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Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
04/10/2025 08:30
St. Pauli

Prediction :

 

Draw and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Bundesliga Predictions

Werder Bremen will welcome St. Pauli for their next Bundesliga game, hoping to do better defensively. The hosts start the weekend just above the relegation zone, while St. Pauli are ninth. Below is our prediction of the match.

Both teams are coming from back-to-back defeats in the league. Werder Bremen suffered their heaviest loss of the season, falling 4-0 away to Bayern Munich.

That was the third time in five league matches that they conceded 3+ goals. Meanwhile, Werder Bremen have failed to score in their last two matches. This run of results has left the team just a place above the relegation zone.

St. Pauli are coming from a 2-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen, having also lost to Stuttgart earlier. Points earned across the opening three rounds in the league have kept them going so far, and they will seek to bounce back.

The loss to Stuttgart was their first in six away games in all competitions. St. Pauli and Werder Bremen have only met four times competitively. That was twice in the second tier before their Bundesliga meetings last season.

In those four matches, St. Pauli is winless but only lost once, with the other three ending in draws. St. Pauli failed to score in last season’s two meetings with Werder Bremen.

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The Best Betting Odds for Werder Bremen v St. Pauli Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.75 2.9
Betfred
2.4 3.4 2.88
William Hill
2.38 3.4 2.88
Betway
2.38 3.4 2.9
Unibet
2.38 3.6 2.75
Check all Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli?

Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli match is: draw and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Werder Bremen and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.56% for a win of Werder Bremen against St. Pauli with odds of 2.45 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli is 47.04% with odds of 3.75 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 31.4% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen with odds of 3 at Stake.

Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Form

Werder Bremen and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
7 5 2 1 2 0
15
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
4 5 1 1 3 -6

Werder Bremen and St. Pauli Last Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen Last matches
L L D W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Werder Bremen

20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Freiburg

14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  4
Werder Bremen

30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Werder Bremen

15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

Arminia Bielefeld
1 :  0
Werder Bremen
D D D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Freiburg

30 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  3
Bayer Leverkusen

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Udinese

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Werder Bremen
0 :  0
Parma

10 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  0
Leipzig

27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  0
St. Pauli
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  0
Werder Bremen

14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  4
Werder Bremen

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
4 :  1
Werder Bremen

15 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

Arminia Bielefeld
1 :  0
Werder Bremen

1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hoffenheim
1 :  0
Werder Bremen

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Kickers Emden
1 :  3
Werder Bremen
St. Pauli
St. Pauli Last matches
D W D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

19 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  0
St. Pauli

14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Augsburg

3 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Holstein Kiel
1 :  1
St. Pauli

29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  2
St. Pauli

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  3
Borussia Dortmund
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

14 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Augsburg

23 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
3 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

St. Pauli
6 :  1
Karlsruher

17 May 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Bochum

3 May 2025 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  1
Stuttgart
D W D W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  0
St. Pauli

3 Sep 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Holstein Kiel
1 :  1
St. Pauli

29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  2
St. Pauli

16 Aug 2025 - DFB Pokal

Eintracht Norderstedt
0 :  0
St. Pauli

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
St. Pauli

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Coventry City
2 :  2
St. Pauli

Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Werder Bremen

50 %

Draw

50 %

St. Pauli

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
0
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  0
St. Pauli

14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  2
Werder Bremen
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Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli last Lineups

Werder Bremen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

13
K. Hein
3
Y. Sugawara
32
M. Friedl
31
K. Coulibaly
27
F. Agu
14
S. Lynen
6
J. Stage
18
C. Puertas
20
R. Schmid
7
S. Mbangula Tshifunda
11
J. Njinmah
28
M. Pereira Lage
27
A. Hountondji
10
D. Sinani
23
L. Oppie
16
J. Fujita
6
J. Sands
2
M. Saliakas
21
L. Ritzka
8
E. Smith
5
H. Wahl
22
N. Vasilj

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

St. Pauli

Missing players

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Goalkeeper

M. Backhaus

Defender

M. Weiser

M. Wober

N. Stark

J. Malatini

Midfielder

O. Deman

St. Pauli
St. Pauli
Defender

D. Nemeth

K. Mets

Midfielder

R. Jones

J. Irvine

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Werder Bremen
CD Huachipato St. Pauli
Top Goalscorer
Austria R. Schmid (2 Goals)
Germany J. Njinmah (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
A. Hountondji (3 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium S. Mbangula Tshifunda (1 Assists)
Nigeria V. Boniface (1 Assists)
Japan Y. Sugawara (1 Assists)
Germany K. Topp (1 Assists)
Belgium S. Lynen (1 Assists)
Austria M. Grull (1 Assists)
Best assists
Japan J. Fujita (1 Assists)
France M. Pereira Lage (1 Assists)
Luxembourg D. Sinani (1 Assists)
Greece M. Saliakas (1 Assists)

Werder Bremen and St. Pauli Stats in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
St. Pauli
St. Pauli
20%
Wins
40%
20%
Draw
20%
60%
Losses
40%
4.4
Total goals per match
3.2
1.6
Goals scored per match
1.6
2.8
Goals conceded per match
1.6
100%
Over 2.5
60%
0%
Under 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%
20%
Clean Sheet
20%

Werder Bremen - St. Pauli Key Points

  1. Both St. Pauli and Werder Bremen are coming off two losses.
  2. The last three meetings between these teams ended in draws.
  3. A total of 16 goals were scored in St. Pauli’s five league games so far.
  4. Werder Bremen have conceded 3+ in four of their last five matches.
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Our Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction

These two sides have played to three draws in their last four competitive matches. Going by their struggles at these early stages of the season, it is hard to pick out a favorite. Werder Bremen have won once in the four meetings between them.

While they may want to look at themselves as the favorites here, their recent run hasn’t been the best. St. Pauli have the better run but have generally been unconvincing. Our prediction for Werder Bremen v St. Pauli is for a draw and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Draw and over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli Prediction
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