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Wolves vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Wolves
20/09/2025 10:00
Leeds

Prediction :

 

BTTS – No

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions

Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United are set to face off in the next round of the English Premier League. The two sides will be under pressure to bag three points from this match, but the general feeling is that Wolves need them more. The hosts haven't put a point on the table and have easily been the poorest team so far. Can they change their fortunes on matchday five? Read on for our prediction of the match.

Off the pitch, the Wolves hierarchy seems to be making all the moves towards stabilizing the team. After battling to hold on to their key player in attack, manager Vitor Perreira has been handed a new three-year deal.

Perreira’s opposite number, Daniel Farke, will also have his concerns going into this game. Firstly, his team hasn’t won in the last three outings, but more worryingly, despite the attacking talent in there, they’ve failed to score in three straight league matches.

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The Best Betting Odds for Wolves v Leeds Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.7 3.2 2.75
Betfred
2.63 3.1 3
William Hill
2.6 3.1 2.75
Betway
2.7 3.1 2.7
Unibet
2.65 3.2 2.75
Check all Wolves vs Leeds odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Wolves vs Leeds match is: BTTS – No.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/09/2025 between Wolves and Leeds in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.21% for a win of Wolves against Leeds with odds of 2.75 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Leeds is 26.46% with odds of 3.26 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 49.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Wolves with odds of 3 at Betfred.

Wolves vs Leeds Form

Wolves and Leeds's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16
Leeds
Leeds
4 4 1 1 2 -5
20
Wolves
Wolves
0 4 0 0 4 -7

Wolves and Leeds Last Matches

Wolves
Wolves Last matches
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Everton

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  2
West Ham

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Wolves

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
0 :  1
Celta Vigo
D L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Everton

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  2
West Ham

16 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
0 :  4
Manchester City

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
0 :  1
Celta Vigo

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Wolves
1 :  3
Lens

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  1
Brentford
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Wolves

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  0
Wolves

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Girona
2 :  1
Wolves

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Wolves

20 May 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
4 :  2
Wolves

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves
Leeds
Leeds Last matches
D W L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

18 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan
W W D D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal

28 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
4 :  0
Bristol City

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Leeds
6 :  0
Stoke
W W D L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

23 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  0
Leeds

3 May 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  2
Leeds

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Leeds

Wolves vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolves

33 %

Draw

17 %

Leeds

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

18 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  4
Leeds

9 Nov 2022 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
1 :  0
Leeds

6 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
Wolves

18 Mar 2022 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Leeds

23 Oct 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Wolves

19 Feb 2021 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  0
Leeds
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Wolves - Leeds: Form Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers’ start to the season isn’t a surprise. They’ve managed more than one win in the first four league matches just once since 2018/19. However, that they’ve lost all the opening four this term is a bit concerning.

It actually is their worst start to a league campaign. The most recent of their losses was an away defeat at Newcastle United. With the manager on a fresh new contract and a message of support from the management, there’s a feeling Wolves will get it right at the fifth time of asking.

Wolves’ loss to Newcastle confirmed their poorest start to a season in 127 years.

Leeds United will want to pile on Wolves’ woes, but they have their own to worry about. The visitors started the season on a high, beating Everton 1-0. However, they’ve managed to add just one point to that from the three matches that followed. 

They’ve also failed to score in the three matches, and among them was a heavy defeat at Arsenal (5-0). Their latest loss was particularly hard to take after they conceded late at Fulham to suffer a 1-0 defeat. Worse still, it was an own goal from the dependable Gabriel Gudmundsson.

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Wolves vs Leeds last Lineups

Wolves

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
S. Johnstone
15
Y. Mosquera
12
E. Agbadou
24
T. Gomes
21
R. Gomes
37
L. Krejci
7
Andre
8
J. Gomes
3
H. Bueno
14
T. Arokodare
11
H. Hee-chan
19
N. Okafor
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
11
B. Aaronson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
3
G. Gudmundsson
2
J. Bogle
26
K. Darlow

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leeds

Missing players

Wolves
Wolves
Defender

K. Hoever

Forward

L. Chiwome

E. Gonzalez

J. Larsen

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

L. Perri

Forward

J. Piroe

Wolves & Leeds Squad Analysis

Wolves’ star forward Jorgen Strand Larsen is set to miss here again as he battles an Achilles tendon injury. The Norwegian’s goals this season have only come in the League Cup, as he scored twice to stun West Ham United. 

Last season he scored 14 league goals and finished with a 10.26 xG rating. Replacing such a player will be tough, but Hee-chan Hwan will be handed the chance. 

The Korean has scored once this season, and here he has another opportunity.

Hwang Hee-chan has one goal against Leeds, scored in a 2021/22 meeting between these teams.

Leeds defence is expected to be the busier of the two, but they will not have their first-choice keeper, Lucas Perri. They have an alternative in Karl Darlow, who was in between the sticks in the last game. 

Daniel James also limped off in the last game and could be absent for Leeds in this game.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolves
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Norway J. Larsen (2 Goals)
Portugal R. Gomes (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany L. Nmecha (1 Goals) England J. Bogle (1 Goals)
Best assists
Zimbabwe M. Munetsi (1 Assists)
Norway D. Wolfe (1 Assists)
Best assists

Wolves and Leeds Stats in Premier League

Wolves
Wolves
Leeds
Leeds
0%
Wins
25%
0%
Draw
25%
100%
Losses
50%
2.75
Total goals per match
1.75
0.5
Goals scored per match
0.25
2.25
Goals conceded per match
1.5
50%
Over 2.5
25%
50%
Under 2.5
75%
25%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sheet
50%

Wolves - Leeds Key Points

  1. Both sides scored in just two of Wolves' last five league matches.
  2. In five of their last eight matches, Wolves failed to score.
  3. At least one side failed to score in four of Wolves’ last seven matches.
  4. Leeds United failed to score in their last three league matches.
  5. Leeds United have no goals in their two away league matches so far this season.
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Our Wolves vs Leeds Prediction

One of the failures for these teams has been poor scoring runs. That seems to be the one thing the two managers will be sweating to address. Wolves are missing their top forward, and that further complicates their chances.

Leeds have not been able to add to their goal on opening day as they met Everton. With Dan James limping off last time out, options in attack might be few. As such, our prediction for Wolverhampton Wanderers v Leeds United is: BTTS – No.

Prediction :

 

BTTS – No

 
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Wolves vs Leeds - Other Interesting Predictions

Wolves to win

Odds 2.7

Poor as they seem to be, Wolves have only lost three of their last eight home league matches. They will go into this game feeling they can rise. This will especially work in their favor, as Leeds have a very poor away record in Premier League matches. Leeds United lost nine of their last 10 away league matches. Our second prediction is for Wolves to win.

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Wolves vs Leeds match : Frequently asked questions

The Wolves v Leeds United match will be played on Saturday, 20th September.

The Wolves v Leeds United match will be played at the Molineux.

Anthony Taylor has been appointed the Wolves v Leeds United match referee.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolves vs Leeds Prediction
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