Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
On Sunday, Wellington Phoenix will play host to Adelaide United on Matchday 12 in the A-League. The Nix are ninth in the league standings, while the Reds are one spot above them in eighth after 11 games. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After a tough start to the season, Wellington Phoenix kicked off the new year positively, picking up their fourth win of the campaign, 3-0 over Brisbane Road on the road last week.
Nigerian attacker Ifeanyi Eze scored the opener six minutes into that match and is now the joint-top scorer in the league with five goals. That result also marked the Nix’s first clean sheet this term.
The hosts have split their first six home games this season, three wins and three losses. However, they have scored nine goals at this venue - the third-most in the division so far.
Meanwhile, Adelaide United’s New Year began in the worst way possible, as they suffered a painful 4-0 loss to Central Coast Mariners at home on Sunday afternoon.
That result marked the Reds’ biggest defeat of this season so far and was just the second time they failed to score a goal in their last 12 top-flight games since the end of April.
The visitors' away record this term is the second-worst in the league, with just three points earned from five games (W1 L4). They also conceded two or more goals in each of those defeats.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.9 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.7 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.76 | 3.92 | 2.29 |
|
|
2.52 | 3.7 | 2.46 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.65 | 2.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2026 between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.87% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Adelaide United with odds of 2.76 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United is 5.53% with odds of 3.92 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.46 at BC Game.
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wellington Phoenix Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 50.87% | 2.76 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78.17% | 1.58 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wellington Phoenix | 18.52% | 7 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Form
Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -1 |
|
10
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 |
Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - A-League
29 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - A-League
27 Dec 2025 - A-League
7 Dec 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
17 Oct 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
27 Oct 2025 - A-League
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Apr 2025 - A-League
10 Jan 2025 - A-League
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
5 May 2023 - A-League
17 Mar 2023 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Adelaide United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Chalabi
DefenderT. Loke
MidfielderF. Conchie
A. Cassidy
P. Retre
L. Brooke-Smith
N. Mileusnic
E. Cox
DefenderS. Phillis
F. Talladira
MidfielderJ. Najdovski
A. Ayoubi
J. Garuccio
A. Tatu
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
E. Ifeanyi
(5 Goals)
L. Jovanovic
(4 Goals)
K. Nagasawa
(3 Assists)
, 
C. Piper
(3 Assists)
Y. Dukuly
(4 Assists)
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Key Points
- Eight of Wellington Phoenix’s last 10 games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Wellington Phoenix have not kept a clean sheet at home this season.
- Seven of Adelaide United’s 11 games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Adelaide United have conceded two or more goals in four of their five away games this season.
- Both teams have scored in each of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction
Wellington Phoenix pulled off a major upset to beat Brisbane Roar last week, but they’ve still only won four games this season and have conceded 20 goals, which is the second-most in the top flight.
Adelaide United have won two of the last three matches against this opponent, but their away record is dismal, and they’ve been shipping goals with regularity on their travels. Matches between these sides have produced goals of late, and we’re expecting that to be the case in this one. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wellington Phoenix Adelaide United
| Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 2.9 | 2.76 | -4.8% |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.92 | +5.4% |
| Adelaide United wins | 2.28 | 2.46 | +7.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wellington Phoenix is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.5% and is now 36.2% (1.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Wellington Phoenix vs. Adelaide United game!
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Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
