Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction & Betting Tips - Brasileirão Serie A
Brazil - Brasileirão Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Returning to winning ways will be the agenda when Vitoria and Palmeiras face off in the 21st round in Serie A. Vitoria, placed 13th, will play host to the league leaders, eyeing their first win in three meetings with Palmeiras. Across these teams’ last 10 meetings, Palmeiras have only lost twice, and this prediction backs them to extend their good record.
Following their 2-0 defeat to Remo last time out, Vitoria have now failed to score in back-to-back league matches, yet they face the league's meanest defence.
Collecting just one point from a possible six keeps them outside the continental football slots by a point. The side from Guimaraes has now lost eight times, one more than their tally of wins.
Palmeiras will in this game be facing one of the top sides when playing at home. This should not be a deterrent to the league leaders, as they’re the best-performing away team, having claimed six wins in 10.
That form offers the motivation they need after falling 2-1 at home against Atletico-MG in their last outing. The defeat was only their second in the season, but Verdao still have a good lead, sitting six points ahead of Flamengo.
They’ve, however, played a game more than the second-placed side. In the reverse match, Palmeiras thumped Vitoria 5-1 to extend their undefeated run in this fixture to three outings.
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Vitoria v Palmeiras Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.95 | 3.2 | 2.05 |
|
|
4.91 | 3.22 | 1.94 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.03 | 1.98 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.09 | 2.06 |
|
|
4.2 | 3 | 1.96 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the Vitoria vs Palmeiras match is: Palmeiras wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2026 between Vitoria and Palmeiras in Brasileirão Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.81% for a win of Vitoria against Palmeiras with odds of 4.91 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria vs Palmeiras is 21.59% with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs Vitoria with odds of 2.06 at Betwinner.
Vitoria - Palmeiras Prediction and Best Odds:
| Vitoria Palmeiras Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Vitoria wins | 39.81% | 4.91 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.26% | 2.1 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time: Palmeiras / Full-time: Vitoria | 17.61% | 62 at Betsson |
Vitoria vs Palmeiras Form
Vitoria and Palmeiras's standings in the Brasileirão Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
57 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | +26 |
|
13
|
33 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | -14 |
Vitoria and Palmeiras Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
14 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
6 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
30 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Do Nordeste
17 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
29 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Vitoria vs Palmeiras Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Feb 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 Jul 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
14 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Dec 2018 - Brasileirão Serie A
Vitoria against Palmeiras Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
Y. Sena
DefenderM. Duarte
Jamerson
T. Pochettino
D. Tarzia
Walace
J. Silva Neves
Erick
F. Dos Santos
R. Kayzer
Marinho
O. Lourenco Filho
M. Lomba
K. Pereira
DefenderKhellven
A. Santana Marcolino
L. Benedetti
A. Giay
MidfielderE. Martinez
L. Evangelista
J. Lopez
V. Roque
F. Anderson
R. Fillipi
Missing players
Riccieli
Camutanga
Edu
Claudinho
MidfielderDudu
Most goals and assists
Vitoria
Palmeiras
C. de Sousa Ferreira
(9 Goals)
J. Lopez
(8 Goals)
Erick
(4 Assists)
A. Pereira
(11 Assists)
Vitoria - Palmeiras Key Points
- Vitoria lost two of their last three home matches against Palmeiras.
- Palmeiras posted six wins in their last 10 meetings with Vitoria.
- Palmeiras have won six league matches more than Vitoria.
- Vitoria have suffered eight defeats in the league so far.
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Our Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction
Vitoria suffered a new low in their last league outing, as they fell 2-0 against relegation-threatened Remo. They have now lost more matches than they have won, and that record could get worse as they face the league’s best-performing side.
Palmeiras will be looking to bounce back as well. The visitors have claimed the most wins in the league and suffered the fewest defeats. In this game they have the chance to complete a league double over Vitoria. Our prediction for Vitoria v Palmeiras is that Palmeiras wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Vitoria Palmeiras
| Vitoria vs Palmeiras | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria wins | 3.78 | 4.91 | +29.9% |
| Draw | 3.37 | 3.3 | -2.1% |
| Palmeiras wins | 2.08 | 2.06 | -1.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vitoria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 29.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.5% and is now 20.4% (-6.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
