Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
After comfortable Copa del Rey wins, Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano will go head-to-head in La Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica. Hosts Villarreal can rise to second with a win, while Rayo will be targeting a place in the top six. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Villarreal are going for a seventh win as they look to at least hold on to third spot. A 6-0 win against Ciudad de Lucena in the Copa Del Rey will have them pumped up for this game.
Earlier they had also beaten Valencia 2-0 to rise after their defeat to Manchester City in the Champions League. At home in La Liga, Villarreal haven't lost in the last 11, winning eight.
Rayo Vallecano beat CD Yuncos 6-1 in their Copa Del Rey outing, extending their good start to the season. That was their sixth undefeated outing, a run in which they have only failed to win once—the 2-2 draw with Hacken.
This six-match unbeaten run started off after earlier going winless in five, and Rayo will be looking to keep it going. This stability has also been reflected in recent away matches, where after three straight defeats, they are now unbeaten in four.
Rayo will hope this lifts them from seventh, where they trail a place in Europe by a point. They are winless in four against Villarreal, though.
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Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.72 | 3.95 | 4.9 |
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1.74 | 4.02 | 5.25 |
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|
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1.71 | 3.84 | 4.76 |
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1.7 | 3.84 | 4.86 |
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1.67 | 3.9 | 5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano match is: Villarreal wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.28% for a win of Villarreal against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 1.78 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano is 23.9% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal with odds of 5.25 at 1xbet.
Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 45.28% | 1.78 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.05% | 1.84 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Villarreal | 18.44% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
Villarreal and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
21 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Oct 2025 - Conference League
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
14 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
28 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
28 May 2023 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Tenas
DefenderA. Altimira
S. Cardona
R. Marin
P. Navarro
MidfielderP. Gueye
M. Solomon
D. Parejo
T. Buchanan
I. Akhomach
T. Oluwaseyi
A. Perez
A. Molina
D. Cardenas
DefenderJ. Vertrouwd
A. Espino
I. Balliu
O. Valentin
F. Perez
S. Gomez
G. Gumbau
ForwardS. Camello
R. Nteka
O. Trejo
Missing players
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
ForwardP. Cabanes
A. Mumin
L. Felipe
Most goals and assists
Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Villarreal are unbeaten in 11 league games at home.
- Villarreal lost only once in 11 home matches against Rayo.
- Rayo lost three times in their last five away league matches.
- Rayo Vallecano are winless in four matches against Villarreal.
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Our Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
This fixture, when hosted by Villarreal, has largely been a one-sided affair. However, there could be a change this time, with Rayo Vallecano coming on a strong run and challenging for a spot in the top six. The visitors, however, still have challenges in away league matches.
They meet a Villarreal side that has a fine run at home in La Liga. The hosts are unbeaten in their last 11 league games at home and have won eight of them. Our prediction for Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano is that Villarreal wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Rayo Vallecano
| Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 1.66 | 1.78 | +7.2% |
| Draw | 4.24 | 4.1 | -3.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 5.61 | 5.25 | -6.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.2% and is now 56.2% (-4.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.