England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Premier League Predictions
West Ham’s search to improve their dire form in the 2025-26 English Premier League sees them welcome an ambitious Newcastle United side on matchday ten this Sunday. This match at London Stadium between the 19th-placed Hammers and the 12th-placed Magpies comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, West Ham’s four points (W1, D1, L7) put them just two points above the basement and four points adrift of the safety zone. Newcastle have 12 points (W3, D3, L3) and are four points adrift of the European qualification places.
The table doesn’t lie, and West Ham are in serious danger of spending more weeks in the bottom three if they don’t improve imminently. Their form at this venue has been disastrous in recent weeks, which plays to Newcastle’s strengths. The visitors have been steadily improving in recent weeks and have won five of their last six in all competitions. Is it time for West Ham to shed their poor form and rise to the challenge? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.25 | 4 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.67 |
|
|
5 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.25 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.1 | 4.25 | 1.61 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Newcastle match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between West Ham and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.63% for a win of West Ham against Newcastle with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Newcastle is 33.21% with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs West Ham with odds of 1.67 at Betfred.
West Ham vs Newcastle Form
West Ham and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
|
19
|
4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -13 |
West Ham and Newcastle Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
29 Sept 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2025 - Premier League
20 Sept 2025 - Premier League
13 Sept 2025 - Premier League
22 Aug 2025 - Premier League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
29 Sept 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
West Ham vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
5 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
West Ham - Newcastle: Form Analysis
West Ham lost 2-1 away at Leeds last matchday to make it five defeats from their last six matches. The lone exception was a 1-1 away draw at Everton, which looks like an aberration already. The Hammers have been one of the worst scoring sides in the division with only seven goals to their name.
Only two of those were scored at this venue, where West Ham have lost all four Premier League matches this season. With 12 goals conceded in those four defeats, it’s evident that the Hammers have a lot to improve.
Newcastle won four and drew two of their last six visits to this venue to play West Ham.
The Magpies are also in cracking form, recently winning five of their last six competitive matches (W5, L1), including a 2-0 home win over Tottenham in the EFL Cup last time out.
They still have to bring consistency to their league form, as Newcastle have won only two of their last five Premier League matches (W2, D1, L2). Newcastle are yet to win on the road, though, drawing three and losing one of their four league trips this season.
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Missing players
K. Mavropanos
MidfielderG. Earthy
O. Scarles
ForwardN. Fullkrug
T. Livramento
L. Hall
MidfielderY. Wissa
West Ham & Newcastle Squad Analysis
West Ham will be without Oliver Scarles, who injured his shoulder against Leeds and underwent surgery. New manager Nuno Santo will also be without Niclas Fullkrug, while the likes of Mateus Fernandes, Kyle Walker-Peters, and Callum Wilson are pushing for a starting role.
Nuno usually lines up his teams in 4-2-3-1 formations, although they morph into 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 depending on the game situation. All hopes will be on Jarred Bowen, who has three goals to his name this league campaign and will start on the right flank of the 4-2-3-1 system.
Nick Woltemade has four league goals for Newcastle.
He’s ably supported by Bruno Guimaraes, who has three goals to his name. They are likely to be central to Newcastle’s 4-3-3 formation, with Woltemade leading the line and Guimaraes lining up in the right midfield.
The Magpies could see Sandro Tonali come into the playing XI, while Valentino Livramento and Yoane Wissa remain long-term absentees. Jacob Murphy will be eyeing a starting role after scoring in the 2-1 win over Fulham in their last league game.
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Newcastle
J. Bowen
(3 Goals)
, 
L. Paqueta
(3 Goals)
N. Woltemade
(6 Goals)
E. Diouf
(3 Assists)
S. Tonali
(3 Assists)
,
J. Murphy
(3 Assists)
West Ham and Newcastle Stats in Premier League
West Ham - Newcastle Key Points
- Newcastle kept a clean sheet in four of their five away matches this season in all competitions.
- Three of West Ham’s last four league matches produced under 2.5 goals.
- West Ham failed to score in two of their last three home league games.
- Only Nottingham Forest have scored fewer goals than West Ham (seven) after nine rounds.
- Only three clubs have scored more goals than Newcastle (nine) after nine rounds.
- Newcastle have the joint-fifth best defensive record after nine rounds.
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Our West Ham vs Newcastle Prediction
This is a game of contrasting objectives as both teams target full points. West Ham need a desperate move away from the relegation zone and will target a win to lift the mood after a poor start to the campaign. Newcastle haven’t had a great start either but have been steady with their improvements. A win here will see them move closer towards the European qualification places.
Newcastle have one of the best defensive units in the division, while West Ham have one of the poorest scoring records. Our West Ham vs Newcastle prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
West Ham vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Nick Woltemade to score anytime
Nick Woltemade has to be one of the hottest in-form players for Newcastle, if not the entire Premier League. He scored against Tottenham in their latest 2-0 win in the Carabao Cup, which made it six goals in his last nine matches for club and country. Back him to score another goal here.
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West Ham vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
The West Ham vs Newcastle English Premier League match will be shown live on the Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League TV channels. It will also be streamed on the Sky Sports+ app as well as via the NOW UK app.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
This is not a fixture that ranks high on West Ham’s priorities, at least on recent form. They have won just two of their recent 12 Premier League matches against Newcastle (W2, D4, L6), and both those have come away from home in August 2021 and November 2024.
Newcastle’s affair with the London Stadium has been near-impeccable, as they have lost just one of their eight away Premier League matches at this venue against West Ham (W5, D2, L1).
Despite those poor numbers and recent history, West Ham need points and need them now. They have made their worst start to a Premier League campaign at this stage (four points in nine matches). They have already lost seven matches in this campaign and have never lost eight matches in the first ten matches of a league season.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
