Germany - Bundesliga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions
Werder Bremen will welcome St. Pauli for their next Bundesliga game, hoping to do better defensively. The hosts start the weekend just above the relegation zone, while St. Pauli are ninth. Below is our prediction of the match.
Both teams are coming from back-to-back defeats in the league. Werder Bremen suffered their heaviest loss of the season, falling 4-0 away to Bayern Munich.
That was the third time in five league matches that they conceded 3+ goals. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen have failed to score in their last two matches. This run of results has left the team just a place above the relegation zone.
St. Pauli are coming from a 2-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, having also lost to Stuttgart earlier. Points earned across the opening three rounds in the league have kept them going so far, and they will seek to bounce back.
The loss to Stuttgart was their first in six away games in all competitions. St. Pauli and Werder Bremen have only met four times competitively. That was twice in the second tier before their Bundesliga meetings last season.
In those four matches, St. Pauli is winless but only lost once, with the other three ending in draws. St. Pauli failed to score in last season’s two meetings with Werder Bremen.
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The Best Betting Odds for Werder Bremen v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.4 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.6 | 2.85 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli match is: draw and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.41% for a win of Werder Bremen against St. Pauli with odds of 2.4 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli is 46.98% with odds of 3.6 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.62% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen with odds of 3 at Bet365.
Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Werder Bremen St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 46.98% | 3.6 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 59.1% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 33.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.39% | 6 at Bet365 |
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Form
Werder Bremen and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
15 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -3 |
|
16
|
7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
Werder Bremen and St. Pauli Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen against St. Pauli Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
M. Backhaus
DefenderM. Weiser
M. Wober
N. Stark
J. Malatini
MidfielderO. Deman
D. Nemeth
MidfielderR. Jones
J. Irvine
Most goals and assists
Werder Bremen
St. Pauli
J. Stage
(4 Goals)
Y. Sugawara
(3 Assists)
C. Metcalfe
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Smith
(1 Assists)
,
J. Fujita
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Pereira Lage
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Sinani
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Saliakas
(1 Assists)
Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Key Points
- Both St. Pauli and Werder Bremen are coming off two losses.
- The last three meetings between these teams ended in draws.
- A total of 16 goals were scored in St. Pauli’s five league games so far.
- Werder Bremen have conceded 3+ in four of their last five matches.
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Our Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction
These two sides have played to three draws in their last four competitive matches. Going by their struggles at these early stages of the season, it is hard to pick out a favorite. Werder Bremen have won once in the four meetings between them.
While they may want to look at themselves as the favorites here, their recent run hasn’t been the best. St. Pauli have the better run but have generally been unconvincing. Our prediction for Werder Bremen v St. Pauli is for a draw and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen St. Pauli
| Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 2 | 2.3 | +15.0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.4 | -8.1% |
| St. Pauli wins | 3.3 | 3 | -9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 29.4% (2.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Werder Bremen vs. St. Pauli game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
