Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
A 2-2 draw in the first leg last week means there’s everything to play for in Rio de Janeiro, as Vasco and Independiente Medellin look to move to the round of 16 in the 2026 Copa Sudamericana. This match between the ‘Black Shirts’ and the ‘Paisa Red’ is likely to continue the scoring trend, and our prediction is for both teams to score.
The winner of this two-legged tie will play Olimpia in the round of 16. While Vasco qualified by finishing second in Group G, Independiente finished third in Group A of the Copa Libertadores and were transferred to this competition.
Vasco drew 1-1 at home against Mirassol at the weekend, a second draw in a row following the first leg's stalemate. The ‘Black Shirts’ are unable to get any momentum for this game, as they had just one win from their last nine games (D3, L5). Even at home, they won just once from their last five matches (D2, L2).
Medellin won 3-2 at home last weekend following the first leg result, which means they are unbeaten in four (W2, D2). They must improve on their continental performance this year, as they won only two of their six Copa Libertadores matches (D1, L3) before the first leg.
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Vasco Da Gama v Independiente Medellin Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.49 | 4.1 | 6 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.35 | 5.98 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.46 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.52 | 4.2 | 6.4 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.35 | 5.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vasco Da Gama and Independiente Medellin?
Our prediction for the Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2026 between Vasco Da Gama and Independiente Medellin in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.96% for a win of Vasco Da Gama against Independiente Medellin with odds of 1.7 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin is 38.03% with odds of 4.46 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama with odds of 6.9 at Shangrila.
Vasco Da Gama - Independiente Medellin Prediction and Best Odds:
| Vasco Da Gama Independiente Medellin Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.03% | 4.46 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.33% | 1.98 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Vasco Da Gama / Full-time: Draw | 15.73% | 21 at Betsson |
Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Form
Vasco Da Gama and Independiente Medellin Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Liga Postobon
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Colombia
29 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jul 2026 - Liga Postobon
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Colombia
11 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
3 May 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Jul 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
Vasco Da Gama against Independiente Medellin Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Fuzato
DefenderP. Rodriguez
L. Freitas
A. Saldivia Vazquez
Cuiabano
J. Rojas
Jair
JP
ForwardBrenner
Adson
M. Hinestroza
David
S. Romero
S. Ichazo
DefenderH. Palacios
A. Simarra
L. Escorcia Urieta
MidfielderK. Klinger
D. Moreno Quintero
D. Catano
B. Perlaza Perlaza
Y. Gonzalez
Most goals and assists
Vasco Da Gama
Independiente Medellin
Adson
(4 Goals)
J. Montano
(2 Goals)
Adson
(3 Assists)
J. Quintero
(1 Assists)
,
Y. Gonzalez
(1 Assists)
,
J. Medina
(1 Assists)
Vasco Da Gama - Independiente Medellin Key Points
- Six of Medellin’s last seven games have seen both teams score.
- Three of Medellin’s last four away games have produced goals from both teams.
- Vasco scored in each of their last six Copa Sudamericana matches, four of which returned BTTS.
- Vasco failed to keep a clean sheet in eight of their last nine matches.
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Our Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin Prediction
An exciting 2-2 draw in the first leg keeps both Medellin and Vasco in the race for qualification, although Medellin would be rueing a late equaliser they conceded. Vasco’s poor recent form gives hope for the visitors, as the hosts have just one win from their last nine games. Their record in this year’s competition has also been indifferent, which gives Medellin a chance to play on those nerves.
Much like the first leg, this match also promises goals, and our Vasco da Gama vs Independiente Medellin prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Vasco Da Gama Independiente Medellin
| Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vasco Da Gama wins | 1.65 | 1.7 | +3.0% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 4.46 | +25.6% |
| Independiente Medellin wins | 4.95 | 6.9 | +39.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.2% and is now 22.4% (-5.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Vasco Da Gama vs. Independiente Medellin game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
