International - Women's Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions
Group A4 in the UEFA Women's Nations League will draw to a close with Wales W playing host to Italy W at Swansea.com Stadium on Tuesday. The Dragons are bottom of the standings with two points, while Le Azzure are third with seven points. Let’s get into the match prediction.
It has been a tough campaign for Wales, who have only managed two draws from their five games in this group, meaning they will be relegated to League B next season.
The Dragons were beaten 1-0 by Denmark on the road on Friday evening, which confirmed they will end bottom of the group. It was only the second time in 10 games they failed to score.
The hosts lost their last home games 2-1 to Denmark last month, but that result came after a seven-match unbeaten run that dated back to the start of December 2023.
Meanwhile, Italy will not be able to advance to the Nations League Finals but will be able to avoid the relegation playoffs if they win here and one of Sweden or Denmark loses.
The Blues played out a goalless draw against Sweden last week, taking their record to (W2 D1 L2) in the competition. That result also marked their third clean sheet in the competition.
The visitors have won one and lost one of their two away games in this competition, though that was the only defeat on the road they’ve conceded in their last five across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wales v Italy W Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6 | 4 | 1.57 |
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5.5 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
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5.5 | 4 | 1.5 |
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5.6 | 4 | 1.51 |
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4.7 | 4.1 | 1.55 |
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Wales vs Italy W Form
Wales and Italy W's standings in the Women's Nations League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3
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7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
4
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2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 |
Wales and Italy W Last Matches

1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Women's Euro
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Nov 2024 - Women's Euro
29 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro
16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
31 May 2024 - Women's Euro
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
3 Dec 2024 - Women's Euro
25 Oct 2024 - Women's Euro
12 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro

3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
2 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2025 - Women's Nations League
25 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
29 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
25 Oct 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
16 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
4 Apr 2025 - Women's Nations League
2 Dec 2024 - Int. Friendly Games, Women
12 Jul 2024 - Women's Euro
31 May 2024 - Women's Euro
9 Apr 2024 - Women's Euro
Wales vs Italy W Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Feb 2025 - Women's Nations League
Wales - Italy W Key Points
- Four of Wales’ five games in this competition have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Five of Wales' last six home games have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Italy have kept three clean sheets in their five games in this competition.
- Italy have kept three clean sheets in their last five away games.
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Our Wales vs Italy W Prediction
While Wales have not won a match to date and have known their fate since their last match, they will still want to end the competition on a positive note, especially in front of their home fans.
However, Italy, while also out of Finals contention, will know the importance of three points here, and it would not come as a surprise if they prioritised a clean sheet to give themselves a good chance of nicking the win. Our Wales W vs Italy W prediction is under 2.5.
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Try your luck on this year's Women's Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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