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12 August 2022 - 15:00

England - Championship

Day 3

Watford
Watford
VS
Burnley
Burnley

Tip :

Under 2.5

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Watford vs Burnley Prediction

 by Ioannis |

Watford host Burnley at the Vicarage Road for the third round of the Championship, in what would have been a Premier League encounter last season. The Hornets kicked off the new season in positive light, and after beating Sheffield they managed to secure a draw at the Hawthorns against West Brom, which places them joint-second behind Blackburn. There is a newfound confidence about Rob Edwards’ team that proves the right moves finally took place behind the scenes and during preseason. For the first time in many seasons, Watford managed to keep hold of their core of players and did not make too many transfer signings, which looks to have strengthened the squad. However, owing to their disastrous Premier League campaign last year, their recent record on home soil does not make for good reading. Besides the opening day win and the preparation friendlies, Watford are winless in thirteen competitive games at the Vicarage Road, losing a staggering eleven of them, yet the Championship is a totally different division, and they will have surely worked towards making that ground formidable again. 

Vincent Kompany’s Burnley also started the new campaign in positive fashion. After taking a classic Burnley away win against Huddersfield with 1-0, they secured a hard-fought draw at home against Luton. Despite both games featuring three goals in total, there is an evident shift in Kompany’s approach compared to Dyche’s, with Burnley being much more often on the front foot, something that can be seen from the 71% possession they registered in their last game. When it comes to their record on the road, the Clarets have won three of their last five, which also includes an away win against Watford at the end of April. They tend to do well at the Vicarage Road, where they have managed to stay unbeaten in their last four encounters there and win three of those, scoring six goals in the process.

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The best odds for betting

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 3.3 3
1xbet
2.44 3.38 3.08
Vbet
2.44 3.17 3.13
Betobet
2.35 3.25 3.15
Shangrila
2.37 3.15 3.2
See all odds Watford - Burnley
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Form

Ranking

8e
Watford
Championship
5e
Burnley

Last matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
L L D W W D

8 Aug 2022 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  1
Watford

1 Aug 2022 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Sheffield United

16 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
4 :  1
Wycombe Wanderers

10 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  0
Panathinaikos Athens

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Watford

15 May 2022 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  5
Leicester
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L D L W W D

8 Aug 2022 - Professional Development League

Burnley
1 :  3
Charlton Athletic

6 Aug 2022 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Luton Town

29 Jul 2022 - Championship

Huddersfield Town
0 :  1
Burnley

15 Jul 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Shrewsbury Town
1 :  3
Burnley

22 May 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Newcastle

19 May 2022 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  1
Burnley

Head to head

Watford

20 %

Draw

20 %

Burnley

60 %

30 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  2
Burnley

5 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Watford

25 Jun 2020 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Watford

23 Nov 2019 - Premier League

Watford
0 :  3
Burnley

19 Jan 2019 - Premier League

Watford
0 :  0
Burnley

19 Aug 2018 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  3
Watford

7 Apr 2018 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  2
Burnley

9 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  0
Watford

4 Feb 2017 - Premier League

Watford
2 :  1
Burnley

26 Sep 2016 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Watford
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Players list

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper D Bachmann Defender C Cathcart M Gaspar H Kamara F Sierralta Midfielder D Gosling C Kabasele E Kayembe Forward K Sema Y Asprilla V Issouf Bayo
Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper A Muric Defender C Taylor T Harwood-Bellis C Roberts I Maatsen Midfielder Vitinho L McNally J Brownhill Forward J Rodriguez J Cork N Tella

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper B Hamer Defender J Ngakia C Kabasele Midfielder D Gosling Y Asprilla Forward V Issouf Bayo R Manaj
Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper B Peacock-Farrell Defender C Egan-Riley Vitinho L McNally Midfielder J Cork N Tella Forward J Rodriguez

Key points Watford - Burnley

  1. Four of Watford’s last five games featured Under 2.5 goals
  2. Three of Burnley’s last four games featured Under 2.5 goals
  3. Watford have won just two of their last nineteen home games
  4. Three of their last five meetings have seen Under 2.5 goals and at least one clean sheet
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Our prediction

In an interesting Championship encounter, which has the feel of a Premier League clash, Watford and Burnley have both started well, yet we expect them to be cautious in their approach. Both teams have scored twice and conceded once in their opening two games, and caution could very well be the policy in this game as well, making Under 2.5 goals the value pick.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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