Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
23/08/2026 10:30
Nacional Madeira

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Nacional arrive in Guimarães in fine scoring form, with four goals across their opening two games. Vitória, meanwhile, have shipped four at the other end and are yet to keep a clean sheet all season. They meet at the D. Afonso Henriques on Sunday in the Liga Portugal, and our Vitória SC Guimarães vs Nacional Madeira match prediction backs both teams to score.

Os Alvinegros drew 2-2 at Santa Clara before beating Estoril 2-0, marking two goals in each of their opening games. That is a side brimming with confidence, sitting currently in fifth place. Against a Vitória defence this porous, Nacional should score here, just as they've done in their last 13 games against Os Conquistadores.

Vitória Guimarães, for their part, are enduring a rough start, after taking an opening day loss to Arouca (0-1) before enduring a tight 3-2 defeat to Sporting. But they did find the net twice at Alvalade, and equally boast goals in eight of their last 11 meetings against Os Alvinegros.

In fact, the BTTS bet has won in three of the last four encounters between Vitória and Nacional, and in five straight games on these grounds. The home side will look to score as they've done in six of their last eight league games here. Meanwhile, Nacional, who's yet to be denied, must fight to keep their top-table charge alive.

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Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Nacional Madeira Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.67 3.75 4.7
1xbet
1.76 3.95 4.78
Melbet
1.71 3.88 4.72
Betwinner
1.71 3.88 4.72
22bet
1.72 3.86 4.68
Check all Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Nacional Madeira?

Our prediction for the Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2026 between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Nacional Madeira in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.17% for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Nacional Madeira with odds of 1.76 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira is 26.98% with odds of 3.95 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Nacional Madeira vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 5 at Bet365.

Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira Form

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Nacional Madeira's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Nacional Madeira
4 2 1 1 0 +2
16 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 2 0 0 2 -2

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Nacional Madeira Last Matches

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last matches
L L D D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Varzim
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  0
Rio Ave

3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
5 :  0
Tondela

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  2
Famalicao

28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
W L L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Varzim
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira Last matches
L L W D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Estoril

10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  2
Nacional Madeira

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nacional Madeira
0 :  0
Leganés

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Estoril

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nacional Madeira
0 :  0
Leganés

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

2 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Estrela Amadora
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  2
Nacional Madeira

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  2
Nacional Madeira

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  0
Nacional Madeira

21 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
1 :  0
Nacional Madeira

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  1
Nacional Madeira

Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

50 %

Draw

17 %

Nacional Madeira

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

2 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  1
Nacional Madeira

3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

23 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  2
Nacional Madeira

26 Apr 2021 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

21 Jan 2021 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
3 :  1
Nacional Madeira
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira Prediction

Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira last Lineups

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

48
O. Zych
2
Maga
28
T. Lourenco De Carvalho
4
O. Rivas Viondi
13
J. Mendes
8
G. Nogueira
16
B. Mukendi
11
G. Silva
20
Samu
7
O. Camara
24
A. Ndoye
10
D. de Melo Araujo Junior
99
P. Messias Cardozo
8
M. Baeza
7
M. Jensen
22
F. Soares
28
Liziero
52
Wesley
6
M. Dias
38
Ze Vitor
34
L. Santos
1
R. Marin

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

Nacional Madeira

Substitutes

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

J. Castillo Reyes

L. Furtado

Defender

T. Strata

F. Dias

Midfielder

Santi Verdi

T. Arcanjo

A. Sidibe

L. Doucet

M. Mitrovic

M. Nogueira

Forward

P. Ouotro

Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
Goalkeeper

K. Medeiros de Freitas

J. Goncalves

Defender

P. Gouveia Silva

D. De la Cruz

F. Goncalves

I. Fernandes

S. Gavriel

Midfielder

M. Iseppe

Deivison

J. Silva

C. Labidi

Forward

Martim

Missing players

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

Gui

Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
Goalkeeper

R. Marin

Defender

J. Gomes

Ulisses

Forward

M. Nourani

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Vitoria SC Guimaraes
CD Huachipato Nacional Madeira
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Samu (1 Goals)
Senegal A. Ndoye (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Liziero (1 Goals) Spain M. Baeza (1 Goals) Brazil L. Santos (1 Goals) Brazil Ze Vitor (1 Goals)
Best assists
Romania T. Strata (1 Assists)
Portugal M. Nogueira (1 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil D. de Melo Araujo Junior (1 Assists)

Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Nacional Madeira Stats in Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Nacional Madeira
Nacional Madeira
0%
Wins
50%
100%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
50%
3
Average goals per match
3
1
Goals scored per match
2
2
Goals conceded per match
1
50%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
50%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Nacional Madeira Key Points

  1. Nacional have scored four goals in their opening two games.
  2. Nacional have scored in each of their last 13 meetings with Vitória.
  3. Vitória have not kept a clean sheet this season, conceding four in two games.
  4. Vitória have scored in eight of their last 11 meetings with Nacional.
  5. BTTS has landed in three of the last four meetings, and five straight at this ground.
  6. Vitória have scored in six of their last eight home league games.
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Our Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Nacional Madeira Prediction

For us, the numbers here all point the same way. Nacional have scored in their last 13 against Vitória and turn up with four goals already in the bank. Os Conquistadores, on the other hand, have yet to keep a clean sheet all season.

The hosts carry their own threat too, netting in eight of their last 11 against Nacional and six of their last home league games. What’s more, the last five times these two faced in this stadium, the BTTS bet won every single time. Hence, our Vitória SC Guimarães vs Nacional Madeira match prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.