Germany - Bundesliga
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by Ian John in Bundesliga Predictions
Sunday sees Bundesliga action as Vfl Wolfsburg play their first home game of the season against FSV Mainz. After a miserable pre-season, The Wolves have made a mockery of those pre-season jitters with two excellent wins, wheras The 05ers started their competitive season with two defeats but then bounced back with a big win in midweek in Europe. Let's now take a closer look at the key data that influenced our prediction for this match.
Paul Simonis saw his Wolfsburg team lose five pre-season games, but few would have expected them to bounce back so strongly. They began with a thumping 9-0 win in the DFB Pokal First Round away to Hemelingen and then followed that up with a very impressive 3-1 away victory against Heidenheim last weekend. That result sees them joint third in the early Bundesliga table, level on points and goal difference with Augsburg.
FSV Mainz have now played four games this season. They began with a 1-0 away win over Dynamo Dresden in the DFB Pokal first round, before losing 2-1 away to Rosenborg in the Conference League Playoff First Leg. Last weekend, they went down to a 1-0 home loss to 1FC Koln in their opening league game of the season and in midweek, in the second leg of their Conference League Playoff they produced a fine display to win 4-1 over Rosenborg at home to progress 5-3 on aggregate. Currently, Mainz lies 14th in the Bundesliga.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wolfsburg v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.5 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.4 | 3.4 |
|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.87 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolfsburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: VfL Wolfsburg wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2025 between Wolfsburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.94% for a win of Wolfsburg against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 21.01% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.05% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Wolfsburg with odds of 3.53 at 22bet.
Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Wolfsburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
|
14
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Wolfsburg and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
18 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga
Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Rogerio
D. Vavro
J. Maehle
MidfielderJ. Lindstrom
K. Paredes
M. Dal
MidfielderP. Nebel
Most goals and assists
Wolfsburg
1 Fsv Mainz 05
D. Pejcinovic
(3 Goals)
, 
M. Svanberg
(3 Goals)
N. Amiri
(1 Goals)
M. Arnold
(1 Assists)
, 
P. Wimmer
(1 Assists)
Wolfsburg - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Wolfsburg have scored twelve goals in two competitive games this season, both on the road.
- Mainz last playde Thursday meaning they have had just 48 hours to prepare for this tough away fixture.
- Wolfsburg won just three home games last season, but one of those was against Mainz (4-3 in December 2025)
- Wolfsburg have won four of their last seven games against Mainz (D2, L1).
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Our Wolfsburg vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
Our prediction for the VfL Wolfsburg vs. FSV Mainz Bundesliga match is: VfL Wolfsburg wins the match.
After their outstanding start to the new season, it is hard to back against Wolfsburg not to continue that against a Mainz side who have started the new season somewhat lethargically in the games they have played thus far. With a new manager, Wolfsburg will want to improve their home form on last season and they have a great chance to do that against a Mainz team who were last in action on Thursday.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Wolfsburg vs. 1 Fsv Mainz 05 game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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