Last Matches

Iga Swiatek Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

30 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Beatriz Haddad Maia

29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Sara Sorribes Tormo

27 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Sorana Cirstea

25 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Xiyu Wang

20 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Elena Rybakina

19 Apr 2024 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Emma Raducanu
Madison Keys Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Ons Jabeur

29 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Coco Gauff
1 :  2
Madison Keys

27 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Liudmila Samsonova

25 Apr 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Irina-Camelia Begu

2 Apr 2024 - WTA Charleston Open

Jaqueline Adina Cristian
2 :  1
Madison Keys

25 Mar 2024 - WTA Miami

Madison Keys
0 :  2
Elena Rybakina

Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys Key Points

  1. Swiatek has defeated Keys twice in three meetings
  2. One of Swiatek’s two wins against Keys was achieved on a clay court
  3. Swiatek reached the Madrid final last season
  4. Keys has been defeated three times in the last five tour semi-finals she has contested
  5. Swiatek has qualified for three finals so far in 2024
Up to $200 to bet on Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys! 

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Our Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction

Our prediction for Iga Swiatek v Maddison Keys is for Swiatek to win in straight sets. Swiatek has defeated Keys twice in straight sets in their three previous meetings. She has also won three of her four rounds in Madrid without losing a set. Swiatek has been one of the form players in the WTA and has already won two titles. Keys on the other hand is just getting back to full fitness after missing the first quarter of the season with an injury.

Prediction :

Iga Swiatek to win in straight sets

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Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction

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