Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Ita Emmanuel | in LaLiga Predictions
The battle for a third-place finish in the 2025-26 La Liga season comes to a head as Villarreal welcome Atletico Madrid to Estadio de la Ceramica in the final fixture on Sunday. The Yellow Submarine are level on points (69) and goal difference (+22) with Atletico Madrid, adding more intrigue to this contest. With the hosts picking just one point from their last three matches and struggling in recent meetings with Rojiblancos, our prediction here favors Atletico Madrid.
Villarreal have lost momentum in the La Liga run-in this season. After stacking up three wins and one draw from Matchday 31 to Matchday 34, they dropped points in their last three outings, including a 2–0 defeat to Rayo Vallecano last week.
The Yellow Submarine also saw their six-match winning streak at home in La Liga snapped during this tough stretch, falling to a dramatic 3–2 defeat against Sevilla. They are winless in their last seven La Liga home fixtures against Atletico Madrid.
Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid head into this contest on back-to-back successes in La Liga. They edged Girona 1–0 last week to rack up four wins in their last five La Liga outings. This includes back-to-back victories in their last two away fixtures as well. Overall, Rojiblancos are unbeaten in their last six meetings with Villarreal (W3, D3).
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Villarreal v Atletico Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.8 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.76 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.82 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.8 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.54 | 3.75 | 2.48 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid match is: Draw or Atletico Madrid.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/05/2026 between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.25% for a win of Villarreal against Atletico Madrid with odds of 2.65 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid is 13.95% with odds of 4 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal with odds of 2.62 at 888Starz.
Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 49.25% | 2.65 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.22% | |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Villarreal/Villarreal | 23.07% | 3.8 at LSbet |
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Form
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
72 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +26 |
|
4
|
69 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | +18 |
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
10 May 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2026 - LaLiga
5 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
12 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
L. Junior
DefenderW. Kambwala
L. Costa
S. Cardona
R. Veiga
A. Freeman
MidfielderC. Macia
A. Diatta
T. Oluwaseyi
A. Gonzalez
T. Buchanan
P. Cabanes
J. Oblak
S. Esquivel
DefenderR. Belaid
M. Ruggeri
A. Puric
J. Bonar
J. Morcillo
J. Diaz
ForwardI. Luque Sierra
A. Sorloth
M. Cubo
Missing players
J. Foyth
MidfielderS. Comesana
ForwardG. Moreno
J. Gimenez
R. Le Normand
N. Molina
MidfielderJ. Cardoso
B. Pablo
R. Mendoza
ForwardJ. Alvarez
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
G. Mikautadze
(13 Goals)
A. Sorloth
(13 Goals)
N. Pepe
(8 Assists)
G. Simeone
(6 Assists)
Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Villarreal are winless in their last three matches, losing two.
- Atletico Madrid have won four of their last five La Liga matches, including the last two.
- Atletico Madrid have won their last two La Liga away matches.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten in their last seven away matches against Villarreal.
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Our Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Bookmakers are throwing their weight behind Villarreal given their home advantage. However, the hosts are in for a tough match on Sunday. They come into this clash winless over their last three matches and have found results hard to come by in recent meetings with Atletico Madrid.
Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid boast stronger recent results in the Spanish top flight and remain unbeaten in their last seven trips to face Villarreal. Our Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid prediction : Draw or Atletico Madrid.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Atletico Madrid
| Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 2.41 | 2.65 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.55 | 2.62 | +2.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.5% and is now 37.7% (-3.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
