West Ham vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Premier League Predictions
18th-place West Ham host 14th-place Leeds United in this final 2025-26 Premier League match on Sunday. The Hammers still stand a chance of beating the drop with a win, but only if Tottenham lose to Everton. With Leeds United riding an impressive seven-match unbeaten streak on the road in the English top flight and the hosts navigating a tough run-in, our prediction here favors the away side.
After picking up seven points across Matchdays 32, 33, and 34 to strengthen their survival hopes, a recent drop-off has dealt a major setback to West Ham in their push for Premier League safety. With just one match left, they now sit two points outside the safety zone and need a win while counting on Everton to beat Tottenham Hotspur for what would be considered a 'miraculous escape'.
However, the East Londoners are in for a difficult challenge here. Leeds United have enjoyed an impressive run-in, with their last Premier League defeat coming against Sunderland on Matchday 29. The Whites are unbeaten since then in the English top flight and will look to round off their campaign on a strong note.
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West Ham v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.16 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.7 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.69 | 4.1 | 4.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Leeds?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Leeds match is: Draw or Leeds United.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2026 between West Ham and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.27% for a win of West Ham against Leeds with odds of 1.76 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Leeds is 45.3% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs West Ham with odds of 4.73 at 888Starz.
West Ham - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 45.3% | 4.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.83% | 1.63 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 20.35% | 7 at Bet365 |
West Ham vs Leeds Form
West Ham and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
|
18
|
39 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | -19 |
West Ham and Leeds Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Premier League
25 Apr 2026 - Premier League
10 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
9 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
20 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
11 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2026 - Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
West Ham vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 May 2023 - Premier League
4 Jan 2023 - Premier League
16 Jan 2022 - Premier League
9 Jan 2022 - FA Cup
West Ham - Leeds: Form Analysis
West Ham's underwhelming performances of late continued in their penultimate fixture of the season last week against Newcastle United. The Hammers fell 3–1 to the Magpies, conceding three goals before Taty Castellanos' 69th-minute consolation strike.
They have now suffered three losses on the bounce, leaving their survival hopes on a knife edge. At home, Nuno Espírito Santo's charges have dropped points in four of their last six Premier League matches, including a 1–0 defeat to newly crowned champions Arsenal last time out.
Leeds United edged Brighton 1–0 last week, courtesy of Dominic Calvert-Lewin's stoppage-time winner, to continue their fine form in the run-in. Last week's result means the Peacocks have now gone eight straight matches in the Premier League without defeat. They are also yet to taste defeat in their last seven away outings in the English top flight.
Leeds United have won both meetings against West Ham in the Premier League and FA Cup this season
Daniel Farke's side edged West Ham 2–1 in the reverse fixture earlier in the campaign. Their standout FA Cup quarterfinal performance at London Stadium in April is also worthy of mention here. The Whites claimed victory in that match, winning 4–2 via penalties after a dramatic 2–2 draw in extra time.
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West Ham against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
A. Areola
DefenderA. Wan-Bissaka
M. Kilman
S. Magassa
MidfielderF. Potts
K. Lamadrid
O. Scarles
M. Kante
C. Wilson
L. Perri
DefenderS. Byram
S. Bornauw
F. Buonanotte
R. Chadwick
A. Cresswell
ForwardG. Wilfried
J. Piroe
D. James
Missing players
G. Gudmundsson
MidfielderA. Stach
I. Gruev
ForwardN. Okafor
West Ham & Leeds Squad Analysis
West Ham will miss Adama Traore's explosive pace and attacking prowess on Sunday, with the player remaining in the treatment room after picking up a muscle issue. Taty Castellanos netted a stunning consolation goal in the 3–1 defeat to Newcastle United after coming on for Callum Wilson and could start ahead of the latter in the attack.
Jarrod Bowen leads the team with 18 goal contributions (8 goals, 10 assists) in the Premier League this season and is expected to return to attacking midfield alongside Mateus Fernandes, Tomas Soucek, and Crysencio Summerville.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin boasts a team-leading 14 Premier League goals for Leeds United this season
Leeds United are grappling with piling injury cases heading into this match. Anton Stach (ankle), Noah Okafor (calf), Sean Longstaff (hernia), Gabriel Gudmundsson (hamstring), and Ilia Gruev (knee) are all sidelined. Nevertheless, the visitors have been handed a big boost in the defense with Jayden Bogle and Pascal Struijk back in the squad after missing the victory over Brighton last week.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin, who has scored in each of his last three matches, remains Daniel Farke's preferred option up front and is available to spearhead the attack for the Whites alongside Brenden Aaronson.
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Leeds
J. Bowen
(9 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
J. Bowen
(11 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
West Ham - Leeds Key Points
- West Ham United have lost their last three matches.
- The Hammers have failed to win four of their last six Premier League home matches.
- Leeds United are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League matches.
- The Whites haven't lost any of their last seven Premier League away matches.
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Our West Ham vs Leeds Prediction
This will be a difficult match for West Ham despite having their 14-year stay in the Premier League on the line. They have lost momentum in the run-in and are likely to struggle against a Leeds United side that have proven difficult to break of late.
Leeds have not only been formidable recently but have picked up results mostly against teams in the top half of the table. They won the reverse fixture, including their last trip to London Stadium to face the Hammers in the FA Cup. Our West Ham vs Leeds United prediction: Draw or Leeds United.
West Ham vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Draw
We aren't expecting an easy match for either team. Leeds United have been the better side in recent weeks, but play for pride on Sunday, having secured Premier League safety. West Ham will have a lot to fight for with their survival hopes on the line. Despite their poor recent results, the Hammers will look to leverage home advantage for at least a draw against the visitors.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Leeds
| West Ham vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 2.54 | 1.76 | -30.7% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 4.3 | +18.8% |
| Leeds wins | 2.89 | 4.73 | +63.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.6% and is now 23.3% (-4.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
