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USA vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

International - International Friendlies

USA
14/10/2025 21:00
Australia

Prediction :

 

2-4 total goals

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions

USA will look to further streamline their squad for the 2026 World Cup with a preparatory friendly against Australia on Wednesday. The Stars and Stripes have struggled lately and will also like at bouncing back against the Socceroos. Here is our prediction.

It has been a mixed result for USA since their Gold Cup final loss to Mexico in July. They lost their first friendly 2-0 to South Korea but bounced back to win 2-0 against Japan in the second match. Their most recent friendly against Ecuador ended with a 1-1 draw, thanks to Monaco forward Folarin Balogun's 71st-minute equalizer. 

Notably, Mauricio Pochettino's side have conceded in six of their last seven matches with most producing moderate scorelines. Specifically, their last four matches have yielded between two to four total goals.

The last time Australia tasted defeat was in September 2024. Since then, the Socceroos who have gone 12 matches unbeaten. This includes an impressive winning streak in their last seven games – the most recent of which being a 1-0 away win over Canada. 

Tony Popovic's side have scored or conceded in each of their last eight matches. Five of their last six away matches have produced between two and four goals.

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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Australia Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.65 3.8 4.75
Betfred
1.62 3.75 5
William Hill
1.67 3.5 4.6
Betway
1.65 3.75 4.75
Unibet
1.66 3.9 4.6
Check all USA vs Australia odds

What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Australia?

Our prediction for the USA vs Australia match is: 2-4 total goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between USA and Australia in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.21% for a win of USA against Australia with odds of 1.78 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Australia is 27.56% with odds of 3.9 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Australia vs USA with odds of 5 at Betfred.

USA - Australia Prediction and Best Odds:

USA Australia Prediction Probability Odds
Australia wins 45.23% 5 at Betfred
Under 2.5 52.13% 1.95 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 61.9%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Australia 19.97% 10 at Bet365

USA vs Australia Form

USA and Australia Last Matches

USA
USA Last matches
D W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Ecuador

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Japan

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Guatemala

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  2
Costa Rica
D W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
1 :  1
Ecuador

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
2 :  0
Japan

6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

USA
0 :  2
Korea Republic

6 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
1 :  2
Mexico

2 Jul 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  1
Guatemala

29 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA
2 :  2
Costa Rica
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Jun 2025 - CONCACAF Gold Cup

Saudi Arabia
0 :  1
USA

23 Mar 2025 - CONCACAF Nations League

Canada
2 :  1
USA

14 Nov 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League

Jamaica
0 :  1
USA

15 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies

Mexico
2 :  0
USA

27 Jun 2024 - Copa America

Panama
2 :  1
USA

20 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League

Trinidad And Tobago
2 :  1
USA
Australia
Australia Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  1
Australia

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  3
Australia

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  2
Australia

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Australia
1 :  0
Japan

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  2
Australia
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Australia
1 :  0
New Zealand

5 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Australia
1 :  0
Japan

20 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Australia
5 :  1
Indonesia

14 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Australia
0 :  0
Saudi Arabia

10 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Australia
3 :  1
China PR

5 Sept 2024 - World Cup

Australia
0 :  1
Bahrain
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Canada
0 :  1
Australia

9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

New Zealand
1 :  3
Australia

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Saudi Arabia
1 :  2
Australia

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

China PR
0 :  2
Australia

19 Nov 2024 - World Cup

Bahrain
2 :  2
Australia

15 Oct 2024 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Australia
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

M. Freese

Defender

A. Freeman

C. Richards

M. Robinson

M. McKenzie

Midfielder

J. Sands

W. McKennie

C. Roldan

Forward

H. Wright

T. Weah

C. Pulisic

Australia
Australia
Goalkeeper

M. Ryan

Defender

J. Geria

A. Circati

C. Burgess

J. Italiano

J. Bos

Midfielder

A. O'Neill

C. Metcalfe

M. Balard

Forward

M. Boyle

N. D'Agostino

Substitutes

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

C. Brady

M. Turner

P. Schulte

Defender

C. Carter-Vickers

T. Ream

Midfielder

T. Tessmann

D. Luna

B. Aaronson

A. Morris

M. Arfsten

Forward

F. Balogun

P. Agyemang

Australia
Australia
Goalkeeper

P. Izzo

J. Gauci

Defender

H. Matthews

K. Rowles

L. Miller

M. Degenek

Midfielder

P. Yazbek

A. Hrustic

C. Devlin

Forward

M. Toure

M. Duke

N. Irankunda

Missing players

USA
USA
Goalkeeper

R. Celentano

Midfielder

J. Cardoso

Forward

B. White

J. McGlynn

Australia
Australia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato USA
CD Huachipato Australia
Top Goalscorer
USA D. Luna (3 Goals)
USA M. Tillman (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Best assists
USA M. Arfsten (3 Assists)
Best assists

USA - Australia Key Points

  1. USA have conceded in six of their last seven matches.
  2. USA’s last five matches have produced between two and four goals.
  3. USA’s last five home matches have ended with 2-4 total goals scored.
  4. Five of Australia’s last six away matches have produced between two and four total goals.
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Our USA vs Australia Prediction

While USA will look to leverage home advantage to ace this tie, Australia are no mean opponents given recent records. Tony Popovic's men have proven critics wrong with an impressive run of results lately and stand a good chance heading into this match.

Meanwhile, most of the two teams recent games have ended with at least one side finding the net. They have also witnessed mostly moderate-scoring matches producing between two and four total goals. Given this trend, our USA vs Australia prediction is 2-4 total goals.

Prediction :

 

2-4 total goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA Australia

USA vs Australia Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
USA wins 1.62 1.65 +1.9%
Draw 3.8 3.8 0%
Australia wins 5 4.75 -5.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Australia is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 20.0% and is now 21.1% (1.1%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the USA vs. Australia game!

bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's International Friendlies! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

USA vs Australia Prediction

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