Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Juventus
05/10/2025 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

The biggest match in Serie A this weekend will definitely be Juventus playing host to resurgent AC Milan. A recent string of draws have taken the sting off Juventus’ credentials as a serious title contender. While that happens, Milan have been racking up important wins, recovering from their shocking opening defeat. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Juventus will be banking on the comforts at the Allianz Stadium in Turin to lift them in this tricky encounter. After a solid start to the season, back-to-back draws have left Juventus fourth in the league standings, though they are just a point behind Milan. That is what makes this a key game.

The league standings might be shaken up ahead of the international break, but Milan will hope the reorganization happens below them. Massimiliano Allegri faces his former employers at a venue where he achieved much success but hopes to spread some despair with his high-flying Milan side.

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Juventus v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.85 3.1 2.85
1xbet
2.86 3.07 2.81
Melbet
2.63 3.2 2.78
Betwinner
2.73 3.2 2.67
Bet365
2.7 3.2 2.7
Check all Juventus vs AC Milan odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Juventus and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Juventus vs AC Milan match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Juventus and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.71% for a win of Juventus against AC Milan with odds of 2.86 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Juventus vs AC Milan is 33.32% with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 38.97% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Juventus with odds of 2.85 at Stake.

Juventus - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Juventus AC Milan Prediction Probability Odds
AC Milan wins 38.97% 2.85 at Stake
Over 2.5 goals 56.76% 2.1 at Betobet
Both Team To Score 58.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan 18.26% 6.25 at LSbet

Juventus vs AC Milan Form

Juventus and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
6 Juventus
69 38 19 12 7 +27

Juventus and AC Milan Last Matches

Juventus
Juventus Last matches
W W D D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
2 :  2
Juventus

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  1
Juventus

16 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
4 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
4 :  3
Inter Milan

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Juventus
L D W W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
Atalanta

16 Sept 2025 - Champions League

Juventus
4 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
4 :  3
Inter Milan

24 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
Parma

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Juventus
2 :  2
Reggiana

26 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup

Juventus
2 :  5
Manchester City
L W W W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

1 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Villarreal
2 :  2
Juventus

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  1
Juventus

31 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Juventus

16 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  2
Juventus

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Juventus

1 Jul 2025 - Club World Cup

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  1
Napoli

23 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Bologna

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza
W W D L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  3
AC Milan

29 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
AC Milan

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

Juventus vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Juventus

33 %

Draw

50 %

AC Milan

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.67
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.67
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

18 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  0
AC Milan

3 Jan 2025 - Italian Super Cup

Juventus
1 :  2
AC Milan

23 Nov 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  0
Juventus

27 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  0
AC Milan

22 Oct 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Juventus

27 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Juventus
2 :  2
AC Milan

Juventus - AC Milan: Form Analysis

Whether in domestic or continental action, draws can’t seem to detach from Juventus. They arrive for this match off a 2-2 draw with Villarreal in the Champions League.

That marked their fourth straight draw, with two of them having been in Serie A. The winning touch is not all Juventus have lost; they are also rarely keeping clean sheets, despite having started with two in as many matches at the start of the season.

The one positive the home fans will cherish, though, is that their team is still unbeaten seven matches in. Last time out in Serie A they were held 1-1 by Atalanta, having come from behind.

Juventus have lost their defensive touch lately, but not the unbeaten run.

AC Milan are reaping maximum benefits of not having European travels, ironically, as a result of a poor run last season. The visitors have played seven matches so far this season and won six.

The Rossoneri are coming off their fifth straight win, and it is easy to tell they are well rested and fully charged. Even with Pervis Estupinan red-carded in the last game, Milan managed to beat champions Napoli 2-1 and toppled them from the league summit.

The next target is to open a three-point gap going into the international break, which looks possible. They only need to carry their scoring form and defensive solidity, having conceded just once in the last five matches.

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Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction

Juventus against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Juventus

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

16
M. Di Gregorio
4
F. Gatti
3
D. Rugani
6
L. Kelly
15
P. Kalulu
22
W. McKennie
5
M. Locatelli
27
A. Cambiaso
7
F. Conceicao
10
K. Yildiz
30
J. David
11
C. Pulisic
7
S. Gimenez
33
D. Bartesaghi
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
46
M. Gabbia
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Juventus
Juventus
Goalkeeper

C. Pinsoglio

M. Perin

Defender

J. Mario

Pedro Felipe

Midfielder

E. Zhegrova

K. Thuram

J. David 69'

T. Koopmeiners

V. Adzic

Forward

D. Vlahovic

K. Yildiz 68'

L. Openda

F. Conceicao 68'

F. Kostic

D. Rugani 86'

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Pittarella

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Odogu

K. De Winter

Z. Athekame

Midfielder

S. Ricci

R. Loftus-Cheek

Y. Fofana 63'

Forward

R. Leao

S. Gimenez 62'

C. Nkunku

C. Pulisic 74'

Missing players

Juventus
Juventus
Defender

Bremer

Midfielder

F. Miretti

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

P. Estupinan

Juventus & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Dusan Vlahovic will once again be the man Juventus depends on for goals in the attacking third. Jonathan David doesn’t seem to be up to speed yet, so all the hopes are on the Serbian, who has scored four times across all competitions this season.

In Serie A, he has two goals and should be well rested after starting on the bench in the midweek Champions League game. Arkadiusz Milik, Khephren Thuram, and Bremer are all ruled out for Juventus.

Francisco Conceicao and Federico Gatti are expected to feature for Juventus.

Milan will have to plan for this match without Pervis Estupinan. The Ecuadorian defender will be missed for his pace and ball recoveries after he was shown a straight red card in the win over Napoli.

Estupinan has proven to also be a key player in attack and has one assist to his name in Serie A. The most important player for Milan at the moment is Christian Pulisic.

The American has four goals in five league matches while also providing two assists.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Juventus
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Turkey K. Yildiz (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
USA W. McKennie (7 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists)
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists)
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Juventus - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan are unbeaten in their last five matches.
  2. Juventus are unbeaten so far in the season.
  3. Juventus drew each of their last four matches.
  4. Two of the last four meetings between these teams produced draws.
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Our Juventus vs AC Milan Prediction

Juventus have a strong record at home and are on an unbeaten run so far in the season. Breaking them down hasn’t been easy, and AC Milan are just about to find out. A battling spirit that has seen them rise from a losing position will be witnessed in Turin.

AC Milan will not be pushovers though. In two of the last four meetings, this match has returned draws. As both teams are in the title race, neither will want to lose the advantage here, so sharing spoils might be acceptable. Our prediction for Juventus v AC Milan is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Juventus vs AC Milan Alternative Predictions

Pulisic to score anytime.

Odds 2.27

AC Milan have a gem in Christian Pulisic. The American is arguably the most in-form player at the moment across these two sides. With six goal involvements already, Pulisic will be odds-on to score here. Our second prediction backs him to score anytime.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Juventus AC Milan

Juventus vs AC Milan Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Juventus wins 2.2 2.86 +30.0%
Draw 4.1 3.25 -20.7%
AC Milan wins 3.16 2.85 -9.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • AC Milan is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 31.6% and is now 35.1% (3.4%)

Juventus vs AC Milan - FAQs

The Juventus v AC Milan match will be played on Sunday, 5th October.

The Juventus v AC Milan match will be played at the Allianz Stadium in Turin.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.