Waterford United vs St Patricks Prediction & Betting Tips - Airtricity League
Rep. of Ireland - Airtricity League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
Waterford United will look to continue their push towards safety in the 2026 League of Ireland Premier Division as they face top-two chasers St Patricks in a matchday 24 fixture on Friday. This match between the ninth-placed Blues and the third-placed Saints in Waterford is likely to surprise the visitors as the hosts look to maximise their home form, which is the core of our prediction.
With 20 points from 23 matches (W4, D8, L11), Waterford are in the relegation playoff spot and two points behind the safety zone. St Patrick’s have 41 points (W12, D5, L6) and are two points behind second place with two games in hand.
Waterford won 4-2 away at Derry City last Friday to continue their recent resurgence. The Blues have won three of their last four league games, making a compelling argument for salvaging their season. It’s their home form that’s driving Waterford’s revival, as they have lost only one of their last seven home league games (W2, D4).
A 3-0 home win over Galway last Friday gave St Patricks their third win in the last four league games (L1). As they continue to chase a top two spot, the Saints need to find a way past their away struggles. St Patrick's are winless in their last five league trips (D3, L2), including consecutive defeats.
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Waterford United v St Patricks Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2 | 3.1 | 1.55 |
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4.86 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
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4.97 | 4.3 | 1.58 |
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4.89 | 3.98 | 1.64 |
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4.86 | 4.29 | 1.58 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Waterford United and St Patricks?
Our prediction for the Waterford United vs St Patricks match is: Waterford United or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/07/2026 between Waterford United and St Patricks in Airtricity League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.14% for a win of Waterford United against St Patricks with odds of 5 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Waterford United vs St Patricks is 40.43% with odds of 4.3 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.43% chance ⭐ for a win of St Patricks vs Waterford United with odds of 1.68 at LSbet.
Waterford United - St Patricks Prediction and Best Odds:
| Waterford United St Patricks Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40.43% | 4.3 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.91% | 1.76 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Waterford United / Full-time: Draw | 19.96% | 16 at LSbet |
Waterford United vs St Patricks Form
Waterford United and St Patricks's standings in the Airtricity League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
50 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +20 |
|
8
|
32 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -9 |
Waterford United and St Patricks Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League
26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
29 May 2026 - Airtricity League
22 May 2026 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
18 May 2026 - Airtricity League
15 May 2026 - Airtricity League
4 May 2026 - Airtricity League
24 Apr 2026 - Airtricity League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League
26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
29 May 2026 - Airtricity League
22 May 2026 - Airtricity League
8 May 2026 - Airtricity League
1 May 2026 - Airtricity League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League
26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
29 May 2026 - Airtricity League
22 May 2026 - Airtricity League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - Airtricity League
19 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
12 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
15 May 2026 - Airtricity League
8 May 2026 - Airtricity League
24 Apr 2026 - Airtricity League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - Airtricity League
29 May 2026 - Airtricity League
22 May 2026 - Airtricity League
4 May 2026 - Airtricity League
1 May 2026 - Airtricity League
17 Apr 2026 - Airtricity League
Waterford United vs St Patricks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 May 2026 - Airtricity League
20 Mar 2026 - Airtricity League
24 Oct 2025 - Airtricity League
3 Aug 2025 - Airtricity League
23 May 2025 - Airtricity League
28 Mar 2025 - Airtricity League
Waterford United - St Patricks Key Points
- Waterford avoided defeat in four of their last five league matches.
- Waterford are undefeated in six of their last seven home league games.
- St. Patricks won only four of their last ten league matches.
- St. Patricks have failed to win their last five away league fixtures.
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Our Waterford United vs St Patricks Prediction
Both teams come into this fixture with a similar record of three wins from their last four league matches. This sequence has seen Waterford breathe life into their campaign and start this round just two points behind the safety zone. Waterford’s recent home record gives hope that they can spring a surprise here, boosted further by St. Patrick's recent struggles away from home.
This match could go against the trend as Waterford look to make the most of their home form, so our Waterford United vs St Patricks prediction is Waterford United or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Waterford United St Patricks
| Waterford United vs St Patricks | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waterford United wins | 5 | 5 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.3 | +13.2% |
| St Patricks wins | 1.53 | 1.68 | +9.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 23.3% (-3.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.