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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Valencia have a strong run in season openers and will be banking on that in their La Liga match against Real Sociedad. Both sides lost key men to Premier League sides in the summer but will keep their heads high as they move on. Let’s look at a prediction for the game.
Home team Valencia had a good run in the second half of last season, rising from the drop zone to finish 12th. They will be looking to carry on in the same fashion, and five league opening wins in the last eight seasons will add to their home advantage.
Last season they won nine of 19 home league games before losing Giorgi Mamardashvili and center-back Cristhian Mosquera to Liverpool and Arsenal, respectively.
Real Sociedad’s closing matches last season were a stark contrast. They failed to win seven of their final eight La Liga matches, losing five times.
Despite all their promise in the season and quality in the team, they finished level on points with Valencia. Real Sociedad actually lost more matches than Valencia last season (18). Valencia were among the beneficiaries of Sociedad’s slump, winning 1-0 in their latest meeting.
That result put a halt to their three-match losing run against Sociedad, and it was the first time in four meetings that Sociedad conceded.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valencia v Real Sociedad Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.88 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.88 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Real Sociedad match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2025 between Valencia and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.08% for a win of Valencia against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.75 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Real Sociedad is 26.52% with odds of 3.03 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Valencia with odds of 3.22 at 22bet.
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Form
Valencia and Real Sociedad Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
3 May 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
13 May 2025 - LaLiga
4 May 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
10 May 2025 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
27 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2022 - LaLiga
Missing players
T. Correia
ForwardAlberto Mari
J. Gorrotxategi
Valencia - Real Sociedad Key Points
- At home, only one of Valencia’s last five had over 2.5 goals.
- Seven of Valencia’s last 10 league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Real Sociedad’s last eight league games had under 2.5 goals.
- Seven of the last eight meetings between these two had under 2.5 goals.
- Only three goals were scored in the last four meetings between these sides.
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Our Valencia vs Real Sociedad Prediction
No more than a goal was scored in the last four times Valencia hosted this match while seven of the last eight meetings produced under 2.5 goals. We seem to be headed into another low-scoring opening match as these two sides clash.
This is supported by the fact that both teams weren’t scoring a lot in their closing league matches last season. In their latest five home games, Valencia scored more than a goal only once. Meanwhile, Sociedad failed to score at all in their last three away matches. Our prediction for Valencia v Real Sociedad is therefore for under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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