Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar in Serie A Predictions
Venezia’s race against time to beat Serie A relegation sees them come up against European qualification chasers Fiorentina in a Matchday 36 fixture on Monday. This match at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo between the 18th-placed Winged Lions and the ninth-placed La Viola comes with our prediction of under 2.5.
With 26 points, Venezia started this round in the relegation zone and one point adrift of the safety zone. With two points separating teams from 17th to 19th, the battle to avoid finishing 18th as the final relegated team is expected to be highly competitive. Fiorentina’s 59 points put them four points outside sixth, the last spot which gives a Conference League play-off place.
Venezia’s 1-1 away draw at Torino last matchday could have been more if not for a harsh second-half penalty. That’s a seventh draw in their last ten league games (W1, L2), and they remain a tough team to beat.
All of Venezia’s four wins in this league campaign have come at home, and they are likely to be a strong opponent here. Fiorentina are still in the reckoning for European qualification but need to bounce back from the disappointment of losing in the UEFA Conference League semis against Real Betis.
Even in the league, Fiorentina’s run of four defeats in their last six trips is a concern for the visitors.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezia v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.1 | 2.5 |
|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.14 | 2.49 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.15 | 2.45 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezia and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Venezia vs Fiorentina match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/05/2025 between Venezia and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.65% for a win of Venezia against Fiorentina with odds of 3.05 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezia vs Fiorentina is 32.71% with odds of 3.3 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Venezia with odds of 2.61 at 1xbet.
Venezia vs Fiorentina Form
Venezia and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
59 | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 18 |
|
19
|
26 | 35 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -21 |
Venezia and Fiorentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
17 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Conference League
4 May 2025 - Serie A
1 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 May 2025 - Conference League
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
17 Apr 2025 - Conference League
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
1 May 2025 - Conference League
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
10 Apr 2025 - Conference League
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
Venezia vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Aug 2024 - Serie A
16 Apr 2022 - Serie A
18 Oct 2021 - Serie A
Venezia vs Fiorentina last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
M. Svoboda
R. Sagrado
E. Bove
D. Cataldi
Most goals and assists
Venezia
Fiorentina
J. Pohjanpalo
(6 Goals)
M. Kean
(20 Goals)
G. Oristanio
(4 Assists)
R. Gosens
(8 Assists)
Venezia and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A
Venezia - Fiorentina Key Points
- Venezia’s matches average 2.20 goals per fixture this Serie A season, and only Genoa averages fewer.
- Venezia’s last eight league games averaged 1.75 goals per fixture.
- At home this season, Venezia’s league games averaged 1.82 goals per match.
- In 16 of Venezia’s last 18 Serie A games, there have been under 2.5 goals scored.
- Fiorentina’s last league game against Venezia ended in a 0-0 draw.
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Our Venezia vs Fiorentina Prediction
Venezia are only marginally outside the safety zone, and a win here could push them out of the relegation zone. It won’t be easy against Fiorentina, who are fighting hard to stay in the European qualification places. La Viola will be pushed hard here, not least because of their extra-time assertions against Real Betis in the Conference League. That could be a ray of hope for the home team, although their poor scoring record could be a hindrance. This match is likely to be a low-scoring encounter, and our Venezia vs Fiorentina prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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