Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions
It's a clash of two of the worst defensive units of the 2025-26 A-League, which is why goals are likely to flow when Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets play on matchday eight. This match on Sunday morning (Australian time) at the Wellington Regional Stadium between the seventh-placed Nix and the 11th-placed Jets comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
Wellington's eight points (W2, D2, L3) see them stuck on the same points as three more teams below while being one point adrift of sixth. Newcastle's six points (W2, L5) see them start this round just a point above the basement club.
Last weekend's 3-1 away defeat to Auckland resulted in Wellington losing three of their last four league fixtures (W1). They continue to leak goals and have already conceded 11 goals in the season.
Both their wins have come at home for Wellington, but those wins have been sandwiched by two losses.
Newcastle lost 1-0 at home to Melbourne City, which continued their trend of decisive results (W2, L5). The Jets were beaten in four of their last five matchdays (W1), and their defensive struggles are a concern, having already let in 16 goals.
The Jets have won on their last trip to Auckland but were beaten in two away games prior.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Newcastle United Jets Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.82 | 4.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.84 | 2.2 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.9 | 2.12 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.9 | 2.13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle United Jets?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets match is: over 2.5 and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/12/2025 between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle United Jets in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.12% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Newcastle United Jets with odds of 3 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets is 11.01% with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle United Jets vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.34 at 888Starz.
Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle United Jets Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wellington Phoenix Newcastle United Jets Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 50.12% | 3 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.92% | |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Newcastle United Jets / Full-time: Wellington Phoenix | 18.62% | 23 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets Form
Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle United Jets's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
21 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | +2 |
|
8
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle United Jets Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - FFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
10 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2025 - A-League
9 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
30 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - A-League
9 Nov 2025 - A-League
19 Oct 2025 - A-League
4 Oct 2025 - FFA Cup
31 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
13 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2025 - A-League
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
19 Apr 2024 - A-League
27 Jan 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Newcastle United Jets Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
E. McCarron
MidfielderF. Conchie
L. Brooke-Smith
L. Candy
M. Munro
ForwardG. Sloane-Rodrigues
J. Baylis
DefenderJ. Shaughnessy
K. Mizunuma
L. Bayliss
B. Gibson
E. Adams
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix
Newcastle United Jets
E. Ifeanyi
(5 Goals)
L. Rose
(6 Goals)
K. Nagasawa
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(3 Assists)
D. Wilmering
(3 Assists)
,
W. Dobson
(3 Assists)
,
A. Badolato
(3 Assists)
Wellington Phoenix - Newcastle United Jets Key Points
- Wellington’s matches this season produced 2.86 goals per game.
- Newcastle’s matches this season saw an average of 3.86 goals per game.
- Six of Wellington’s seven league games this season produced goals from both teams.
- Five of Newcastle’s last seven league games saw both teams score goals.
- Nine of the last ten matches between these sides produced over 2.5 goals with six of those nine seeing BTTS.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction
It's a clash of two teams that have been struggling defensively this season. No team has conceded more goals than Newcastle this season, while Wellington are right behind them on that count. That's precisely why matches involving these sides have been high-scoring this season. Looking back at the historical record of these teams, goals have been a common denominator when these sides met.
Clean sheets are a rare occurrence for these sides, and that's why our Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets prediction is over 2.5 and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wellington Phoenix Newcastle United Jets
| Wellington Phoenix vs Newcastle United Jets | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 2.42 | 3 | +24.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.1 | +7.9% |
| Newcastle United Jets wins | 2.67 | 2.34 | -12.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wellington Phoenix is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.3% and is now 33.3% (-8.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Wellington Phoenix vs. Newcastle United Jets game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
