Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
The Commbank Stadium will host the final A-League regular-season game between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory on Saturday. The Wanderers are bottom of the league standings, while the Big V are in sixth place. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Western Sydney Wanderers will be looking forward to the end of the campaign, having endured a massive fall from grace, dropping from fourth place last term to dead last this term.
The Wanderers have only won five league games this season (D6 L14). They suffered a 2-1 defeat away to Wellington Phoenix last week and are now winless in their last six (D1 L5).
The hosts have the worst home record in the division with just 13 points earned in 12 games. They were also beaten by this opponent 2-1 in this exact fixture last season.
Meanwhile, thanks to an impressive run of form leading up to the end of the campaign, Melbourne Victory have crept into the top six and will be a part of this season’s Finals series.
The Big V held Newcastle Jets to a 2-2 draw last week and have now lost only one of their last 10 league matches (W4 D5). They have also scored two or more goals in five of their last six.
The visitors have taken 15 points from 12 away games this term. Notably, eight of those points have come in their last four on the road (W2 D2), and they scored 2+ goals in each game during this period.
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Western Sydney Wanderers v Melbourne Victory Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.8 | 2 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.8 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.74 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.9 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.7 | 2.02 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory match is: Melbourne Victory draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/04/2026 between Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.31% for a win of Western Sydney Wanderers against Melbourne Victory with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory is 30.44% with odds of 3.95 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers with odds of 2.1 at LSbet.
Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Western Sydney Wanderers Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 41.24% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.08% | |
| Both Team To Score | 74.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Melbourne Victory/Melbourne Victory | 16.49% | 3.05 at LSbet |
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Form
Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
40 | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +11 |
|
12
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -16 |
Western Sydney Wanderers and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
20 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
7 Feb 2026 - A-League
25 Jan 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - A-League
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
15 Mar 2026 - A-League
27 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Mar 2026 - A-League
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
1 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Jan 2026 - A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
20 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 May 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
4 Jan 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
Western Sydney Wanderers against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Thomas
DefenderR. Tongyik
MidfielderS. Ugarkovic
ForwardJ. Carluccio
A. Hammond
A. Lual
J. Duncan
DefenderA. Traore
B. Hamill
J. Mata
J. Valadon
K. Jelacic
N. Vergos
Most goals and assists
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
B. Kraev
(5 Goals)
N. Vergos
(7 Goals)
A. Thurgate
(3 Assists)
, 
D. Dean Scicluna
(3 Assists)
, 
R. Fraser
(3 Assists)
J. Mata
(12 Assists)
Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Western Sydney Wanderers are winless in their last six league matches.
- Western Sydney Wanderers have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last nine games.
- Western Sydney Wanderers have scored the fewest home goals in the league this season (12).
- Melbourne Victory have only lost one of their last 10 league matches.
- Melbourne Victory are unbeaten in their last four away games and scored two or more goals in each of those matches.
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Our Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Western Sydney Wanderers will be looking forward to the end of the season. It has been a disastrous campaign for them, and their focus will now be firmly set on a rebuild for next term.
After spending the majority of the season in the bottom half, a strong end to the campaign has earned Melbourne Victory a spot in the top six, and they will want to continue building momentum heading into the Finals series. Our Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory prediction is Melbourne Victory draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Western Sydney Wanderers Melbourne Victory
| Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Sydney Wanderers wins | 3 | 3.6 | +20.0% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.95 | +9.7% |
| Melbourne Victory wins | 2.1 | 2.1 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.6% and is now 47.6% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Western Sydney Wanderers vs. Melbourne Victory game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
