Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
18/04/2026 09:30
Hamburg

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Werder Bremen face a tricky matchday 30 game against Hamburg in their bid to ensure Bundesliga safety. This match on Saturday in Bremen between the 15th-placed ‘River Islanders’ and the 12th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.

Ahead of this round, Bremen’s 28 points (W7, D7, L15) see them hold a three-point advantage over St Pauli, who are in the relegation play-off spot. Hamburg have 31 points (W7, D10, L12) and have a six-point buffer with the relegation zone.

A 24th-minute red card complicated things for Werder, who lost 3-1 away at Koln last weekend. This was their third defeat in the last four league games (W1), leaving their hopes of Bundesliga safety hanging by the proverbial thread.

Home form hasn’t helped, either, as Werder have won just one of their last nine home Bundesliga matches (D3, L5). That included two consecutive defeats at this venue, both times conceding exactly two goals.

Hamburg were thrashed 4-0 away at Stuttgart last weekend to make it four games without a win in the Bundesliga (D2, L2). The ‘Red Shorts’ are struggling to move away from relegation worries, although a six-point buffer is comforting.

The visitors were beaten in their last two league trips, which further adds to their anxiety, although Hamburg won the reverse fixture.

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Werder Bremen v Hamburg Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.94 3.7 3.9
Melbet
1.86 3.66 4.1
Betwinner
1.91 3.64 3.9
Bet365
1.95 3.6 3.75
Roobet
1.87 3.6 3.95
Check all Werder Bremen vs Hamburg odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and Hamburg?

Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs Hamburg match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Werder Bremen and Hamburg in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.6% for a win of Werder Bremen against Hamburg with odds of 2 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs Hamburg is 24.22% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Werder Bremen with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.

Werder Bremen - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:

Werder Bremen Hamburg Prediction Probability Odds
Hamburg wins 47.19% 4.2 at Tonybet
Under 2.5 56.13% 2.17 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 54.17%
Half-time / Full-time: Hamburg/Hamburg 19.4% 6 at Bet365

Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Form

Werder Bremen and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13 Hamburg
38 34 9 11 14 -14
15 Werder Bremen
32 34 8 8 18 -23

Werder Bremen and Hamburg Last Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen Last matches
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  1
Werder Bremen

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Leipzig

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  4
Werder Bremen

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  0
Heidenheim
L D L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Leipzig

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
2 :  0
Heidenheim

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  3
Bayern Munich

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  1
Mönchengladbach

27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  2
Hoffenheim
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  1
Werder Bremen

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
0 :  1
Werder Bremen

8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
1 :  4
Werder Bremen

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Werder Bremen

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  0
Werder Bremen

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
1 :  0
Werder Bremen
Hamburg
Hamburg Last matches
L W D L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Hamburg

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Augsburg

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Köln

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Hamburg

4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen
D W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Augsburg

14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  1
Köln

4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
0 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Union Berlin

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich
D W D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Hamburg

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Hamburg

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Wolfsburg
1 :  2
Hamburg

20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Hamburg

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  2
Hamburg

23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
0 :  0
Hamburg

Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Werder Bremen

0 %

Draw

0 %

Hamburg

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
3 :  2
Werder Bremen

18 Sept 2021 - 2. Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
0 :  2
Hamburg
Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction

Werder Bremen against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11

Werder Bremen

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

30
M. Backhaus
3
Y. Sugawara
5
A. Pieper
31
K. Coulibaly
2
O. Deman
11
J. Njinmah
6
J. Stage
14
S. Lynen
18
C. Puertas
20
R. Schmid
19
J. Milosevic
11
R. Konigsdorffer
9
R. Glatzel
20
F. Vieira
28
M. Muheim
21
N. Remberg
23
A. Gronbaek
2
W. Mikelbrencis
17
W. Omari
25
J. Torunarigha
24
N. Capaldo
1
D. Fernandes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Hamburg

Substitutes

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Goalkeeper

M. Kolke

Defender

M. Wober

N. Stark

J. Njinmah 89'

Midfielder

I. Schmidt

P. Covic

L. Bittencourt

J. Stage 67'

Forward

S. Mbangula Tshifunda

S. Musah

M. Grull

J. Milosevic 61'

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

S. Tangvik

Defender

S. Nandja

G. Gocholeishvili

D. Elfadli

Midfielder

B. Jatta

M. Muheim 75'

Forward

Philipas Otele

A. Gronbaek 66'

R. Philippe

D. Downs

N. Capaldo 83'

O. Stange

R. Konigsdorffer 75'

Missing players

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
Goalkeeper

K. Hein

Defender

M. Weiser

M. Friedl

J. Malatini

Midfielder

W. Adeh

Forward

K. Topp

Hamburg
Hamburg
Goalkeeper

F. Dickes

Midfielder

J. Dompe

Forward

Y. Poulsen

A. Rossing Lelesiit

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Werder Bremen
CD Huachipato Hamburg
Top Goalscorer
Denmark J. Stage (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal F. Vieira (7 Goals)
Best assists
Austria R. Schmid (7 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal F. Vieira (5 Assists)

Werder Bremen - Hamburg Key Points

  1. Bremen have conceded 52 goals this league campaign and only four teams have a worse record.
  2. Hamburg’s last three away league games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
  3. Bremen conceded 2 or more goals in six of their last eight home Bundesliga games.
  4. The last two matches between these sides featured exactly five goals.
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Our Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction

Hamburg won the reverse fixture 3-2 in December, and a repeat would boost their chances of Bundesliga safety. Werder can’t afford that, though, as they start this round just three points above the relegation play-off spot. Neither team carries impressive form, as Bremen lost three of their last four and Hamburg were beaten in their last two away Bundesliga games.

These sides tend to dish out high scorers, and the nature of the clash also points to an entertaining game. Our Werder Bremen vs Hamburg prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen Hamburg

Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Werder Bremen wins 2 2 0%
Draw 3.8 3.85 +1.3%
Hamburg wins 3.5 4.2 +20.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Hamburg is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 20.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 23.8% (-4.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.