USA vs South Korea Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Two of the earliest nations to qualify for the 2026 World Cup, the USA and Korea, will face off in an international friendly. This match, scheduled for Saturday, is the first between the two in over a decade. Read on for our prediction.
The USA will play host in this game, looking to rise from their Gold Cup defeat to Mexico in July. While Mauricio Pochettino’s charges reached the Gold Cup final, they were thought to still be short.
To address that, Christian Pulisic is among the players drafted back into the team. The 2026 World Cup co-hosts lost five of their last 10 matches and won four. They suffered defeat in their last two friendly matches, conceding six goals.
While the USA booked their World Cup slot as hosts, Korea were among the first confirmed from Asia. They went into the EAFF tournament in July to kick off their preparations and won two of the three matches they played.
In the most recent, they lost 1-0 to Japan. Before that loss to the Blue Samurai, Korea had gone unbeaten in 16 matches, rising from that shock loss to Jordan in the Asian Cup.
In such shape, Korea will be gunning for a first win over the USA in over two decades. The Asian nation has failed to win any of the three meetings with the USA since their 2001 friendly victory.
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USA v South Korea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.1 | 3.15 | 3.25 |
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2.25 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.3 | 3.44 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.19 | 3.38 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and South Korea?
Our prediction for the USA vs South Korea match is: Korea Republic wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2025 between USA and South Korea in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.98% for a win of USA against South Korea with odds of 2.25 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs South Korea is 17.56% with odds of 3.3 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.46% chance ⭐ for a win of South Korea vs USA with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
USA - South Korea Prediction and Best Odds:
| USA South Korea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| South Korea wins | 50.46% | 3.5 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.14% | 2.13 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: South Korea | 23.51% | 8.25 at LSbet |
USA vs South Korea Form
USA and South Korea Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
22 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
15 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
11 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
7 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
7 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sept 2024 - World Cup
USA vs South Korea last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
R. Celentano
J. Klinsmann
DefenderN. Harriel
C. Richards
A. Freeman
MidfielderL. De La Torre
C. Roldan
ForwardD. Downs
F. Balogun
J. McGlynn
A. Zendejas
K. Seung-gyu
S. Bum-keun
DefenderK. Tae-hyeon
B. Jun-soo
P. Jin-seob
J. Castrop
L. Myung-jae
K. Moon-hwan
MidfielderL. Kang-in
B. Jun-ho
P. Yong-woo
J. Sang-bin
ForwardO. Hyeon-gyu
M. Seon-min
O. Se-Hun
Missing players
M. Robinson
USA - South Korea Key Points
- South Korea lost just once in their last 17 matches.
- South Korea conceded one goal in their last five matches.
- The USA lost their last two friendly outings.
- The USA managed just one clean sheet in the last five games.
- In their last 10 matches, the USA suffered a total of five defeats.
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Our USA vs South Korea Prediction
The hosts are looking to build on their run to the final of the CONCACAF Gold Cup back in July. While this is just a preparation match for the coming World Cup, there is pressure on the USA team and coach Mauricio Pochettino. The fans hope to see a stable team.
The hosts might achieve that, but chances are high it may not be in this game, as Korea are way stronger. The Asian nation has four clean sheets in five outings and lost just once in 17 matches. That counts for something. Our prediction for the USA v South Korea is that Korea Republic wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA South Korea
| USA vs South Korea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 1.91 | 2.25 | +17.8% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.3 | -15.4% |
| South Korea wins | 4.16 | 3.5 | -15.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- South Korea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 24.0% and is now 28.6% (4.5%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the USA vs. South Korea game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between USA and South Korea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
