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Watford vs Oxford United Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Watford
04/10/2025 10:00
Oxford United

Prediction :

 

Oxford Over 3.5 Corner Kicks

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Championship Predictions

Watford will host Oxford United in Round 9 of the Championship, and with their history of low-scoring meetings, punters will be scratching their heads for the sharp pick here. See our best pick in this Watford vs Oxford United match prediction.

In their only three meetings in recent times, no game has featured more than two goals, and the last two were 1-0 games with both sides winning one game each. However, we’ve found a bet that won in all three meetings and in several of their recent games. The pick in question is Oxford United making at least four corner kicks.

As we mentioned, The U's made at least three corner kicks in all three of the meetings. Now, for their recent games, we found that Oxford has made 4+ corner kicks in three of their last six games. Away from home, Oxford has also won this game in two of its last four games. Now this trend is even more prominent with The Hornets.

Of Watford’s last seven games, they allowed at least 4+ corner kicks to their opponents in six games. Then, for home games only, Watford has conceded over 3.5 corner kicks in all four that they’ve played this season. Watford just played Portsmouth in a 2-2 draw, and while there weren’t many corners, their opponent still managed four. In contrast, Oxford managed only one in their 0-0 draw vs QPR, but that was an outlier.

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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Oxford United Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.96 3.25 3.9
Betfred
2.05 3.3 3.75
William Hill
2.05 3.2 3.6
Betway
2 3.3 3.6
Unibet
2.02 3.35 3.7
Check all Watford vs Oxford United odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Oxford United?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Oxford United match is: Oxford Over 3.5 Corner Kicks.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Watford and Oxford United in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.31% for a win of Watford against Oxford United with odds of 2.06 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Oxford United is 32.18% with odds of 3.54 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Oxford United vs Watford with odds of 4.1 at Melbet.

Watford vs Oxford United Form

Watford and Oxford United's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
16
Watford
Watford
9 8 2 3 3 -1
21
Oxford United
Oxford United
6 8 1 3 4 -2

Watford and Oxford United Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D D L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Watford

27 Sep 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Hull

22 Sep 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Blackburn

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Southampton

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Watford
W L W D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Sep 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Hull

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Blackburn

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Southampton

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
QPR

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  2
Norwich

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  0
La Coruna
W D L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

Portsmouth
2 :  2
Watford

22 Sep 2025 - Championship

Millwall
1 :  0
Watford

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
Watford

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
1 :  0
Watford

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leyton Orient London
1 :  1
Watford

8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
0 :  2
Watford
Oxford United
Oxford United Last matches
L D D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
0 :  0
Oxford United

27 Sep 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sheffield United

21 Sep 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  3
Oxford United

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Leicester

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Coventry City

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton
L W L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Sep 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Sheffield United

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Leicester

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
2 :  2
Coventry City

27 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
0 :  6
Brighton

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Oxford United
1 :  0
Colchester

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
0 :  1
Portsmouth
D D L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Championship

QPR
0 :  0
Oxford United

21 Sep 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  3
Oxford United

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Birmingham
1 :  0
Oxford United

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  2
Oxford United

3 May 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  3
Oxford United

21 Apr 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Oxford United

Watford vs Oxford United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

50 %

Draw

0 %

Oxford United

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.5
Goals scored (away team)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

15 Mar 2025 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Watford

8 Nov 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Oxford United
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Watford vs Oxford United last Lineups

Watford

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
E. Selvik
3
M. Alleyne
25
J. Abankwah
6
M. Pollock
29
J. Petris
5
H. Kyprianou
17
M. Sissoko
26
C. Wiley
10
I. Louza
18
V. Semedo
66
N. Irankunda
27
W. Lankshear
16
N. Prelec
50
F. Krastev
8
C. Brannagan
14
B. De Keersmaecker
7
P. Placheta
26
J. Currie
2
S. Long
6
M. Helik
15
B. Spencer
1
J. Cumming

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Oxford United

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Midfielder

P. Dwomoh

G. Chakvetadze

Oxford United
Oxford United
Defender

C. Brown

Midfielder

M. Phillips

Forward

O. Romeny

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Oxford United
Top Goalscorer
Morocco I. Louza (2 Goals)
Australia N. Irankunda (2 Goals)
Denmark L. Kjerrumgaard (2 Goals)
England K. Baah (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England W. Lankshear (3 Goals)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland R. Vata (2 Assists)
Morocco I. Louza (2 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium B. De Keersmaecker (1 Assists)
Poland M. Helik (1 Assists)

Watford and Oxford United Stats in Championship

Watford
Watford
Oxford United
Oxford United
25%
Wins
13%
38%
Draw
38%
38%
Losses
50%
2.38
Total goals per match
2.5
1.13
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.25
Goals conceded per match
1.38
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Under 2.5
50%
63%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sheet
13%

Watford - Oxford United Key Points

  1. Oxford has made over 3.5 corners in all three meetings against Watford in recent history.
  2. Watford have allowed 4+ corners in six of their last seven games.
  3. Watford have conceded over 3.5 corners in all four of their home league games this season.
  4. Oxford has taken at least four corners in three of their last six league games, and in two of their four home games.
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Our Watford vs Oxford United Prediction

Only three points separate The Hornets and The U's, so we can expect both teams to go all out for a win here. But even more so from Oxford, who just sit one place above the relegation zone by goal difference. If Oxford goes for anything other than a win in this game, then they’ll automatically fall into the relegation zone if Blackburn or Sheffield Wednesday pick up a single point.

We’ve already seen this bet win in all of their three recent meetings, and in six of Watford’s last seven games this season. Hence, our Watford vs Oxford United prediction is Oxford Over 3.5 Corner Kicks.

Prediction :

 

Oxford Over 3.5 Corner Kicks

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Oxford United Prediction
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