Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
It’s a relegation six-pointer in the Bundesliga as matchday 26 pits Werder Bremen against Mainz. This match on Sunday in Bremen between the 13th-placed ‘River Islanders’ and the 15th-placed ‘05ers’ comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round, Werder have 25 points (W6, D7, L12) and are one point above the relegation zone. Mainz’s 24 points (W5, D9, L11) put them just above the drop zone, although with just one goal difference above St Pauli.
Werder won 4-1 away at Union Berlin last weekend to make it consecutive victories in the Bundesliga, following their 2-0 win over Heidenheim. These are much-needed points for the ‘River Islanders’ who went 13 matches without a win prior to this sequence (D4, L9).
Home form has been steady for Werder, who have four wins from their last ten Bundesliga fixtures at this venue (D3, L3).
Mainz drew 0-0 away at Sigma Olomouc on Thursday in the UEFA Conference League last-16 first-leg tie. This result made it four draws in a row for the ‘05ers’ in all competitions. In the league, their record is impressive, with just one win from their last seven Bundesliga games (W3, D3).
Their away form still leaves a lot to be desired, as Mainz have lost six of their last ten Bundesliga trips (W1, D3).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Werder Bremen v 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.14 | 3.55 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.56 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.56 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.5 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.45 | 3.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Werder Bremen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05?
Our prediction for the Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 match is: Werder Bremen wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Werder Bremen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.61% for a win of Werder Bremen against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 with odds of 2.25 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 is 35.8% with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.59% chance ⭐ for a win of 1 Fsv Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen with odds of 3.56 at 888Starz.
Werder Bremen - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction and Best Odds:
| Werder Bremen 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.8% | 3.68 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 14.98% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Form
Werder Bremen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
40 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | -9 |
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
Werder Bremen and 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Sept 2024 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
2 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2023 - Bundesliga
Werder Bremen against 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Substitutes
K. Hein
DefenderM. Schmetgens
K. Coulibaly
F. Agu
MidfielderI. Schmidt
P. Covic
S. Musah
J. Njinmah
S. Mbangula Tshifunda
L. Riess
DefenderK. Potulski
M. Leitsch
MidfielderL. Maloney
W. Boving
S. Kawasaki
N. Veratschnig
A. Sieb
N. Weiper
Missing players
M. Weiser
M. Wober
A. Pieper
MidfielderW. Adeh
ForwardV. Boniface
J. Milosevic
R. Zentner
DefenderS. Bell
A. Hanche-Olsen
A. Caci
M. Dal
MidfielderN. Amiri
D. Gleiber
ForwardB. Hollerbach
K. Bos
Most goals and assists
Werder Bremen
1 Fsv Mainz 05
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
N. Amiri
(12 Goals)
R. Schmid
(7 Assists)
B. Hollerbach
(3 Assists)
,
D. da Costa
(3 Assists)
, 
S. Becker
(3 Assists)
Werder Bremen - 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Key Points
- Werder won their last two Bundesliga matches.
- Werder won four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Mainz.
- At home, Werder lost only three of their last ten Bundesliga matches, winning four.
- Mainz were beaten in six of their last ten away Bundesliga matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 Prediction
This is a massive match in the Bundesliga relegation battle, as Werder and Mainz are separated by just one point and are marginally above the drop zone. With stakes so high, Werder will be happy to have turned things around with back-to-back wins after going 13 matches without a win in the Bundesliga. Mainz are proving to be a stubborn side, highlighted by their run of four consecutive draws.
There’s still work to do on the road, though, which is why our Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz prediction is Werder Bremen wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Werder Bremen 1 Fsv Mainz 05
| Werder Bremen vs 1 Fsv Mainz 05 | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen wins | 2.35 | 2.25 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.68 | +5.1% |
| 1 Fsv Mainz 05 wins | 2.95 | 3.56 | +20.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 27.2% (-1.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
