Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
07/03/2026 09:30
Hamburg

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Wolfsburg need a quick change of fortunes to move out of the Bundesliga relegation zone when they host Hamburg on matchday 25 on Saturday. This match in Wolfsburg between the 17th-placed Wolves and the 11th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of a draw.

With 20 points ahead of this round of matches (W5, D5, L14), Wolfsburg are three points outside the safety zone. Hamburg’s 26 points (W6, D8, L10) put them four points above the relegation zone.

A 4-0 away thrashing at Stuttgart last weekend continued Wolfsburg’s downturn. They are winless in seven Bundesliga matches (D2, L5), including five defeats in their last six.

The challenge is to address their shortcomings at home, as Wolfsburg have lost eight of their last 11 home matches in all competitions (W2). The record in the league is equally poor, as they lost seven of the last ten home games.

Hamburg lost 2-1 at home to Bayer Leverkusen in their midweek game, following up on their 2-1 loss to Leipzig last weekend. These two defeats have come on the back of a six-game unbeaten run (W2, D4), which got them away from the danger zone.

Hamburg are still unbeaten in their last three league trips (W1, D2) and will hope to quickly get back to their best, as they kept two clean sheets in that sequence.

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Wolfsburg v Hamburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.44 3.55 2.85
Melbet
2.6 3.4 2.67
Betwinner
2.49 3.46 2.76
Bet365
2.4 3.4 2.88
Roobet
2.56 3.4 2.64
Check all Wolfsburg vs Hamburg odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Wolfsburg and Hamburg?

Our prediction for the Wolfsburg vs Hamburg match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/03/2026 between Wolfsburg and Hamburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.78% for a win of Wolfsburg against Hamburg with odds of 2.6 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolfsburg vs Hamburg is 22% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Wolfsburg with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.

Wolfsburg - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Wolfsburg Hamburg Prediction Probability Odds
Wolfsburg wins 42.78% 2.6 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 55.53% 1.98 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 66.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wolfsburg 19.12% 6.5 at LSbet

Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Form

Wolfsburg and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Hamburg
38 34 9 11 14 -14
16 Wolfsburg
29 34 7 8 19 -24

Wolfsburg and Hamburg Last Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg Last matches
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Augsburg

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  1
Wolfsburg
W L W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  3
Augsburg

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  1
Heidenheim

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
2 :  1
St. Pauli

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  4
Freiburg

6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
3 :  1
Union Berlin
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
3.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

30 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  0
Wolfsburg

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
3 :  1
Wolfsburg

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  1
Wolfsburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  3
Wolfsburg
Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
D W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Hamburg

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Union Berlin

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Hamburg

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich
D D D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Union Berlin

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  0
Mönchengladbach

20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Eintracht Frankfurt
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Hamburg

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Hamburg

23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Hamburg

10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Hamburg

13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
4 :  1
Hamburg

22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  0
Hamburg

Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wolfsburg

67 %

Draw

0 %

Hamburg

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Wolfsburg

20 May 2017 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  1
Wolfsburg

21 Jan 2017 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  0
Hamburg

Wolfsburg against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11

Wolfsburg

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
K. Grabara
18
J. Adjetey
15
M. Jenz
4
K. Koulierakis
41
J. Burger
5
V. Souza
31
Y. Gerhardt
6
J. Belocian
24
C. Eriksen
19
J. Lindstrom
17
D. Pejcinovic
7
J. Dompe
11
R. Konigsdorffer
27
Philipas Otele
28
M. Muheim
21
N. Remberg
6
A. Sambi Lokonga
2
W. Mikelbrencis
25
J. Torunarigha
44
L. Vuskovic
8
D. Elfadli
1
D. Fernandes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Hamburg

Substitutes

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Goalkeeper

M. Muller

Defender

S. Kumbedi

D. Vavro

Midfielder

P. Hensel

A. Daghim

J. Burger 60'

L. Majer

Y. Gerhardt 60'

M. Arnold

M. Jenz 78'

Forward

M. Amoura

J. Lindstrom 60'

K. Shiogai

D. Pejcinovic 69'

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

S. Tangvik

Defender

W. Omari

D. Elfadli 46'

G. Gocholeishvili

W. Mikelbrencis 86'

Midfielder

F. Vieira

Philipas Otele 68'

Forward

F. Balde

D. Downs

R. Konigsdorffer 77'

O. Stange

Y. Poulsen

J. Dompe 67'

R. Glatzel

Missing players

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
Goalkeeper

P. Pervan

Defender

Rogerio

J. Maehle

K. Fischer

J. Seelt

Cleiton

Midfielder

M. Svanberg

K. Paredes

B. Dardai

Forward

J. Wind

P. Wimmer

Hamburg
Hamburg
Midfielder

B. Jatta

N. Capaldo

A. Gronbaek

Forward

A. Rossing Lelesiit

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wolfsburg
CD Huachipato Hamburg
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Pejcinovic (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal F. Vieira (7 Goals)
Best assists
Denmark C. Eriksen (8 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Vieira (5 Assists)

Wolfsburg - Hamburg Key Points

  1. Hamburg drew five of their last nine Bundesliga matches.
  2. On the road, Hamburg drew two of their last three league trips.
  3. Wolfsburg are winless in their last seven Bundesliga matches.
  4. At home, Wolfsburg won just two of their 13 competitive matches this season.
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Our Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Prediction

Just six points separate Wolfsburg and Hamburg, but their forms are miles apart. Wolfsburg are sleepwalking into the relegation zone, failing to win any of their last seven Bundesliga games, losing five in the process. Even their home form has taken a turn for the worse, as they lost eight of their last 11 competitive matches at this venue. Hamburg lost their last two Bundesliga games, but four draws in six matches before that suggest they have a slight edge here.

Neither team seems to have form on their side, and our Wolfsburg vs Hamburg prediction is a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolfsburg Hamburg

Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Wolfsburg wins 2.33 2.6 +11.6%
Draw 3.64 3.6 -1.1%
Hamburg wins 2.86 2.9 +1.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Wolfsburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 11.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 42.9% and is now 38.5% (-4.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wolfsburg vs Hamburg Prediction