Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Werder Bremen face a tricky matchday 30 game against Hamburg in their bid to ensure Bundesliga safety. This match on Saturday in Bremen between the 15th-placed ‘River Islanders’ and the 12th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals.
Ahead of this round, Bremen’s 28 points (W7, D7, L15) see them hold a three-point advantage over St Pauli, who are in the relegation play-off spot. Hamburg have 31 points (W7, D10, L12) and have a six-point buffer with the relegation zone.
A 24th-minute red card complicated things for Werder, who lost 3-1 away at Koln last weekend. This was their third defeat in the last four league games (W1), leaving their hopes of Bundesliga safety hanging by the proverbial thread.
Home form hasn’t helped, either, as Werder have won just one of their last nine home Bundesliga matches (D3, L5). That included two consecutive defeats at this venue, both times conceding exactly two goals.
Hamburg were thrashed 4-0 away at Stuttgart last weekend to make it four games without a win in the Bundesliga (D2, L2). The ‘Red Shorts’ are struggling to move away from relegation worries, although a six-point buffer is comforting.
The visitors were beaten in their last two league trips, which further adds to their anxiety, although Hamburg won the reverse fixture.
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Werder Bremen v Hamburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.94 | 3.7 | 3.9 |
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1.86 | 3.66 | 4.1 |
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1.91 | 3.64 | 3.9 |
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1.95 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
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1.87 | 3.6 | 3.95 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and Hamburg?
Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs Hamburg match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/04/2026 between Werder Bremen and Hamburg in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.6% for a win of Werder Bremen against Hamburg with odds of 2 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs Hamburg is 24.22% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Hamburg vs Werder Bremen with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
Werder Bremen - Hamburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Werder Bremen Hamburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 47.19% | 4.2 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.13% | 2.17 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Hamburg/Hamburg | 19.4% | 6 at Bet365 |
Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Form
Werder Bremen and Hamburg's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
Werder Bremen and Hamburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Sept 2021 - 2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen against Hamburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
M. Kolke
DefenderM. Wober
N. Stark
I. Schmidt
P. Covic
L. Bittencourt
S. Mbangula Tshifunda
S. Musah
M. Grull
S. Tangvik
DefenderS. Nandja
G. Gocholeishvili
D. Elfadli
MidfielderB. Jatta
Philipas Otele
R. Philippe
D. Downs
O. Stange
Missing players
K. Hein
DefenderM. Weiser
M. Friedl
J. Malatini
MidfielderW. Adeh
ForwardK. Topp
F. Dickes
MidfielderJ. Dompe
ForwardY. Poulsen
A. Rossing Lelesiit
Most goals and assists
Werder Bremen - Hamburg Key Points
- Bremen have conceded 52 goals this league campaign and only four teams have a worse record.
- Hamburg’s last three away league games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Bremen conceded 2 or more goals in six of their last eight home Bundesliga games.
- The last two matches between these sides featured exactly five goals.
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Our Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Prediction
Hamburg won the reverse fixture 3-2 in December, and a repeat would boost their chances of Bundesliga safety. Werder can’t afford that, though, as they start this round just three points above the relegation play-off spot. Neither team carries impressive form, as Bremen lost three of their last four and Hamburg were beaten in their last two away Bundesliga games.
These sides tend to dish out high scorers, and the nature of the clash also points to an entertaining game. Our Werder Bremen vs Hamburg prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen Hamburg
| Werder Bremen vs Hamburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 2 | 2 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.85 | +1.3% |
| Hamburg wins | 3.5 | 4.2 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hamburg is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 20.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 23.8% (-4.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.