ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Qualifier Valentin Vacherot has had a great run in Shanghai. He faces 20th seed Tomas Machac in round three of this outdoor hard court Masters tournament. Can the qualifier defeat the seed? Time for our match prediction.
The last rankings had Vacherot in 204th position. Both his qualifiers saw him come from a set down. Since then the 24-year-old has defeated Laslo Djere and then the 14th seed Alexander Bublik, again coming from a set down.
Those four wins have taken Vacherot eight-and-a-half hours. He's up to 166th in the live rankings.
The winner of this match will be up against either second seed Jannik Sinner (the highest in the draw) or 27th-seeded Tallon Griekspoor in the last 16.
Tomas Machac was a semi-finalist in this tournament last year. He's 28th in the live rankings, five below his position in the last published list. He lost to Sinner in last year's semi-final so would love a chance of revenge if they meet in round four.
The 24-year-old has won one ATP Tour hard court title in 2025, lifting the trophy in Acapulco. He's won 18 of his 27 matches played on this surface in 2025. So far in this tournament, he's defeated Matta Bellucci in straight sets. We tip him to do the same to Vacherot.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valentin Vacherot v Tomas Machac Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.2 | 1.33 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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Who will win the Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac match is: Tomas Machac to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac game on 05/10/2025 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Valentin Vacherot has a 44.48% chance to win against Tomas Machac according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.55.
- Tomas Machac has a 55.52% probability of winning facing Valentin Vacherot ⭐ with odds of 1.33 at Ladbrokes.
Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Valentin Vacherot has a 44.48 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Valentin Vacherot | 44.48 % |
Tomas Machac | 55.52 % |
Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac Form
Valentin Vacherot and Tomas Machac Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sep 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
16 Sep 2025 - Saint Tropez, France, Qualifying
5 Sep 2025 - Cassis, France, Qualifying
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
25 Sep 2025 - ATP Japan Open
31 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
29 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
27 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
Valentin Vacherot - Tomas Machac Key Points
- Machac is 138 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Machac has won one ATP Tour title this year.
- Vacherot has already lost three sets in this tournament.
- Vacherot has played eight-and-a-half hours to reach this stage.
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Our Valentin Vacherot vs Tomas Machac Prediction
This is the first time that Valentin Vacherot has reached round three of a hard court tournament in 2025. He has had to play four matches to reach this stage and only one of his wins didn't see him drop a set.
He takes on Tomas Machac who made it to the last four here in 2024. He has won one hard court title this year and has a far better record on this surface than Vacherot. Our Valentin Vacherot v Tomas Machac prediction is Tomas Machac to win in straight sets.
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Try your luck on this year's ATP Shanghai Masters! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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