US Montalbanaise vs Black Lion Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
10/01/2026 07:00
Black Lion

Prediction :

 

Black Lion +10.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Montauban host Black Lion in this 2025–26 Challenge Cup round three on Saturday. The two teams sit at the bottom of Group 1 standings, having picked up 0 points from their opening two matches. Who is likely to turn the corner with a win this weekend? Here is our prediction. 

Montauban's return to elite rugby has been disappointing. Their poor domestic start continued in Europe as they fell by 24 points to URC side Zebre in their 2025–26 Challenge Cup opener, losing both halves by double digits. 

This was followed by a 33–22 home defeat to Ospreys in their second fixture. They head into this match on the back of a 34–19 defeat to Clermont in Top 14 last week – their 14th loss in 16 games across all competitions this season.

Black Lion began their 2025–26 Challenge Cup campaign with a dramatic opener against Montpellier. They led 13–0 at halftime, but eventually lost by 13–24, shipping 24 unanswered points in the second half. Their second fixture against Connacht Rugby ended in a crushing 52–0 defeat. 

The Lions enter this match on a five-match losing streak in the Challenge Cup. This includes wide-margin defeats in their last three away fixtures in the competition. However, they have shown some promise against French opposition, with their first victory in the competition coming against Vannes in 2024. 

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The Best Betting Odds for US Montalbanaise v Black Lion Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 26 3.25
Unibet
1.32 29 3.4
Ladbrokes
1.3 26 3.6
NetBet
1.3 22 3.1
Melbet
1.42 23 3.03
Check all US Montalbanaise vs Black Lion odds

US Montalbanaise vs Black Lion Form

US Montalbanaise and Black Lion Last Matches

US Montalbanaise
US Montalbanaise Last matches
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
19 :  34
Clermont

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
61 :  16
US Montalbanaise

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
41 :  17
US Montalbanaise

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

3 Jan 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
19 :  34
Clermont

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
17 :  53
Section Paloise

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

US Montalbanaise
22 :  33
Ospreys

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
7 :  49
Stade Toulousain

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
29 :  22
USA Perpignan

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
28 :  32
Castres Olympique
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

27 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Racing 92
61 :  16
US Montalbanaise

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Zebre
41 :  17
US Montalbanaise

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
49 :  7
US Montalbanaise

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
54 :  19
US Montalbanaise

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
84 :  31
US Montalbanaise
Black Lion
Black Lion Last matches
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
52 :  0
Black Lion

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
13 :  24
Montpellier Herault Rugby

26 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies

Cheetahs
24 :  5
Black Lion

17 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies

Cheetahs
38 :  39
Black Lion

19 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
36 :  15
Black Lion

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
16 :  41
Aviron Bayonne
L L W L L
Wins

1/5 (20%)

Draw

0/5 (0%)

Losses

4/5 (80%)

6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
13 :  24
Montpellier Herault Rugby

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
16 :  41
Aviron Bayonne

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
22 :  19
Rugby Club Vannes

20 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
3 :  36
Clermont

9 Dec 2023 - Challenge Cup

Black Lion
10 :  15
Gloucester Rugby
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup

Connacht Rugby
52 :  0
Black Lion

26 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies

Cheetahs
24 :  5
Black Lion

17 Oct 2025 - International Club Friendlies

Cheetahs
38 :  39
Black Lion

19 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
36 :  15
Black Lion

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
36 :  18
Black Lion

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Castres Olympique
28 :  6
Black Lion

US Montalbanaise - Black Lion Key Points

  1. Montauban have lost their opening two 2025–26 Challenge Cup matches.
  2. Montauban have lost their last eight matches in all competitions.
  3. Black Lion have lost their last five Challenge Cup games.
  4. Black Lion defeated French side Vannes in their first Challenge Cup victory.
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Our US Montalbanaise vs Black Lion Prediction

Montauban will look to turn the corner after a disappointing return to elite rugby as they lock horns with an invited Georgian minnows Black Lion on Saturday. However, the prospects aren't looking good for the French side, who are enduring a long losing streak. 

Meanwhile, despite their poor run, Black Lion have been promising against French opposition in the Challenge Cup and stood a chance against a struggling Montauban. Nevertheless, this tie is a finely poised contest with both teams coming off the back of disappointing results. Our Montauban vs Black Lion prediction is Black Lion +10.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Black Lion +10.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

US Montalbanaise vs Black Lion Prediction