WTA - WTA Cincinnati Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
The qualifier Varvara Gracheva has made it to the Cincinnati Open third round, where she is set to take on 11th seed Karolina Muchova. The winner of their first career meeting will set up a fourth-round showdown with Ella Seidel or McCartney Kessler. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Varvara Gracheva is having her best-ever performance in Cincinnati. Before this season, she had never won more than one match here. Now she has won back-to-back matches and is one win away from equaling her best-ever result at a WTA 1000 tournament.
Gracheva, who has needed a decider in both her main draw fixtures, defeated 24th seed Sofia Kenin in the last round. Despite being on a four-match winning streak, the Frenchwoman has dropped to 104th in the live ranking.
Karolina Muchova withstood pressure from former Cincinnati champion Caroline Garcia to win their second-round tie. She won in a gruelling two sets, with each set seeing a tiebreaker required.
Muchova made the final here two seasons ago and will likely use this as motivation as she seeks to end the season on a high.
The Czech number one has compiled a 16-11 record, leading to semi-final finishes in Linz and Dubai. Advancing to this round has seen the 28-year-old jump up to 12th in the live ranking.
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The Best Betting Odds for Varvara Gracheva v Karolina Muchova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.6 | 1.29 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.28 |
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3.55 | 1.3 |
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Who will win the Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova match is: Muchova to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova game on 12/08/2025 of the current WTA Cincinnati Open season:
- Varvara Gracheva has a 45.8% chance to win against Karolina Muchova according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.71.
- Karolina Muchova has a 54.2% probability of winning facing Varvara Gracheva ⭐ with odds of 1.31 at 22bet.
Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Varvara Gracheva has a 45.8 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Varvara Gracheva | 45.8 % |
| Karolina Muchova | 54.2 % |
Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova Form
Varvara Gracheva and Karolina Muchova Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
8 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
6 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
27 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
26 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
3 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
1 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
30 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
1 Jul 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
11 Jun 2025 - WTA London - Queen's
Varvara Gracheva - Karolina Muchova Key Points
- Gracheva has been defeated 21 times in 2025.
- 13 of Muchova’s 16 wins this season have been on hard courts.
- In Cincinnati, Gracheva has spent a combined seven hours on the court.
- Gracheva hasn’t won more than two main draw fixtures in 14 of 15 tour events this season.
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Our Varvara Gracheva vs Karolina Muchova Prediction
Our prediction for Varvara Garcheva v Karolina Muchova is for Muchova to win in straight sets. Muchova is a former Cincinnati Open finalist and is a strong candidate to make the final once again. Though she has struggled this season, she has shown good form on hard courts, her favoured surface to play on.
Gracheva has done well in Cincinnati and will be a tough opponent due to the momentum gained. She, however, hasn’t been fluid in her victories and has needed a decider each time. It is also worth noting that the French athlete has spent five more hours on the court in Cincinnati than Muchova. Fatigue will likely creep in.
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When you place a bet on the match between Varvara Gracheva and Karolina Muchova you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Varvara Gracheva or Karolina Muchova , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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