Wolves vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Wolves face Brighton in a key FA Cup Fifth Round tie on Wednesday night (Kick off 7.45pm) and it is fair to say that there is not a more evenly matched contest in any of the other seven Fifth Round ties in the competition. Brighton lie 7th in the Premier League table on 38 points, just a point and one place above Wolves in the table. The Seagulls clinched what was a good point against Everton at the weekend, coming from behind with 10 men to clinch a 1-1 draw thanks to skipper Lewis Dunk's last gasp headed equaliser. The week prior to that the Seagulls had thrashed Sheffield United 5-0 at Bramall Lane, ending a run of two straight away defeats. They also played Wolves in the Premier League only recently, drawing 0-0 at the AMEX Stadium, but they have already beaten Wolves at Molineux earlier in the season in a resounding 4-1 success in August.
Having won three of their last four and as the home team in this fixture, Wolves will feel that they should probably head into the game as favourites. Gary O'Neill's team have followed their 2-1 success at Tottenham with a battling 1-0 win over Sheffield United on Sunday. That win ended a run of two successive home defeats in the league for Wolves and it was the first clean sheet kept by the team since their 2-0 FA Cup 4th Round win over West Brom at the Hawthorns. The Black and Gold are going to have to overcome a poor recent record against Brighton if they are to progress in the competition, but their only previous FA Cup clash back in 1979 finished in a 3-2 win for Wolves. Although that result will have no influence on the outcome of this game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wolves v Brighton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.6 | 2.63 |
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|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.4 | 2.62 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.35 | 2.7 |
|
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2.61 | 3.57 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.61 | 3.57 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.52 | 2.76 |
|
|
2.49 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
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2.36 | 3.52 | 2.89 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.55 | 2.65 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Brighton?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 2/28/24 between Wolves and Brighton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.81% for a win of Wolves against Brighton with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Brighton is 15.65% with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Wolves with odds of 2.89 at Melbet.
Wolves - Brighton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolves Brighton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 42.81% | 2.65 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.61% | 1.93 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wolves | 17.18% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Wolves vs Brighton Form
Wolves and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Feb 2024 - Premier League
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
1 Feb 2024 - Premier League
28 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Feb 2024 - Premier League
18 Feb 2024 - Premier League
10 Feb 2024 - Premier League
3 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Wolves against Brighton : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jan 2024 - Premier League
19 Aug 2023 - Premier League
29 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Nov 2022 - Premier League
30 Apr 2022 - Premier League
15 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Wolves against Brighton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
C. Dawson
ForwardL. Chiwome
P. Sarabia
P. Estupinan
J. van Hecke
L. Dunk
MidfielderS. March
J. Milner
J. Hinshelwood
K. Mitoma
ForwardE. Ferguson
Wolves - Brighton Key Points
- Wolves drew at Brentford in the third round, before beating the Bees 3-2 in the replay at Molineux. They then defeated local rivals West Brom 2-0 at the Hawthorns in the fourth round to earn the tie with Brighton. Wolves lie 8th in the Premier League table on 38 points.
- Brighton have won both their previous FA Cup matches comfortably away from home - defeating Stoke 4-2 in the third round and then Sheffield United 5-2 in the fourth round. They lie 7th in the Premier League one point ahead of Wolves, but with a +8 better goal difference.
- Both teams have a similar record heading into this game. Brighton have won 2, drawn one and lost 2 of their last five, while Wolves have won three and lost two of their last five games in all competitions.
- There has been over 2.5 goals scored in five of Brighton's last six games and in all their last five away games.
- Brighton have lost just two of their last 13 games with Wolves, winning seven and drawing five. Four of the last five games between the two have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Wolves vs Brighton Prediction
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