Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Matchday 19 in the A-League will conclude with Wellington Phoenix playing host to Sydney FC on Sunday. The Nix are 11th in the league standings, while the Sky Blues are in third place after 18 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Wellington Phoenix will be hoping to bounce back from a 5-0 hammering by Auckland last week, a result that marked their biggest loss in the top flight since a 6-1 defeat to the same opponent in February 2025.
The Nix are now winless in their last five league matches (D3 L2). Notably, last week’s defeat was the first time they failed to score a goal in since a 1-0 loss to Macarthur in late November.
The hosts have also failed to win any of their last four home games (D2 L2) but have scored 15 goals in their 10 matches on home soil this term, which is the third most in the division.
Meanwhile, Sydney ended their three-match winless run in the A-League with a much-needed 1-0 victory at home to Brisbane Roar last weekend.
Notably, the Sky Blues' biggest strength this season has been their defence, which has kept seven clean sheets to date and has only conceded 18 goals - the joint-fewest in the top flight.
The visitors have earned 13 points from 10 away matches this season (W4 D1 L5), but they are winless in their last five league games at this venue (D2 L2).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Wellington Phoenix v Sydney Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.9 | 1.92 |
|
|
3.68 | 3.88 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.58 | 3.84 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.6 | 4 | 1.81 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.8 | 1.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/02/2026 between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.63% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Sydney with odds of 3.68 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney is 27.5% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Sydney vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.95 at LSbet.
Wellington Phoenix - Sydney Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wellington Phoenix Sydney Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sydney wins | 36.87% | 1.95 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.07% | 1.55 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sydney | 15.49% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Form
Wellington Phoenix and Sydney's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
39 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +8 |
|
8
|
33 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -12 |
Wellington Phoenix and Sydney Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
30 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
23 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - A-League
17 Feb 2026 - A-League
14 Feb 2026 - A-League
31 Jan 2026 - A-League
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
26 Jan 2026 - A-League
10 Jan 2026 - A-League
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2026 - A-League
16 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Jan 2025 - A-League
16 Mar 2024 - A-League
11 Mar 2023 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Sydney Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderL. Kelly-Heald
T. Loke
D. Edwards
MidfielderL. Brooke-Smith
S. Kartum
ForwardN. Mileusnic
A. Zaverdinos
DefenderM. Tisserand
R. Youlley
V. Campuzano
A. Toure
A. Walatee
M. Macallister
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix
Sydney
E. Ifeanyi
(10 Goals)
A. Toure
(5 Goals)
,
T. Quintal
(5 Goals)
K. Nagasawa
(4 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(4 Assists)
,
T. Payne
(4 Assists)
P. Quispe
(5 Assists)
Wellington Phoenix - Sydney Key Points
- Seven of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Wellington Phoenix have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home matches.
- Sydney FC have only kept one clean sheet in their last five games.
- Both teams scored in three of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction
While Wellington Phoenix have been very good in front of goal this season, now on 28 goals to date, their defence has let them down massively, having shipped a league-high 38 in 18 matches.
Sydney have the best defence in the league this term, but much of their best work has been done at home, while on the road, the Sky Blues have conceded five goals in their last two games. Therefore, our Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney FC prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wellington Phoenix Sydney
| Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 2.74 | 3.68 | +34.3% |
| Draw | 3.78 | 4 | +5.8% |
| Sydney wins | 2.36 | 1.95 | -17.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sydney is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.4% and is now 51.3% (8.9%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Wellington Phoenix vs. Sydney game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Wellington Phoenix and Sydney when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on A-League!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
