Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield | in Championship Predictions
Wrexham look to close the gap on the top six in the Championship. The Welsh club are 16th in the table after the first six games of the season and host Derby County who are down in 22nd place. Time for our match prediction.
Although they are only two points above the relegation zone, Wrexham are only three below the final promotion play-off position. There had been rumours of a managerial change after a less than brilliant start to the season. However, they have won two of their last three matches.
Last weekend saw them come from a goal down at Norwich City to win the game 3-2. Now they will want to start reproducing that form on home soil where three league games have seen them earn just one point. Five of their six league games have seen both teams score.
Derby County are in the relegation zone on goal difference. Last season they only survived the drop by a single point and they lost 13 away league fixtures. It's been a struggle this season with only five points from six games with just one win at West Brom.
Six of their last eight games have seen both teams score and our tip is for that stat to come up in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wrexham v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.25 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.3 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wrexham and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Wrexham vs Derby County match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Wrexham and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.39% for a win of Wrexham against Derby County with odds of 2.18 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wrexham vs Derby County is 30.45% with odds of 3.62 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Wrexham with odds of 3.71 at 22bet.
Wrexham - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wrexham Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wrexham wins | 41.39% | 2.18 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.22% | 2.33 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wrexham | 24.09% | 5 at Bet365 |
Wrexham vs Derby County Form
Wrexham and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
31 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 1 |
|
15
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
Wrexham and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Apr 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
22 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Wrexham against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
D. Ward
DefenderA. James
MidfielderA. Cannon
H. Ashfield
ForwardJ. Rodriguez
C. Nelson
S. Langas
O. Beck
MidfielderL. Thompson
ForwardC. Blackett-Taylor
Most goals and assists
Wrexham
Derby County
K. Moore
(10 Goals)
C. Morris
(10 Goals)
M. Cleworth
(3 Assists)
, 
J. McClean
(3 Assists)
,
J. Windass
(3 Assists)
J. Ward
(7 Assists)
Wrexham - Derby County Key Points
- Five of Wrexham's six league games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight Derby matches.
- Six Wrexham league games this season have seen 23 goals scored, 13 in three home fixtures.
- Five of Derby's last six away games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
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Our Wrexham vs Derby County Prediction
Wrexham have bounced back well from some early season problems. They won at Norwich City last weekend and followed that up with a home victory over Reading in the Carabao Cup. They are yet to win a home league game this season but will look to put that right against Derby.
The visitors only narrowly survived relegation last year and are again struggling for results. They begin this weekend in the relegation zone. Our Wrexham v Derby prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wrexham Derby County
| Wrexham vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wrexham wins | 1.96 | 2.01 | +2.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.5 | -2.8% |
| Derby County wins | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wrexham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 51.0% and is now 49.8% (-1.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Wrexham vs. Derby County game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Wrexham and Derby County when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
