International - International Friendlies
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Football Predictions
The 2026 World Cup co-hosts USA will look to continue their preparations with a home friendly against Ecuador on Friday night local time. This match between the Yanks and La Tri comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
The USA automatically qualified for next year’s World Cup as co-hosts along with Mexico and Canada. Ecuador qualified by finishing second in the CONMEBOL section with the best defensive record.
Mauricio Pochettino’s USA won 2-0 at home against Japan in their latest international friendly in September. That was preceded by a 2-0 defeat to South Korea, so Pochettino is still looking to get some consistent wins under his belt.
The Yanks have won just two of their last five matches, including friendlies, drawing one and losing two. Considering only friendlies, the USA have lost three of their recent four matches, with their only win coming against Japan last time out.
Ecuador finished their World Cup qualification campaign with just two defeats (W8, D8, L2) and had the best defensive record with only five goals conceded. They had a 1-0 home win over Argentina in their last fixture, which extended their unbeaten run to ten matches (W4, D6).
Each of those six draws have seen a 0-0 scoreline, and Ecuador are unlikely to give much leeway to the US forwards.
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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.2 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
2.23 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Ecuador?
Our prediction for the USA vs Ecuador match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2025 between USA and Ecuador in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.58% for a win of USA against Ecuador with odds of 2.35 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Ecuador is 32.44% with odds of 3.43 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs USA with odds of 3.31 at 22bet.
USA vs Ecuador Form
USA and Ecuador Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
30 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
3 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
30 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup
23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League
15 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
16 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2025 - World Cup
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
11 Jun 2025 - World Cup
26 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
16 Oct 2024 - World Cup
7 Sep 2024 - World Cup
USA vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Mar 2019 - International Friendlies
Missing players
J. Cardoso
P. Hincapie
Most goals and assists
USA
Ecuador
D. Luna
(3 Goals)
,
M. Tillman
(3 Goals)
M. Arfsten
(3 Assists)
USA - Ecuador Key Points
- Ecuador failed to score in four of their last five matches.
- Ten of Ecuador’s last 12 matches have returned under 1.5 goals, failing to score in seven.
- USA failed to score in two of their last three international friendlies.
- USA’s last two games saw exactly two goals scored.
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Our USA vs Ecuador Prediction
Ecuador have struggled on the road recently and won just one of their last ten away games. Will that hamper them in this fixture against the USA? Mind you, Mauricio Pochettino hasn’t had consistent wins with public opinion over his tenure divided. That said, they should fancy winning this match against a team they have easily brushed aside in recent history, although the last of those matches was played in 2019.
This fixture could be a tight game with goals likely to be scarce, and our USA vs Ecuador prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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