Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid will be seeking a seventh straight win in La Liga when they travel to Valencia on Sunday. Sitting second, Real Madrid are just a point behind leaders Barcelona, while Valencia come here placed 16th. We have a prediction for this match below.
After avoiding defeat in three straight outings, Valencia came crashing down in their last La Liga outing. At the hands of Real Betis, Los Che were handed a 2-1 away loss.
They have a better run at home, though, and will welcome a return to the Mestalla. In their latest home match, however, they suffered a 2-1 defeat to Athletic Bilbao in the Copa del Rey.
Real Madrid failed to win in three of their last five visits to Valencia. Right now, they can ill afford dropping points, as they are embroiled in the title race.
Los Blancos won 2-1 in their latest visit here and also claimed a 4-0 win in the reverse fixture. They will hope for inspiration from such results, and they are also coming off a 2-1 victory against Rayo Vallecano, though labored.
Alvaro Arbeloa’s men are generally doing well, having managed nine wins in the last 12 matches. They are the second-best away team after Barcelona, having earned 24 points.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Valencia v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.2 | 4.3 | 1.66 |
|
|
5.05 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.05 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
4.75 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
|
|
4.9 | 4.1 | 1.63 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/02/2026 between Valencia and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.7% for a win of Valencia against Real Madrid with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Real Madrid is 21.25% with odds of 4.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Valencia with odds of 1.67 at Shangrila.
Valencia - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 45.05% | 1.67 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.62% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 78.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 21.34% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Valencia vs Real Madrid Form
Valencia and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
9
|
49 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -9 |
Valencia and Real Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Feb 2026 - Copa del Rey
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
10 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
15 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
3 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2026 - Champions League
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
8 Jan 2026 - Spanish Super Cup
17 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
Valencia vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
21 May 2023 - LaLiga
Valencia against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
C. Rivero
DefenderT. Correia
J. Vazquez
C. Tarrega
MidfielderA. Almeida
J. Guerra Moreno
B. Santamaria
G. Rodriguez
D. Raba
L. Ramazani
D. Lopez
U. Sadiq
S. Mestre
A. Lunin
DefenderF. Garcia
D. Carvajal
A. Rudiger
D. Alaba
T. Alexander-Arnold
J. Cestero
D. Ceballos
ForwardB. Diaz
F. Mastantuono
Missing players
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderM. Diakhaby
E. Militao
MidfielderJ. Bellingham
ForwardVinicius Junior
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Real Madrid
H. Duro
(10 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
L. Rioja
(6 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(6 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Valencia - Real Madrid Key Points
- Valencia are coming off two straight defeats.
- Real Madrid have posted nine wins in their last 12 matches.
- Real Madrid are the second-best away performers in La Liga.
- Valencia lost three of their last five meetings with Real Madrid.
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Our Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid have a very small margin for error in their title push. They have gained on Barcelona in recent weeks and will be keen not to cede any ground. The two are separated by a point. Real Madrid have dominated most of their recent matches and will feel this is one they can collect three points from.
They did win comfortably in the reverse meeting and are the second-best side away from home in La Liga. Our prediction for Valencia v Real Madrid is that Real Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Real Madrid
| Valencia vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 7.4 | 5.2 | -29.7% |
| Draw | 4.4 | 4.4 | 0% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.47 | 1.67 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 68.0% and is now 59.9% (-8.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
